OGS · TickerCove

OGSONE Gas, Inc.Utilities · Regulated Gasas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $76.45 · now $76.45 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, OGS has typically landed between $69.48 and $83.86 — a range of −9.1% to +9.7% from the issuance price $76.45.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

3,164 overlapping 1 month windows · 2014-01-16 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($76.45) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$76.45 · 21% of range

$72.89 low$89.89 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.0%

typical move · IQR 7.7%

−9.1%worst (p90)+9.7%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where OGS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $76.45 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $76.45 (+0.0%)
typical $77.18 (+1.0%)
middle 50% $74.24–$80.13
90% range $69.48–$83.86

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,164 windows spanning 2014-01-16 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-20	−28.5%	−28.5%	+0.0%
2020-02-21	−28.2%	−28.2%	+0.0%
2020-02-13	−26.6%	−26.6%	+1.7%
3 best
2020-03-23	+28.6%	+0.0%	+34.7%
2020-03-20	+25.5%	−0.5%	+34.0%
2020-03-16	+23.2%	−2.5%	+31.3%

3,164 overlapping windows · 2014-01-16 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~13 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

75%

+2.3%

n=12

Feb

46%

−0.2%

n=13

Mar

85%

+4.2%

n=13

Apr

46%

+0.2%

n=13

May

62%

+0.6%

n=13

Jun

31%

−0.6%

n=13

Jul

69%

+1.9%

n=13

Aug

46%

−0.6%

n=13

Sep

46%

−1.4%

n=13

Oct

50%

+1.3%

n=12

Nov

67%

+3.9%

n=12

Dec

50%

+0.2%

n=12

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-03-06	RODRIGUEZ EDUARDO A	director	Sale	850 @ $86.34	$73K	−6.0% of holding	+4.4%	−22.6%	13,362	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-24	Brumfield Brian F.	officer	Sale	1,000 @ $86.44	$86K	−30.8% of holding	+4.0%	−17.1%	2,246	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-04	Hutchinson Michael G	director	Sale	3,000 @ $78.86	$237K	−17.0% of holding	−3.9%	−10.3%	14,631	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-18	Hutchinson Michael G	director	Sale	1,200 @ $74.03	$89K	−7.1% of holding	+9.6%	−15.1%	15,726	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

145 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-11	STAVROPOULOS NICKOLAS	director	Award / grant	1,503	1,503	Form 4
2026-06-09	McCormick Joseph L	officer	Option exercise	3,132	0	Form 4
2026-06-09	McCormick Joseph L	officer	Option exercise	1,926	0	Form 4
2026-06-09	McCormick Joseph L	officer	Option exercise	1,273	76,180	Form 4
2026-06-09	McCormick Joseph L	officer	Option exercise	1,230	76,852	Form 4
2026-06-09	McCormick Joseph L	officer	Option exercise	1,223	0	Form 4
2026-06-09	McCormick Joseph L	officer	Option exercise	825	77,137	Form 4
2026-06-09	McCormick Joseph L	officer	Withheld for tax	558	75,622	Form 4
2026-06-09	McCormick Joseph L	officer	Withheld for tax	539	76,312	Form 4
2026-06-09	McCormick Joseph L	officer	Withheld for tax	362	76,775	Form 4
2026-06-03	GIBSON JOHN WILLIAM	director	Option exercise	19,976	6,010	Form 4
2026-06-03	GIBSON JOHN WILLIAM	director	Option exercise	19,976	292,670	Form 4
2026-06-03	MOORE PATTYE L	director	Option exercise	5,638	50,714	Form 4
2026-06-03	MOORE PATTYE L	director	Option exercise	5,638	6,088	Form 4
2026-05-21	MOORE PATTYE L	director	Award / grant	1,700	55,877	Form 4
2026-05-21	Meshri Sanjay D.	director	Award / grant	1,700	5,293	Form 4
2026-05-21	Siegel Yves C	director	Award / grant	1,700	5,447	Form 4
2026-05-21	Hutchinson Michael G	director	Award / grant	1,700	16,331	Form 4
2026-05-21	Hart Tracy E	director	Award / grant	1,700	11,302	Form 4
2026-05-21	Hersman Deborah	director	Award / grant	1,700	7,533	Form 4
2026-05-21	RODRIGUEZ EDUARDO A	director	Award / grant	1,275	14,637	Form 4
2026-05-21	RODRIGUEZ EDUARDO A	director	Award / grant	425	5,276	Form 4
2026-02-16	McAnnally Robert S.	director	Award / grant	26,034	26,034	Form 4
2026-02-16	McAnnally Robert S.	director	Option exercise	22,497	0	Form 4
2026-02-16	McAnnally Robert S.	director	Option exercise	19,088	64,415	Form 4
2026-02-16	McAnnally Robert S.	director	Award / grant	11,158	11,158	Form 4
2026-02-16	McAnnally Robert S.	director	Withheld for tax	8,410	56,005	Form 4
2026-02-16	DINAN CURTIS	officer	Award / grant	6,974	6,974	Form 4
2026-02-16	DINAN CURTIS	officer	Option exercise	6,358	0	Form 4
2026-02-16	Sighinolfi Christopher P.	officer	Award / grant	5,579	5,579	Form 4
2026-02-16	DINAN CURTIS	officer	Option exercise	5,395	143,701	Form 4
2026-02-16	McCormick Joseph L	officer	Option exercise	4,891	0	Form 4
2026-02-16	DINAN CURTIS	officer	Award / grant	4,649	4,649	Form 4
2026-02-16	Gregory Regina	officer	Award / grant	3,835	3,835	Form 4
2026-02-16	McCormick Joseph L	officer	Option exercise	3,804	76,515	Form 4
2026-02-16	Sighinolfi Christopher P.	officer	Award / grant	3,719	3,719	Form 4
2026-02-16	Bender Mark A.	officer	Option exercise	3,179	0	Form 4
2026-02-16	Bender Mark A.	officer	Option exercise	2,697	29,851	Form 4
2026-02-16	Kouplen Angela	director	Option exercise	2,639	0	Form 4
2026-02-16	Gregory Regina	officer	Award / grant	2,557	2,557	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i