OGE · TickerCove

OGEOGE Energy Corp.Utilities · Regulated Electricas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $46.01 · now $46.01 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, OGE has typically landed between $42.67 and $50.04 — a range of −7.3% to +8.7% from the issuance price $46.01.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($46.01) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$46.01 · 54% of range

$41.35 low$49.95 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.1%

typical move · IQR 6.4%

−7.3%worst (p90)+8.7%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where OGE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $46.01 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $46.01 (+0.0%)
typical $46.52 (+1.1%)
middle 50% $45.04–$48.01
90% range $42.67–$50.04

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-21	−47.4%	−47.4%	+0.0%
2020-02-20	−42.8%	−42.8%	+0.2%
2020-02-19	−40.0%	−40.0%	+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-23	+31.3%	+0.0%	+41.0%
2008-10-10	+22.8%	+0.0%	+42.2%
2009-03-05	+22.6%	+0.0%	+23.4%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

50%

−0.1%

n=20

Feb

35%

−0.7%

n=20

Mar

70%

+3.1%

n=20

Apr

80%

+2.8%

n=20

May

40%

−0.9%

n=20

Jun

45%

−0.2%

n=20

Jul

80%

+3.3%

n=20

Aug

45%

−0.5%

n=20

Sep

50%

−0.8%

n=20

Oct

75%

+2.9%

n=20

Nov

60%

+0.9%

n=20

Dec

45%

+0.6%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-27	Jones Donnie O.	officer	Sale	6,508 @ $46.11	$300K	−13.8% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	40,555	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-21	SULTEMEIER WILLIAM H	officer	Sale	7,345 @ $47.97	$352K	−9.0% of holding	+1.5%	not yet — horizon still open	74,497	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-24	Stafford Sarah R.	officer	Sale	6,130 @ $47.77	$293K	−17.7% of holding	+2.0%	−15.4%	28,559	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-23	Ganske Lyle G.	director	Purchase	10,420 @ $47.99	$500K	ownership Δ n/a	+1.7%	−15.3%	10,420	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-04	PARKER DAVID A	officer	Sale	3,300 @ $45.97	$152K	−14.5% of holding	−5.5%	−13.7%	19,411	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-28	Jones Donnie O.	officer	Sale	11,351 @ $44.06	$500K	−20.5% of holding	−4.1%	−10.9%	43,932	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-21	BOZICH FRANK A	director	Purchase	1,000 @ $44.69	$45K	+6.6% of holding	−2.0%	−12.7%	16,186	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-06	SULTEMEIER WILLIAM H	officer	Sale	6,650 @ $45.54	$303K	−8.4% of holding	−9.1%	−21.8%	72,548	Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

108 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-30	RAINBOLT DAVID E	director	Award / grant	315	44,342	Form 4
2026-03-31	RAINBOLT DAVID E	director	Award / grant	319	43,633	Form 4
2026-02-16	Trauschke Sean	officer	Withheld for tax	31,266	677,963	Form 4
2026-02-16	SULTEMEIER WILLIAM H	officer	Withheld for tax	4,850	75,869	Form 4
2026-02-16	Jones Donnie O.	officer	Withheld for tax	4,589	47,063	Form 4
2026-02-16	Stafford Sarah R.	officer	Withheld for tax	2,022	32,191	Form 4
2026-02-16	PARKER DAVID A	officer	Withheld for tax	2,012	20,735	Form 4
2026-02-16	WALWORTH CHARLES B	officer	Withheld for tax	2,011	43,116	Form 4
2026-02-16	Trauschke Sean	officer	Award / grant	43,157	721,120	Form 4
2026-02-16	WALWORTH CHARLES B	officer	Award / grant	4,560	45,127	Form 4
2026-02-16	PARKER DAVID A	officer	Award / grant	4,545	22,747	Form 4
2026-02-16	Stafford Sarah R.	officer	Award / grant	2,498	34,689	Form 4
2026-02-16	PARKER DAVID A	officer	Award / grant	2,926	23,661	Form 4
2026-02-16	Trauschke Sean	officer	Award / grant	70,897	709,229	Form 4
2026-02-16	SULTEMEIER WILLIAM H	officer	Award / grant	10,996	80,719	Form 4
2026-02-16	Stafford Sarah R.	officer	Award / grant	4,559	34,213	Form 4
2026-02-16	SULTEMEIER WILLIAM H	officer	Award / grant	5,973	81,842	Form 4
2026-02-16	WALWORTH CHARLES B	officer	Award / grant	8,458	51,574	Form 4
2026-02-16	Jones Donnie O.	officer	Award / grant	10,404	51,652	Form 4
2026-01-06	RAINBOLT DAVID E	director	Award / grant	360	42,900	Form 4
2025-12-31	Trauschke Sean	officer	Withheld for tax	17,049	638,332	Form 4
2025-12-31	SULTEMEIER WILLIAM H	officer	Withheld for tax	2,825	69,723	Form 4
2025-12-31	Jones Donnie O.	officer	Withheld for tax	2,684	41,248	Form 4
2025-12-31	WALWORTH CHARLES B	officer	Withheld for tax	1,214	40,567	Form 4
2025-12-31	Stafford Sarah R.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,213	28,441	Form 4
2025-12-31	PARKER DAVID A	officer	Withheld for tax	1,209	18,202	Form 4
2025-12-09	RAINBOLT DAVID E	director	Award / grant	3,947	42,541	Form 4
2025-12-09	HAUSER DAVID L	director	Award / grant	3,889	52,302	Form 4
2025-12-09	BOZICH FRANK A	director	Award / grant	3,889	23,372	Form 4
2025-12-09	MCREYNOLDS JUDY R	director	Award / grant	3,889	63,707	Form 4
2025-12-09	Talton Sheila	director	Award / grant	3,889	48,869	Form 4
2025-12-09	KISSAM LUTHER C IV	director	Award / grant	3,889	22,608	Form 4
2025-12-09	Gates Cathy R.	director	Award / grant	3,889	12,528	Form 4
2025-12-09	Clarke Peter D.	director	Award / grant	3,889	33,651	Form 4
2025-12-09	Ganske Lyle G.	director	Award / grant	1,620	1,620	Form 4
2025-09-30	RAINBOLT DAVID E	director	Award / grant	311	38,226	Form 4
2025-08-06	PARKER DAVID A	officer	Discretionary	1,625	4,100	Form 4
2025-08-05	PARKER DAVID A	officer	Discretionary	3,000	16,264	Form 4
2025-06-24	RAINBOLT DAVID E	director	Award / grant	321	37,562	Form 4
2025-03-25	RAINBOLT DAVID E	director	Award / grant	324	36,894	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i