OFRM · TickerCove

OFRMOnce Upon A Farm PbcConsumer Defensive · Packaged Foodsas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $16.35 · now $16.35 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, OFRM has typically landed between $11.56 and $20.65 — a range of −29.3% to +26.3% from the issuance price $16.35.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

132 overlapping 1 month windows · 2026-02-06 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($16.35) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$16.35 · 16% of range

$14.48 low$25.92 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Distribution ranges onlyiThis name has too little trading history to publish a calibrated probability, so we show its distribution ranges only — no directional call. Its record is still building.

No directional probability — ranges below.

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−3.7%

typical move · IQR 19.8%

−29.3%worst (p90)+26.3%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where OFRM has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $16.35 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $16.35 (+0.0%)
typical $15.75 (-3.7%)
middle 50% $14.13–$17.37
90% range $11.56–$20.65

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 132 windows spanning 2026-02-06 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2026-03-04	−35.6%	−35.9%	+0.0%
2026-02-27	−34.3%	−34.3%	+2.5%
2026-02-19	−34.0%	−34.0%	+0.0%
3 best
2026-06-01	+48.8%	−1.5%	+48.8%
2026-06-02	+47.7%	+0.0%	+51.1%
2026-06-04	+44.7%	−0.5%	+46.5%

132 overlapping windows · 2026-02-06 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-14	Waldman Lawrence Steven	officer	Sale	1,102 @ $16.98	$19K	−1.1% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	100,574	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-14	Folena Chris	officer	Sale	662 @ $16.98	$11K	−5.2% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	12,062	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-14	Curtis Cassandra Nicole	director	Sale	68 @ $16.98	$1K	−0.0% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	432,840	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-10	Waldman Lawrence Steven	officer	Sale	1,206 @ $18.01	$22K	−1.2% of holding	−7.3%	not yet — horizon still open	101,676	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-10	Folena Chris	officer	Sale	724 @ $18.01	$13K	−5.4% of holding	−7.3%	not yet — horizon still open	12,724	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-10	Curtis Cassandra Nicole	director	Sale	75 @ $18.01	$1K	−0.0% of holding	−7.3%	not yet — horizon still open	432,908	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-09	ROBB WALTER E IV	director	Purchase	5,555 @ $18.00	$100K	+4.0% of holding	+1.1%	−32.1%	145,970	Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

119 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-05	PEIROS LARRY	director	Other acquisition	81,514	81,514	Form 4
2026-08-05	PEIROS LARRY	director	Other acquisition	63,393	6,112	Form 4
2026-08-05	PEIROS LARRY	director	Other acquisition	63,393	63,393	Form 4
2026-08-05	PEIROS LARRY	director	Other acquisition	81,514	0	Form 4
2026-05-05	Waldman Lawrence Steven	officer	Award / grant	68,027	102,882	Form 4
2026-03-12	Folena Chris	officer	Award / grant	7,371	13,448	Form 4
2026-03-12	Waldman Lawrence Steven	officer	Award / grant	12,285	34,855	Form 4
2026-03-12	Curtis Cassandra Nicole	director	Award / grant	7,371	432,983	Form 4
2026-02-09	Garner Jennifer Anne	director	Disposition	51,051	0	Form 4
2026-02-09	Bazzano Dara	director	Award / grant	6,112	6,112	Form 4
2026-02-09	Bent Megan Reimers	director	Award / grant	6,112	52,151	Form 4
2026-02-09	Bent Megan Reimers	director	Disposition	16,493	0	Form 4
2026-02-09	Bent Megan Reimers	director	Disposition	29,546	0	Form 4
2026-02-09	CAVU Venture Partners II, LP	tenPercentOwner	Conversion	107,749	0	Form 4
2026-02-09	CAVU Venture Partners II, LP	tenPercentOwner	Conversion	4,804,965	0	Form 4
2026-02-09	CAVU Venture Partners II, LP	tenPercentOwner	Conversion	914,243	0	Form 4
2026-02-09	CAVU Venture Partners II, LP	tenPercentOwner	Conversion	874,954	0	Form 4
2026-02-09	CAVU Venture Partners II, LP	tenPercentOwner	Conversion	817,340	0	Form 4
2026-02-09	CAVU Venture Partners II, LP	tenPercentOwner	Conversion	2,274,219	0	Form 4
2026-02-09	Foraker John M.	director	Disposition	59,092	0	Form 4
2026-02-09	Foraker John M.	director	Disposition	133,294	0	Form 4
2026-02-09	Folena Chris	officer	Award / grant	6,077	6,077	Form 4
2026-02-09	Foraker John M.	director	Disposition	96,118	0	Form 4
2026-02-09	Foraker John M.	director	Disposition	103,037	0	Form 4
2026-02-09	Foraker John M.	director	Disposition	57,372	0	Form 4
2026-02-09	Foraker John M.	director	Disposition	24,179	0	Form 4
2026-02-09	Thomas Brett J.	director	Award / grant	6,112	6,112	Form 4
2026-02-09	Thomas Brett J.	director	Conversion	107,749	0	Form 4
2026-02-09	Thomas Brett J.	director	Conversion	4,804,965	0	Form 4
2026-02-09	Thomas Brett J.	director	Conversion	914,243	0	Form 4
2026-02-09	Thomas Brett J.	director	Conversion	874,954	0	Form 4
2026-02-09	Thomas Brett J.	director	Conversion	817,340	0	Form 4
2026-02-09	Thomas Brett J.	director	Conversion	2,274,219	0	Form 4
2026-02-09	ROBB WALTER E IV	director	Disposition	16,082	0	Form 4
2026-02-09	ROBB WALTER E IV	director	Disposition	6,657	0	Form 4
2026-02-09	ROBB WALTER E IV	director	Award / grant	6,112	140,415	Form 4
2026-02-09	ROBB WALTER E IV	director	Disposition	10,210	0	Form 4
2026-02-09	ROBB WALTER E IV	director	Disposition	101,354	0	Form 4
2026-02-09	Jacobs Jared Noah	director	Conversion	817,340	0	Form 4
2026-02-09	Jacobs Jared Noah	director	Conversion	2,274,219	0	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.