Issued 2026-09-16 at $8.90 · now $8.90 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, OFIX has typically landed between $7.18 and $10.69 — a range of −19.3% to +20.1% from the issuance price $8.90.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($8.90) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where OFIX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $8.9 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $8.9 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $8.73 (-1.9%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $8.03–$9.44
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $7.18–$10.69
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-09-24 | −58.4% | −58.4% | +0.0% |
| 2008-09-25 | −56.2% | −57.2% | +0.0% |
| 2008-09-23 | −55.8% | −55.8% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-05-01 | +55.1% | +0.0% | +55.1% |
| 2009-04-30 | +53.7% | +0.0% | +53.7% |
| 2009-03-11 | +49.9% | +0.0% | +49.9% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
50%
−0.4%
n=20
Feb
40%
+0.3%
n=20
Mar
50%
+1.0%
n=20
Apr
55%
−0.7%
n=20
May
40%
−1.6%
n=20
Jun
40%
−0.2%
n=20
Jul
45%
+1.7%
n=20
Aug
50%
+0.4%
n=20
Sep
35%
−4.3%
n=20
Oct
45%
−3.9%
n=20
Nov
55%
+2.2%
n=20
Dec
70%
+4.8%
n=20
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Fisher Patrick | officer | Sale | 150 @ $9.39 | $1K | −0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 51,069 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Fisher Patrick | officer | Sale | 1,295 @ $10.09 | $13K | −2.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 51,219 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | Juniper Investment Company, LLC | other | Sale | 20,000 @ $10.01 | $200K | +30.8% of holding | −8.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 84,926 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | Juniper Investment Company, LLC | other | Sale | 19,500 @ $10.38 | $202K | +42.9% of holding | −9.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 64,926 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-18 | McPherron Aviva | officer | Sale | 3,670 @ $9.38 | $34K | −5.2% of holding | +22.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 66,330 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Juniper Investment Company, LLC | other | Sale | 242,000 @ $10.70 | $2.6M | +7.5% of holding | −11.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,461,216 | Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-07 | Engine Capital Management, LP | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 18,192 @ $12.20 | $222K | +0.5% of holding | −20.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,839,477 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-07 | Engine Capital Management, LP | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 9,096 @ $12.15 | $110K | +0.2% of holding | −20.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,848,573 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-07 | HENNEMAN JOHN B III | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $12.26 | $61K | +5.8% of holding | −20.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 90,809 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-07 | Engine Capital Management, LP | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,808 @ $12.20 | $22K | +0.5% of holding | −20.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 381,546 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-07 | Engine Capital Management, LP | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 904 @ $12.15 | $11K | +0.2% of holding | −20.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 382,450 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-06 | Engine Capital Management, LP | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 38,154 @ $12.23 | $467K | +1.0% of holding | −16.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,821,285 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-06 | Engine Capital Management, LP | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 3,792 @ $12.23 | $46K | +1.0% of holding | −16.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 379,738 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-05 | Engine Capital Management, LP | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 110,039 @ $11.99 | $1.3M | +3.0% of holding | −21.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,783,131 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-05 | Engine Capital Management, LP | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 2,911 @ $11.99 | $35K | +0.8% of holding | −21.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 375,946 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-16 | Cedron Jorge Andres | officer | Sale | 3,743 @ $12.82 | $48K | −6.0% of holding | −8.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 59,006 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-17 | Vitale Lucas | officer | Sale | 4,269 @ $11.92 | $51K | −2.6% of holding | −1.9% | −39.0% | 160,449 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | CAPPS VICKIE L | director | Purchase | 2,400 @ $12.45 | $30K | +9.5% of holding | −0.3% | −41.2% | 27,585 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-10 | CAPPS VICKIE L | director | Purchase | 100 @ $12.44 | $1K | +0.4% of holding | −0.3% | −41.2% | 25,185 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-09 | CAPPS VICKIE L | director | Purchase | 2,500 @ $12.48 | $31K | +11.1% of holding | −2.0% | −40.1% | 25,085 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-05 | Calafiore Massimo | director | Sale | 6,031 @ $12.55 | $76K | −1.8% of holding | −3.3% | −40.0% | 320,136 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-05 | Andrews Julie | director | Sale | 2,363 @ $12.55 | $30K | −2.6% of holding | −3.3% | −40.0% | 88,746 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-05 | Cedron Jorge Andres | officer | Sale | 1,370 @ $12.55 | $17K | −2.1% of holding | −3.3% | −40.0% | 62,749 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-05 | McPherron Aviva | officer | Sale | 1,263 @ $12.55 | $16K | −1.8% of holding | −3.3% | −40.0% | 67,853 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-05 | Vitale Lucas | officer | Sale | 1,141 @ $12.55 | $14K | −0.7% of holding | −3.3% | −40.0% | 164,718 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-05 | REINHARDT MAX | officer | Sale | 1,053 @ $12.55 | $13K | −4.0% of holding | −3.3% | −40.0% | 25,348 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-05 | Fisher Patrick | officer | Sale | 758 @ $12.55 | $10K | −1.5% of holding | −3.3% | −40.0% | 50,633 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-04 | Calafiore Massimo | director | Sale | 6,189 @ $12.92 | $80K | −1.9% of holding | −6.4% | −39.4% | 326,167 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-04 | Andrews Julie | director | Sale | 2,425 @ $12.92 | $31K | −2.6% of holding | −6.4% | −39.4% | 91,109 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-04 | Cedron Jorge Andres | officer | Sale | 1,405 @ $12.92 | $18K | −2.1% of holding | −6.4% | −39.4% | 64,119 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-04 | McPherron Aviva | officer | Sale | 1,296 @ $12.92 | $17K | −1.8% of holding | −6.4% | −39.4% | 69,116 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-04 | Vitale Lucas | officer | Sale | 1,171 @ $12.92 | $15K | −0.7% of holding | −6.4% | −39.4% | 165,859 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-04 | REINHARDT MAX | officer | Sale | 1,080 @ $12.92 | $14K | −3.9% of holding | −6.4% | −39.4% | 26,401 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-04 | Fisher Patrick | officer | Sale | 778 @ $12.92 | $10K | −1.5% of holding | −6.4% | −39.4% | 51,391 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-25 | Engine Capital Management, LP | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 9,959 @ $12.96 | $129K | +0.3% of holding | −2.9% | −36.3% | 3,673,092 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-25 | Engine Capital Management, LP | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 3,102 @ $12.96 | $40K | +0.8% of holding | −2.9% | −36.3% | 373,035 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-24 | Engine Capital Management, LP | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 117,076 @ $12.55 | $1.5M | +3.3% of holding | −2.2% | −36.4% | 3,663,133 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-24 | Engine Capital Management, LP | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 7,721 @ $12.55 | $97K | +2.1% of holding | −2.2% | −36.4% | 369,933 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-16 | Andrews Julie | director | Sale | 4,873 @ $14.38 | $70K | −7.7% of holding | −1.3% | −26.0% | 58,039 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-12 | Calafiore Massimo | director | Sale | 9,797 @ $15.21 | $149K | −4.3% of holding | −11.0% | −35.1% | 217,237 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-09 | Calafiore Massimo | director | Sale | 9,600 @ $15.82 | $152K | −4.1% of holding | −15.0% | −39.5% | 227,034 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-18 | Fisher Patrick | officer | Sale | 1,996 @ $14.21 | $28K | −6.2% of holding | +0.5% | −12.5% | 30,116 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-02 | Engine Capital Management, LP | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,250 @ $11.11 | $14K | +0.0% of holding | −2.8% | +26.5% | 3,546,057 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-18 | McPherron Aviva | officer | Sale | 3,728 @ $10.51 | $39K | −7.4% of holding | −2.5% | +36.4% | 46,322 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-11 | REINHARDT MAX | officer | Sale | 1,643 @ $11.64 | $19K | −5.6% of holding | −7.7% | +24.1% | 27,481 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-04 | Bazaar Alan Lee | director | Purchase | 2,250 @ $10.92 | $25K | +7.8% of holding | −6.1% | +30.6% | 30,983 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-12 | Bazaar Alan Lee | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $12.59 | $25K | +7.5% of holding | −11.6% | +3.4% | 28,733 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-09 | Calafiore Massimo | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $12.54 | $125K | +4.5% of holding | −11.3% | +4.0% | 234,603 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-09 | Bazaar Alan Lee | director | Purchase | 1,990 @ $12.62 | $25K | +8.0% of holding | −11.3% | +4.0% | 26,733 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-07 | Engine Capital Management, LP | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 83,375 @ $12.31 | $1.0M | +2.4% of holding | −15.5% | +3.1% | 3,544,807 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-07 | Engine Capital Management, LP | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 8,519 @ $12.31 | $105K | +2.4% of holding | −15.5% | +3.1% | 362,212 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-07 | Engine Capital Management, LP | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 8,106 @ $12.31 | $100K | +2.4% of holding | −15.5% | +3.1% | 344,652 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-16 | Cedron Jorge Andres | officer | Sale | 3,816 @ $13.31 | $51K | −8.2% of holding | −19.4% | −8.7% | 42,500 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-02 | Gillespie Geoffrey C | officer | Sale | 76 @ $15.74 | $1K | −0.2% of holding | −15.8% | −32.0% | 42,445 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-18 | Vitale Lucas | officer | Sale | 4,287 @ $16.60 | $71K | −3.1% of holding | −15.9% | −28.2% | 135,317 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-18 | Gillespie Geoffrey C | officer | Sale | 296 @ $16.60 | $5K | −0.7% of holding | −15.9% | −28.2% | 42,521 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-05 | Calafiore Massimo | director | Purchase | 9,914 @ $17.43 | $173K | +4.7% of holding | −2.5% | −27.0% | 222,404 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-04 | Gillespie Geoffrey C | officer | Sale | 187 @ $18.08 | $3K | −0.5% of holding | −5.6% | −38.9% | 39,136 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-03 | Gillespie Geoffrey C | officer | Sale | 767 @ $17.79 | $14K | −1.9% of holding | −2.5% | −38.0% | 39,323 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-16 | Andrews Julie | director | Sale | 4,655 @ $17.89 | $83K | −14.1% of holding | +0.3% | −47.4% | 28,312 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
46 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | HENNEMAN JOHN B III | director | Award / grant | 14,965 | 105,774 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Hannon Jason | director | Award / grant | 14,965 | 87,662 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Kummeth Charles R. | director | Award / grant | 14,965 | 76,305 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Maniar Shweta | director | Award / grant | 14,965 | 69,038 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Paolucci Michael E | director | Award / grant | 14,965 | 102,727 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | BURRIS WAYNE | director | Award / grant | 14,965 | 65,504 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Bazaar Alan Lee | director | Award / grant | 14,965 | 65,489 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | CAPPS VICKIE L | director | Award / grant | 14,965 | 43,300 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Finegan Michael | director | Award / grant | 20,721 | 81,617 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Cedron Jorge Andres | officer | Award / grant | 23,024 | 65,524 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Cedron Jorge Andres | officer | Award / grant | 54,656 | 54,656 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Andrews Julie | director | Award / grant | 35,495 | 93,534 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Andrews Julie | director | Award / grant | 84,261 | 84,261 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | McPherron Aviva | officer | Award / grant | 23,024 | 70,412 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | McPherron Aviva | officer | Award / grant | 54,656 | 54,656 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Vitale Lucas | officer | Award / grant | 19,186 | 167,030 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Calafiore Massimo | director | Award / grant | 273,279 | 273,279 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Vitale Lucas | officer | Award / grant | 45,546 | 45,546 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Fisher Patrick | officer | Award / grant | 50,101 | 50,101 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Fisher Patrick | officer | Award / grant | 21,105 | 52,169 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Calafiore Massimo | director | Award / grant | 115,119 | 332,356 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-18 | CAPPS VICKIE L | director | Award / grant | 18,841 | 21,934 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-18 | Maniar Shweta | director | Award / grant | 18,841 | 54,073 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-18 | HENNEMAN JOHN B III | director | Award / grant | 18,841 | 83,706 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-18 | Kummeth Charles R. | director | Award / grant | 18,841 | 59,237 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-18 | BURRIS WAYNE | director | Award / grant | 18,841 | 50,539 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-18 | Bazaar Alan Lee | director | Award / grant | 18,841 | 49,824 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-18 | Paolucci Michael E | director | Award / grant | 18,841 | 86,948 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-18 | Hannon Jason | director | Award / grant | 18,841 | 70,594 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-18 | Finegan Michael | director | Award / grant | 26,087 | 57,391 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-11 | CAPPS VICKIE L | director | Award / grant | 3,093 | 3,093 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-11 | CAPPS VICKIE L | director | Award / grant | 35,270 | 35,270 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-03 | Fisher Patrick | officer | Award / grant | 14,723 | 30,042 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-03 | Fisher Patrick | officer | Award / grant | 34,924 | 34,924 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-03 | Vitale Lucas | officer | Award / grant | 14,723 | 139,604 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-03 | REINHARDT MAX | officer | Award / grant | 14,723 | 29,124 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-03 | REINHARDT MAX | officer | Award / grant | 34,924 | 34,924 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-03 | Gillespie Geoffrey C | officer | Award / grant | 3,681 | 42,817 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-03 | Gillespie Geoffrey C | officer | Award / grant | 8,731 | 8,731 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-03 | Vitale Lucas | officer | Award / grant | 34,924 | 34,924 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.