OEC · TickerCove

OECOrion S.A.Basic Materials · Chemicals - Specialtyas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $5.75 · now $5.75 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, OEC has typically landed between $4.50 and $6.99 — a range of −21.7% to +21.5% from the issuance price $5.75.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

3,033 overlapping 1 month windows · 2014-07-25 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($5.75) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$5.75 · 33% of range

$4.28 low$8.72 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−1.2%

typical move · IQR 16.2%

−21.7%worst (p90)+21.5%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where OEC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $5.75 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $5.75 (+0.0%)
typical $5.68 (-1.2%)
middle 50% $5.22–$6.15
90% range $4.5–$6.99

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,033 windows spanning 2014-07-25 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-21	−61.3%	−61.3%	+0.0%
2020-02-18	−57.0%	−57.0%	+8.9%
2020-02-24	−56.6%	−59.9%	+0.0%
3 best
2020-05-15	+58.0%	+0.0%	+84.9%
2020-05-06	+54.9%	−14.1%	+54.9%
2020-05-13	+50.3%	−0.3%	+84.4%

3,033 overlapping windows · 2014-07-25 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~13 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

42%

−0.6%

n=12

Feb

67%

+1.2%

n=12

Mar

58%

−2.5%

n=12

Apr

58%

+2.9%

n=12

May

67%

+3.3%

n=12

Jun

33%

−2.3%

n=12

Jul

67%

+1.6%

n=12

Aug

54%

−1.8%

n=13

Sep

46%

−3.6%

n=13

Oct

42%

−4.1%

n=12

Nov

75%

+6.5%

n=12

Dec

67%

+2.8%

n=12

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2025-05-13	Painter Corning F.	director	Purchase	20,000 @ $11.08	$222K	+1.9% of holding	−1.3%	−72.3%	1,084,375	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-12	Quinones Carlos	officer	Purchase	3,300 @ $13.07	$43K	+4.3% of holding	−7.5%	−38.9%	79,702	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

53 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-26	HUCK PAUL E	director	Award / grant	19,150	103,357	Form 4
2026-06-26	Hoogerbrugge Jacqueline	director	Award / grant	19,150	32,085	Form 4
2026-06-26	GALVIN KERRY A	director	Award / grant	19,150	84,753	Form 4
2026-06-26	LINDSEY MARY A	director	Award / grant	19,150	75,039	Form 4
2026-06-26	Miraton Didier	director	Award / grant	19,150	73,357	Form 4
2026-06-26	SMITH DAN F	director	Award / grant	19,150	110,857	Form 4
2026-06-26	PAIK YI HYON	director	Award / grant	19,150	65,039	Form 4
2026-04-29	Niewiem Sandra	officer	Award / grant	24,087	51,467	Form 4
2026-04-29	Painter Corning F.	director	Award / grant	220,849	1,303,043	Form 4
2026-04-29	Puckett Jonathan A.	officer	Award / grant	41,513	90,726	Form 4
2026-04-29	Riveros Pedro	officer	Award / grant	24,898	78,888	Form 4
2026-04-29	Quinones Carlos	officer	Award / grant	23,018	112,710	Form 4
2026-02-19	Painter Corning F.	director	Withheld for tax	31,907	1,082,194	Form 4
2026-02-19	Painter Corning F.	director	Withheld for tax	23,789	1,060,586	Form 4
2026-02-19	Riveros Pedro	officer	Withheld for tax	2,982	53,990	Form 4
2026-02-19	Niewiem Sandra	officer	Withheld for tax	2,827	27,380	Form 4
2026-02-19	Riveros Pedro	officer	Withheld for tax	2,721	49,984	Form 4
2026-02-19	Niewiem Sandra	officer	Withheld for tax	2,662	24,255	Form 4
2026-02-19	Quinones Carlos	officer	Withheld for tax	2,129	89,692	Form 4
2026-02-19	Quinones Carlos	officer	Withheld for tax	1,790	85,305	Form 4
2026-02-19	Quinones Carlos	officer	Award / grant	6,516	91,821	Form 4
2026-02-19	Painter Corning F.	director	Award / grant	83,515	1,114,101	Form 4
2026-02-19	Riveros Pedro	officer	Award / grant	6,988	56,972	Form 4
2026-02-19	Niewiem Sandra	officer	Award / grant	5,952	30,207	Form 4
2025-12-13	Puckett Jonathan A.	officer	Award / grant	49,213	49,213	Form 4
2025-06-27	HUCK PAUL E	director	Award / grant	12,935	84,207	Form 4
2025-06-27	Hoogerbrugge Jacqueline	director	Award / grant	12,935	12,935	Form 4
2025-06-27	GALVIN KERRY A	director	Award / grant	12,935	65,603	Form 4
2025-06-27	LINDSEY MARY A	director	Award / grant	12,935	55,889	Form 4
2025-06-27	SMITH DAN F	director	Award / grant	12,935	91,707	Form 4
2025-06-27	Wurth Michel	director	Award / grant	12,935	45,889	Form 4
2025-06-27	Miraton Didier	director	Award / grant	12,935	54,207	Form 4
2025-06-27	PAIK YI HYON	director	Award / grant	12,935	45,889	Form 4
2025-05-05	Glajch Jeffrey	director	Award / grant	13,511	118,022	Form 4
2025-05-05	Niewiem Sandra	officer	Award / grant	7,098	26,917	Form 4
2025-05-05	Painter Corning F.	director	Award / grant	70,931	1,064,375	Form 4
2025-05-05	Quinones Carlos	officer	Award / grant	7,393	87,095	Form 4
2025-05-05	Riveros Pedro	officer	Award / grant	7,997	52,705	Form 4
2025-02-20	Painter Corning F.	director	Withheld for tax	57,894	993,444	Form 4
2025-02-20	Painter Corning F.	director	Withheld for tax	41,130	917,646	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i