ODD · TickerCove

ODDOddity Tech Ltd.Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Productsas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $18.14 · now $18.14 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ODD has typically landed between $13.45 and $23.67 — a range of −25.8% to +30.5% from the issuance price $18.14.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

773 overlapping 1 month windows · 2023-07-19 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($18.14) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$18.14 · 16% of range

$9.81 low$62.72 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−1.9%

typical move · IQR 23.1%

−25.8%worst (p90)+30.5%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where ODD has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $18.14 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $18.14 (+0.0%)
typical $17.79 (-1.9%)
middle 50% $15.69–$19.89
90% range $13.45–$23.67

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 773 windows spanning 2023-07-19 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2026-01-28	−64.8%	−64.8%	+0.5%
2026-01-29	−63.4%	−65.0%	+0.0%
2026-01-30	−62.4%	−64.2%	+0.3%
3 best
2026-06-02	+81.9%	−0.3%	+81.9%
2025-04-08	+78.9%	+0.0%	+78.9%
2026-06-08	+74.5%	+0.0%	+80.3%

773 overlapping windows · 2023-07-19 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~4 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

33%

−5.3%

n=3

Feb

33%

−20.7%

n=3

Mar

67%

+2.5%

n=3

Apr

67%

+8.0%

n=3

May

67%

+8.6%

n=3

Jun

100%

+7.6%

n=3

Jul

33%

−3.5%

n=3

Aug

25%

−10.9%

n=4

Sep

75%

+1.8%

n=4

Oct

−14.1%

n=3

Nov

67%

+16.7%

n=3

Dec

33%

+6.6%

n=3

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-03	Drucker Mann Lindsay	officer	Sale	809 @ $15.01	$12K	−0.7% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	116,135	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-09-01	Drucker Mann Lindsay	officer	Sale	7,717 @ $15.09	$116K	−6.2% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	116,135	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-31	Drucker Mann Lindsay	officer	Sale	12,286 @ $14.27	$175K	−9.6% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	116,135	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-28	Drucker Mann Lindsay	officer	Sale	21,571 @ $15.14	$327K	−17.1% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	104,492	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-27	Drucker Mann Lindsay	officer	Sale	5,503 @ $15.00	$83K	−5.0% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	104,492	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-26	Drucker Mann Lindsay	officer	Sale	3,493 @ $15.01	$52K	−3.2% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	104,492	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-05	Drucker Mann Lindsay	officer	Sale	11,473 @ $15.10	$173K	−9.9% of holding	−7.6%	not yet — horizon still open	104,492	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-30	Drucker Mann Lindsay	officer	Sale	100,000 @ $15.09	$1.5M	−56.3% of holding	−2.5%	not yet — horizon still open	77,709	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-30	Drucker Mann Lindsay	officer	Sale	9,602 @ $15.10	$145K	−9.4% of holding	−2.5%	not yet — horizon still open	92,036	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-01	Drucker Mann Lindsay	officer	Sale	9,603 @ $13.44	$129K	−11.0% of holding	+23.1%	not yet — horizon still open	77,709	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-30	Drucker Mann Lindsay	officer	Sale	9,600 @ $15.62	$150K	−13.2% of holding	−7.9%	not yet — horizon still open	63,383	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-31	Drucker Mann Lindsay	officer	Sale	9,604 @ $12.85	$123K	−16.4% of holding	−3.5%	not yet — horizon still open	49,054	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

35 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-03	Drucker Mann Lindsay	officer	Option exercise	809	116,944	Form 4
2026-09-03	Drucker Mann Lindsay	officer	Option exercise	809	287,747	Form 4
2026-09-01	Drucker Mann Lindsay	officer	Option exercise	7,717	123,852	Form 4
2026-09-01	Drucker Mann Lindsay	officer	Option exercise	7,717	288,556	Form 4
2026-08-31	Drucker Mann Lindsay	officer	Option exercise	23,929	717,877	Form 4
2026-08-31	Drucker Mann Lindsay	officer	Option exercise	23,929	128,421	Form 4
2026-08-28	Drucker Mann Lindsay	officer	Option exercise	21,571	126,063	Form 4
2026-08-28	Drucker Mann Lindsay	officer	Option exercise	21,571	296,273	Form 4
2026-08-27	Drucker Mann Lindsay	officer	Option exercise	5,503	109,995	Form 4
2026-08-27	Drucker Mann Lindsay	officer	Option exercise	5,503	317,844	Form 4
2026-08-26	Drucker Mann Lindsay	officer	Option exercise	3,493	107,985	Form 4
2026-08-26	Drucker Mann Lindsay	officer	Option exercise	3,493	323,347	Form 4
2026-07-31	Drucker Mann Lindsay	officer	Option exercise	23,929	115,965	Form 4
2026-07-31	Drucker Mann Lindsay	officer	Option exercise	23,929	741,806	Form 4
2026-07-29	Cheresniya Ohad	director	Award / grant	10,889	10,889	Form 4
2026-07-29	Nir Yehoshua	director	Award / grant	10,889	10,889	Form 4
2026-07-29	Payorski Lilach	director	Award / grant	10,889	10,889	Form 4
2026-07-28	Payorski Lilach	director	Option exercise	4,596	0	Form 4
2026-07-28	Cheresniya Ohad	director	Option exercise	4,596	17,513	Form 4
2026-07-28	Cheresniya Ohad	director	Option exercise	4,596	0	Form 4
2026-07-28	Nir Yehoshua	director	Option exercise	4,596	8,645	Form 4
2026-07-28	Nir Yehoshua	director	Option exercise	4,596	0	Form 4
2026-07-28	Payorski Lilach	director	Option exercise	4,596	15,513	Form 4
2026-07-19	Cheresniya Ohad	director	Option exercise	2,956	12,917	Form 4
2026-07-19	Cheresniya Ohad	director	Option exercise	2,956	4,596	Form 4
2026-06-30	Drucker Mann Lindsay	officer	Option exercise	100,000	177,709	Form 4
2026-06-30	Drucker Mann Lindsay	officer	Option exercise	23,929	101,638	Form 4
2026-06-30	Drucker Mann Lindsay	officer	Option exercise	100,000	326,840	Form 4
2026-06-30	Drucker Mann Lindsay	officer	Option exercise	23,929	765,735	Form 4
2026-05-31	Drucker Mann Lindsay	officer	Option exercise	23,929	789,664	Form 4
2026-05-31	Drucker Mann Lindsay	officer	Option exercise	23,929	87,312	Form 4
2026-04-30	Drucker Mann Lindsay	officer	Option exercise	23,929	813,593	Form 4
2026-04-30	Drucker Mann Lindsay	officer	Option exercise	23,929	72,983	Form 4
2026-03-31	Drucker Mann Lindsay	officer	Option exercise	23,929	837,522	Form 4
2026-03-31	Drucker Mann Lindsay	officer	Option exercise	23,929	58,658	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i