Issued 2026-09-16 at $42.91 · now $42.91 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, NYAX has typically landed between $36.18 and $52.65 — a range of −15.7% to +22.7% from the issuance price $42.91.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
840 overlapping 1 month windows · 2022-09-21 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($42.91) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where NYAX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $42.91 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $42.91 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $43.91 (+2.3%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $40.8–$47.03
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $36.18–$52.65
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 840 windows spanning 2022-09-21 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-07-24 | −33.7% | −33.7% | +0.3% |
| 2026-07-23 | −31.5% | −31.5% | +2.9% |
| 2026-07-20 | −30.9% | −30.9% | +3.8% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2024-01-08 | +45.2% | +0.0% | +45.2% |
| 2024-01-10 | +44.5% | +0.0% | +44.5% |
| 2023-12-29 | +42.5% | −0.3% | +42.5% |
840 overlapping windows · 2022-09-21 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~4 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
100%
+19.5%
n=4
Feb
25%
−2.6%
n=4
Mar
25%
−3.0%
n=4
Apr
50%
+10.9%
n=4
May
100%
+6.1%
n=4
Jun
50%
−2.9%
n=4
Jul
75%
+1.4%
n=4
Aug
75%
+1.5%
n=4
Sep
50%
−2.7%
n=4
Oct
50%
−2.8%
n=4
Nov
50%
−3.7%
n=4
Dec
50%
+2.6%
n=4
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Tepper Oren | officer | Sale | 65 @ $51.81 | $3K | −0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 18,936 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | Manor Sagit | director | Sale | 123 @ $52.39 | $6K | −0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 45,115 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | Furman Carly Lisanne | officer | Sale | 96 @ $52.31 | $5K | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 21,124 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | Greenberg Aaron Samuel | officer | Sale | 77 @ $52.31 | $4K | −0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 25,202 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | Sever Michal | officer | Sale | 34 @ $52.31 | $2K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 17,199 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-27 | Sever Michal | officer | Sale | 38 @ $52.98 | $2K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 17,233 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | Havshush Eran | director | Sale | 20 @ $52.61 | $1K | −2.9% of holding | −11.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 661 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Greenberg Aaron Samuel | officer | Sale | 221 @ $69.23 | $15K | −0.9% of holding | −23.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 25,279 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Greenberg Aaron Samuel | officer | Sale | 55 @ $68.20 | $4K | −0.2% of holding | −23.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 25,500 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Manor Sagit | director | Sale | 1,252 @ $66.74 | $84K | −2.7% of holding | +0.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 45,238 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | Zafrani Eden | officer | Sale | 500 @ $64.89 | $32K | −3.3% of holding | +2.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 14,869 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-29 | Manor Sagit | director | Sale | 214 @ $63.86 | $14K | −0.5% of holding | +7.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 46,490 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-29 | Furman Carly Lisanne | officer | Sale | 109 @ $64.42 | $7K | −0.5% of holding | +7.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,220 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-29 | Tepper Oren | officer | Sale | 74 @ $63.80 | $5K | −0.4% of holding | +7.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 19,001 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-29 | Greenberg Aaron Samuel | officer | Sale | 54 @ $63.85 | $3K | −0.2% of holding | +7.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 25,555 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-29 | Sever Michal | officer | Sale | 35 @ $63.89 | $2K | −0.2% of holding | +7.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 17,271 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | Furman Carly Lisanne | officer | Sale | 110 @ $63.71 | $7K | −0.5% of holding | +6.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,329 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | Manor Sagit | director | Sale | 79 @ $64.02 | $5K | −0.2% of holding | +6.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 46,704 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | Tepper Oren | officer | Sale | 57 @ $64.02 | $4K | −0.3% of holding | +6.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 19,075 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-04 | Manor Sagit | director | Sale | 489 @ $68.06 | $33K | −1.0% of holding | −2.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 46,783 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-04 | Furman Carly Lisanne | officer | Sale | 382 @ $68.08 | $26K | −1.8% of holding | −2.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,439 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-04 | Greenberg Aaron Samuel | officer | Sale | 306 @ $68.06 | $21K | −1.2% of holding | −2.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 25,609 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-04 | Tepper Oren | officer | Sale | 260 @ $68.06 | $18K | −1.3% of holding | −2.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 19,132 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Furman Carly Lisanne | officer | Sale | 1,753 @ $73.31 | $129K | −7.4% of holding | −6.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,821 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Tepper Oren | officer | Sale | 1,052 @ $73.31 | $77K | −5.1% of holding | −6.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 19,392 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Greenberg Aaron Samuel | officer | Sale | 440 @ $73.31 | $32K | −1.7% of holding | −6.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 25,915 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-29 | Ben-Avi David | director | Sale | 16,590 @ $76.48 | $1.3M | −0.3% of holding | −12.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,587,718 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | Ben-Avi David | director | Sale | 13,596 @ $74.93 | $1.0M | −0.2% of holding | −12.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,604,308 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-27 | Sharir Keren | officer | Sale | 2,500 @ $72.18 | $180K | −8.0% of holding | −11.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 28,876 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-27 | Sharir Keren | officer | Sale | 2,000 @ $71.32 | $143K | −6.9% of holding | −11.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 26,876 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-19 | Amnipour Erez | officer | Sale | 231 @ $67.00 | $15K | −1.4% of holding | −4.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 16,627 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Manor Sagit | director | Sale | 251 @ $64.58 | $16K | −0.5% of holding | −1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 47,272 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | Sever Michal | officer | Sale | 3,437 @ $64.28 | $221K | −16.6% of holding | +2.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 17,306 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | Sever Michal | officer | Sale | 1,563 @ $64.41 | $101K | −8.3% of holding | +2.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 17,306 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Havshush Eran | director | Sale | 19 @ $67.57 | $1K | −2.7% of holding | −0.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 681 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-04 | Greenberg Aaron Samuel | officer | Sale | 276 @ $70.43 | $19K | −1.1% of holding | −7.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 25,477 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-22 | Manor Sagit | director | Sale | 1,754 @ $63.94 | $112K | −3.6% of holding | −0.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 47,523 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-22 | Greenberg Aaron Samuel | officer | Sale | 1,002 @ $63.94 | $64K | −3.7% of holding | −0.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 25,753 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-31 | Manor Sagit | director | Sale | 1,252 @ $54.78 | $69K | −2.5% of holding | +15.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 49,277 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-31 | Furman Carly Lisanne | officer | Sale | 313 @ $54.78 | $17K | −2.6% of holding | +15.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,574 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-30 | Tepper Oren | officer | Sale | 74 @ $53.93 | $4K | −0.9% of holding | +12.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,444 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-27 | Manor Sagit | director | Sale | 215 @ $54.54 | $12K | −0.4% of holding | +13.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 50,529 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-27 | Furman Carly Lisanne | officer | Sale | 109 @ $54.54 | $6K | −0.9% of holding | +13.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,887 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-27 | Greenberg Aaron Samuel | officer | Sale | 54 @ $54.54 | $3K | −0.2% of holding | +13.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 26,755 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-27 | Sever Michal | officer | Sale | 35 @ $54.54 | $2K | −0.7% of holding | +13.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,306 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-26 | Furman Carly Lisanne | officer | Sale | 110 @ $55.14 | $6K | −0.9% of holding | +10.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,996 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-26 | Manor Sagit | director | Sale | 79 @ $55.14 | $4K | −0.2% of holding | +10.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 50,744 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-26 | Tepper Oren | officer | Sale | 57 @ $55.14 | $3K | −0.7% of holding | +10.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,518 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
23 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Nechmad Yair | director | Option exercise | 75,000 | 7,168,442 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | Nechmad Yair | director | Option exercise | 75,000 | 7,243,442 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | Nechmad Yair | director | Option exercise | 70,000 | 7,313,442 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | Nechmad Yair | director | Option exercise | 15,605 | 7,329,047 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | Nechmad Yair | director | Option exercise | 70,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | Nechmad Yair | director | Option exercise | 15,605 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | Nechmad Yair | director | Option exercise | 75,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | Sharir Keren | officer | Option exercise | 4,500 | 31,376 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | Sharir Keren | officer | Option exercise | 4,500 | 23,100 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Sever Michal | officer | Option exercise | 3,437 | 20,743 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Sever Michal | officer | Option exercise | 1,563 | 18,869 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Sever Michal | officer | Option exercise | 3,437 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Sever Michal | officer | Option exercise | 1,563 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-10 | Greenberg Aaron Samuel | officer | Award / grant | 878 | 26,355 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-10 | Amnipour Erez | officer | Award / grant | 12,000 | 16,858 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-10 | Furman Carly Lisanne | officer | Award / grant | 12,000 | 23,574 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-10 | Erel Tami | officer | Award / grant | 12,000 | 25,849 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-10 | Sever Michal | officer | Award / grant | 12,000 | 17,306 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-10 | Zafrani Eden | officer | Award / grant | 12,000 | 15,369 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-10 | Sharir Keren | officer | Award / grant | 12,000 | 26,876 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-10 | Omer Gal | officer | Award / grant | 12,000 | 18,539 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-10 | Tepper Oren | officer | Award / grant | 12,000 | 20,444 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-10 | Aharon Yaron | officer | Award / grant | 12,000 | 20,794 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.