Issued 2026-09-16 at $163.67 · now $163.67 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, NXST has typically landed between $141.58 and $188.72 — a range of −13.5% to +15.3% from the issuance price $163.67.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($163.67) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where NXST has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $163.67 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $163.67 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $164.77 (+0.7%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $154.22–$175.32
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $141.58–$188.72
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-09-26 | −79.8% | −79.8% | +14.5% |
| 2008-09-29 | −76.4% | −82.4% | +0.0% |
| 2008-09-22 | −74.3% | −74.3% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-07-27 | +285.5% | +0.0% | +285.5% |
| 2009-07-28 | +279.8% | +0.0% | +279.8% |
| 2009-07-31 | +275.1% | +0.0% | +275.1% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
65%
+6.4%
n=20
Feb
50%
+6.0%
n=20
Mar
60%
−1.1%
n=20
Apr
60%
+6.1%
n=20
May
65%
+2.6%
n=20
Jun
60%
−1.4%
n=20
Jul
75%
+2.7%
n=20
Aug
45%
+12.3%
n=20
Sep
55%
+2.2%
n=20
Oct
40%
−2.6%
n=20
Nov
65%
+5.5%
n=20
Dec
75%
+3.8%
n=20
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Biard Michael | officer | Sale | 2,465 @ $185.82 | $458K | −10.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 20,890 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-24 | Aulestia Bernadette S. | director | Sale | 300 @ $186.80 | $56K | −6.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,383 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-14 | ZIMMER DANA | officer | Sale | 4,008 @ $187.46 | $751K | −69.1% of holding | −8.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,792 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | SOOK PERRY A | director | Purchase | 12,235 @ $162.26 | $2.0M | +1.4% of holding | +16.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 899,044 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-16 | ZIMMER DANA | officer | Sale | 876 @ $170.81 | $150K | −13.1% of holding | +7.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,800 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-16 | COMPTON SEAN | officer | Sale | 840 @ $170.81 | $143K | −5.5% of holding | +7.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 14,430 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-16 | ALFORD ANDREW | officer | Sale | 746 @ $170.81 | $127K | −4.9% of holding | +7.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 14,549 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-16 | Gliha Lee Ann | officer | Sale | 373 @ $170.81 | $64K | −1.8% of holding | +7.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 20,075 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-16 | Jenkins Brett | officer | Sale | 301 @ $170.81 | $51K | −1.0% of holding | +7.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 28,798 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-16 | WEITMAN GARY | officer | Sale | 261 @ $170.81 | $45K | −3.6% of holding | +7.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,963 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-16 | Russell Blake | officer | Sale | 261 @ $170.81 | $45K | −0.9% of holding | +7.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 28,296 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-16 | Knapp Lindsey | officer | Sale | 93 @ $170.81 | $16K | −7.5% of holding | +7.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,152 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-12 | Biard Michael | officer | Sale | 1,227 @ $174.21 | $214K | −6.7% of holding | +3.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 17,105 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | WEITMAN GARY | officer | Sale | 194 @ $174.21 | $34K | −2.9% of holding | +3.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,568 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | ZIMMER DANA | officer | Sale | 915 @ $176.42 | $161K | −13.8% of holding | −2.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,738 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | COMPTON SEAN | officer | Sale | 875 @ $176.42 | $154K | −5.8% of holding | −2.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 14,332 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | ALFORD ANDREW | officer | Sale | 778 @ $176.42 | $137K | −5.1% of holding | −2.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 14,357 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | Gliha Lee Ann | officer | Sale | 752 @ $176.42 | $133K | −3.7% of holding | −2.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 19,510 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | Jenkins Brett | officer | Sale | 284 @ $176.42 | $50K | −1.0% of holding | −2.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 28,443 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | Russell Blake | officer | Sale | 239 @ $176.42 | $42K | −0.8% of holding | −2.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 27,901 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-09 | McMillen Charles Thomas | director | Sale | 1,000 @ $180.00 | $180K | −15.0% of holding | −5.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,658 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-04 | ZIMMER DANA | officer | Sale | 433 @ $182.42 | $79K | −10.3% of holding | +0.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,777 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-04 | COMPTON SEAN | officer | Sale | 414 @ $182.42 | $76K | −3.2% of holding | +0.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,331 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-04 | Jenkins Brett | officer | Sale | 397 @ $182.42 | $72K | −1.4% of holding | +0.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 27,977 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-04 | ALFORD ANDREW | officer | Sale | 368 @ $182.42 | $67K | −2.9% of holding | +0.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,259 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-04 | Russell Blake | officer | Sale | 319 @ $182.42 | $58K | −1.2% of holding | +0.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 27,390 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-04 | WEITMAN GARY | officer | Sale | 319 @ $182.42 | $58K | −5.0% of holding | +0.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,012 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-04 | Gliha Lee Ann | officer | Sale | 258 @ $182.42 | $47K | −1.4% of holding | +0.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 18,387 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Knapp Lindsey | officer | Sale | 290 @ $184.27 | $53K | −25.0% of holding | +1.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 870 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | ALFORD ANDREW | officer | Sale | 605 @ $185.33 | $112K | −4.9% of holding | −6.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,689 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-27 | Biard Michael | officer | Sale | 989 @ $187.32 | $185K | −6.1% of holding | −8.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 15,224 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-27 | Gliha Lee Ann | officer | Sale | 742 @ $187.32 | $139K | −4.0% of holding | −8.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 17,988 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-27 | ZIMMER DANA | officer | Sale | 465 @ $187.32 | $87K | −12.4% of holding | −8.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,272 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-27 | COMPTON SEAN | officer | Sale | 445 @ $187.32 | $83K | −3.6% of holding | −8.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,807 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-27 | ALFORD ANDREW | officer | Sale | 395 @ $187.32 | $74K | −3.1% of holding | −8.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,294 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-27 | Lanzano Dan | officer | Sale | 247 @ $187.32 | $46K | −36.4% of holding | −8.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 431 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-27 | Jenkins Brett | officer | Sale | 229 @ $187.32 | $43K | −0.8% of holding | −8.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 27,061 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-27 | Russell Blake | officer | Sale | 185 @ $187.32 | $35K | −0.7% of holding | −8.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 26,396 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-27 | Morgan Rachel | officer | Sale | 185 @ $187.32 | $35K | −24.7% of holding | −8.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 565 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-27 | WEITMAN GARY | officer | Sale | 184 @ $187.32 | $34K | −3.5% of holding | −8.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,018 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-27 | Knapp Lindsey | officer | Sale | 92 @ $187.32 | $17K | −7.3% of holding | −8.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,160 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-19 | COMPTON SEAN | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $196.00 | $980K | −30.8% of holding | −15.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,252 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-18 | Lanzano Dan | officer | Sale | 237 @ $196.37 | $47K | −100.0% of holding | −15.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-27 | Morgan Rachel | officer | Sale | 3,127 @ $213.72 | $668K | −100.0% of holding | −16.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-27 | Weaver Robert S. | officer | Sale | 1,872 @ $213.25 | $399K | −100.0% of holding | −16.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-27 | MUSE JOHN R | director | Sale | 1,500 @ $219.63 | $329K | −5.2% of holding | −16.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 27,161 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-27 | WEITMAN GARY | officer | Sale | 1,005 @ $212.49 | $214K | −17.6% of holding | −16.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,702 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-27 | Wells Royce A. | director | Sale | 825 @ $212.76 | $176K | −36.3% of holding | −16.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,445 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-25 | Biard Michael | officer | Sale | 1,802 @ $218.53 | $394K | −11.6% of holding | −15.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 13,713 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-25 | Gliha Lee Ann | officer | Sale | 1,337 @ $218.53 | $292K | −7.3% of holding | −15.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 16,855 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-25 | Weaver Robert S. | officer | Sale | 1,101 @ $218.53 | $241K | −37.0% of holding | −15.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,872 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-25 | ZIMMER DANA | officer | Sale | 839 @ $218.53 | $183K | −23.5% of holding | −15.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,737 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-25 | COMPTON SEAN | officer | Sale | 804 @ $218.53 | $176K | −4.7% of holding | −15.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 16,252 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-25 | ALFORD ANDREW | officer | Sale | 623 @ $218.53 | $136K | −5.1% of holding | −15.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,689 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-25 | Jenkins Brett | officer | Sale | 414 @ $218.53 | $90K | −1.5% of holding | −15.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 26,540 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-25 | Morgan Rachel | officer | Sale | 333 @ $218.53 | $73K | −9.6% of holding | −15.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,127 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-25 | Russell Blake | officer | Sale | 333 @ $218.53 | $73K | −1.3% of holding | −15.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 25,831 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-25 | WEITMAN GARY | officer | Sale | 333 @ $218.53 | $73K | −5.5% of holding | −15.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,707 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-25 | Lanzano Dan | officer | Sale | 138 @ $218.53 | $30K | −36.8% of holding | −15.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 237 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-24 | ZIMMER DANA | officer | Sale | 4,409 @ $225.50 | $994K | −55.2% of holding | −16.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,576 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
230 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Biard Michael | officer | Option exercise | 6,250 | 23,355 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Biard Michael | officer | Option exercise | 6,250 | 6,250 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-14 | ALFORD ANDREW | officer | Option exercise | 938 | 937 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-14 | ZIMMER DANA | officer | Option exercise | 938 | 937 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-14 | COMPTON SEAN | officer | Option exercise | 938 | 937 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-14 | WEITMAN GARY | officer | Option exercise | 656 | 656 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-14 | Jenkins Brett | officer | Option exercise | 656 | 656 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-14 | Gliha Lee Ann | officer | Option exercise | 938 | 937 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-14 | Knapp Lindsey | officer | Option exercise | 375 | 375 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-14 | Russell Blake | officer | Option exercise | 656 | 656 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-14 | ZIMMER DANA | officer | Option exercise | 938 | 6,676 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-14 | Jenkins Brett | officer | Option exercise | 656 | 29,099 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-14 | Knapp Lindsey | officer | Option exercise | 375 | 1,245 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-14 | Gliha Lee Ann | officer | Option exercise | 938 | 20,448 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-14 | ALFORD ANDREW | officer | Option exercise | 938 | 15,295 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-14 | COMPTON SEAN | officer | Option exercise | 938 | 15,270 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-14 | Jenkins Brett | officer | Option exercise | 656 | 29,099 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-14 | Knapp Lindsey | officer | Option exercise | 375 | 1,245 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-14 | Russell Blake | officer | Option exercise | 656 | 28,557 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-14 | WEITMAN GARY | officer | Option exercise | 656 | 7,224 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-14 | Russell Blake | officer | Option exercise | 656 | 28,557 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-14 | WEITMAN GARY | officer | Option exercise | 656 | 7,224 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-14 | ZIMMER DANA | officer | Option exercise | 938 | 6,676 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-14 | ALFORD ANDREW | officer | Option exercise | 938 | 15,295 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-14 | COMPTON SEAN | officer | Option exercise | 938 | 15,270 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-14 | Gliha Lee Ann | officer | Option exercise | 938 | 20,448 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | WEITMAN GARY | officer | Option exercise | 750 | 1,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | WEITMAN GARY | officer | Option exercise | 750 | 6,762 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | WEITMAN GARY | officer | Option exercise | 750 | 6,762 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | ALFORD ANDREW | officer | Option exercise | 938 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | ZIMMER DANA | officer | Option exercise | 938 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | ZIMMER DANA | officer | Option exercise | 1,000 | 2,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | ALFORD ANDREW | officer | Option exercise | 1,000 | 2,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | COMPTON SEAN | officer | Option exercise | 1,000 | 2,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | COMPTON SEAN | officer | Option exercise | 938 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | ALFORD ANDREW | officer | Option exercise | 938 | 937 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | COMPTON SEAN | officer | Option exercise | 938 | 937 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | Biard Michael | officer | Option exercise | 2,500 | 5,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | ZIMMER DANA | officer | Option exercise | 938 | 937 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | ZIMMER DANA | officer | Option exercise | 938 | 6,653 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.