NXQuanex Building Products CorporationBasic Materials · Construction Materialsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $20.78 · now $20.78 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, NX has typically landed between $16.76 and $25.04 — a range of −19.3% to +20.5% from the issuance price $20.78.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($20.78) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where NX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $20.78 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$16.76worst · -19.3%$25.04best · +20.5%
  • now $20.78 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $21.04 (+1.3%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $19.46–$22.63
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $16.76–$25.04
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−56.6%−56.6%+2.8%
2020-02-19−56.4%−57.8%+0.0%
2020-02-20−56.1%−57.6%+0.4%
3 best
2009-03-16+78.3%+0.0%+78.3%
2009-03-06+73.8%−4.3%+73.8%
2009-03-11+71.2%−3.8%+71.2%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
55%
+0.4%
n=20
Feb
45%
−0.7%
n=20
Mar
65%
−1.8%
n=20
Apr
65%
+3.9%
n=20
May
50%
+0.8%
n=20
Jun
65%
+2.5%
n=20
Jul
55%
+1.2%
n=20
Aug
35%
−2.1%
n=20
Sep
70%
+0.7%
n=20
Oct
50%
+0.5%
n=20
Nov
75%
+4.9%
n=20
Dec
55%
+2.4%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$23$112025-12-17: 1 insider sale, $1.9M — Teleios Capital Partners GmbH2025-12-16: 1 insider sale, $1.3M — Teleios Capital Partners GmbH2025-09-11: 3 insider purchases, $99K — Hughes Bradley E. …2025-09: 3 open-market purchases, $99K2025-12: 2 open-market sales, $3.2M↑ buys↓ salesother Teleios Capital Partners GmbH — Sale on 2025-12-17, filed 1 day after the tradeother Teleios Capital Partners GmbH — Sale on 2025-12-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Hughes Bradley E. — Purchase on 2025-09-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Hughes Bradley E. — Purchase on 2025-09-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Hughes Bradley E. — Purchase on 2025-09-11, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2025-12-17Teleios Capital Partners GmbHotherSale119,485 @ $15.94$1.9M−2.6% of holding+13.9%−4.6%4,421,879Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-16Teleios Capital Partners GmbHotherSale80,515 @ $16.51$1.3M−1.7% of holding+13.1%−5.2%4,541,364Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-11Hughes Bradley E.directorPurchase3,500 @ $15.21$53K+116.7% of holding−10.2%+10.8%6,500Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-11Hughes Bradley E.directorPurchase1,900 @ $15.37$29Kownership Δ n/a−10.2%+10.8%1,900Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-11Hughes Bradley E.directorPurchase1,100 @ $15.31$17K+57.9% of holding−10.2%+10.8%3,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-19Wilson George LavernedirectorPurchase4,328 @ $23.03$100K+1.5% of holding−3.2%−23.7%287,644Form 4 · filed same day
2024-12-19Zuehlke Scott M.officerPurchase435 @ $23.10$10K+0.6% of holding−3.2%−23.7%74,297Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

74 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-27Hughes Bradley E.directorAward / grant1,65119,296Form 4
2026-08-27Waltz William E Jr.directorAward / grant1,27024,581Form 4
2026-08-27Shah Manish HdirectorAward / grant1,2079,129Form 4
2026-08-27Lawler Mary KatherinedirectorAward / grant1,2074,785Form 4
2026-08-27LIPPERT JASONdirectorAward / grant1,20720,529Form 4
2026-05-28Hughes Bradley E.directorAward / grant1,72617,569Form 4
2026-05-28Waltz William E Jr.directorAward / grant1,32823,211Form 4
2026-05-28Shah Manish HdirectorAward / grant1,2617,888Form 4
2026-05-28Lawler Mary KatherinedirectorAward / grant1,2613,563Form 4
2026-05-28LIPPERT JASONdirectorAward / grant1,26119,239Form 4
2026-02-26Hughes Bradley E.directorAward / grant1,37015,787Form 4
2026-02-26Waltz William E Jr.directorAward / grant1,20621,786Form 4
2026-02-26LIPPERT JASONdirectorAward / grant1,13917,883Form 4
2026-02-26Shah Manish HdirectorAward / grant1,1396,598Form 4
2026-02-26Lawler Mary KatherinedirectorAward / grant1,1392,291Form 4
2025-12-07Wilson George LavernedirectorWithheld for tax8,304347,294Form 4
2025-12-07Zuehlke Scott M.officerWithheld for tax2,07088,827Form 4
2025-12-07Cornett PaulofficerWithheld for tax1,77869,996Form 4
2025-12-07Garcia KimberleyofficerWithheld for tax1,07230,801Form 4
2025-12-04Hughes Bradley E.directorAward / grant1,92214,342Form 4
2025-12-04Waltz William E Jr.directorAward / grant1,73920,474Form 4
2025-12-04LIPPERT JASONdirectorAward / grant1,73916,657Form 4
2025-12-04Shah Manish HdirectorAward / grant1,7395,430Form 4
2025-12-04Lawler Mary KatherinedirectorAward / grant1,1461,146Form 4
2025-12-04Cornett PaulofficerAward / grant13,10071,774Form 4
2025-12-04Garcia GabrielaofficerAward / grant5,7005,700Form 4
2025-12-04Navascues JessicaofficerAward / grant5,2007,722Form 4
2025-12-04Garcia KimberleyofficerAward / grant9,10031,873Form 4
2025-12-04Zuehlke Scott M.officerAward / grant16,60090,897Form 4
2025-12-04Wilson George LavernedirectorAward / grant67,900355,598Form 4
2025-11-04Maier Donald R.directorAward / grant8,04536,509Form 4
2025-11-03Hughes Bradley E.directorAward / grant8,04523,248Form 4
2025-11-03DAVIS SUSAN FdirectorAward / grant8,04555,159Form 4
2025-11-03Waltz William E Jr.directorAward / grant8,04529,368Form 4
2025-11-03SINGHI AMITdirectorAward / grant8,04512,308Form 4
2025-11-03LIPPERT JASONdirectorAward / grant8,04524,955Form 4
2025-11-03Shah Manish HdirectorAward / grant8,04512,308Form 4
2025-11-03Lawler Mary KatherinedirectorAward / grant8,0458,045Form 4
2025-11-03Lawler Mary KatherinedirectorAward / grant8,0458,045Form 4
2025-11-01DAVIS SUSAN FdirectorDisposition3,5300Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.