NWENorthwestern Energy Group IncUtilities · Regulated Electricas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $68.52 · now $68.52 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, NWE has typically landed between $63.41 and $74.19 — a range of −7.5% to +8.3% from the issuance price $68.52.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($68.52) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where NWE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $68.52 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$63.41worst · -7.5%$74.19best · +8.3%
  • now $68.52 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $69.06 (+0.8%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $67.01–$71.12
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $63.41–$74.19
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-20−39.1%−39.1%+0.0%
2020-02-21−37.5%−38.4%+0.0%
2008-09-26−33.8%−33.8%+0.0%
3 best
2008-11-20+25.9%+0.0%+25.9%
2020-03-20+22.5%+0.0%+33.9%
2020-03-23+21.0%+0.0%+32.0%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
60%
+0.3%
n=20
Feb
65%
+0.1%
n=20
Mar
80%
+2.4%
n=20
Apr
60%
+1.3%
n=20
May
45%
−0.5%
n=20
Jun
50%
+0.4%
n=20
Jul
50%
−0.1%
n=20
Aug
50%
−0.1%
n=20
Sep
45%
−0.2%
n=20
Oct
65%
+1.0%
n=20
Nov
70%
+3.2%
n=20
Dec
70%
+1.5%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$73$53↑ buys↓ sales
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2025-05-02Cashell Michael RofficerSale2,349 @ $58.03$136K−8.9% of holding−12.5%−16.0%24,088Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-25Ide Britt EdirectorSale702 @ $54.32$38K−6.0% of holding+6.4%−1.2%11,021Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-12Clark Anthony ThomasdirectorSale7,400 @ $51.95$384K−30.6% of holding+5.6%+2.9%16,816Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-09Ide Britt EdirectorSale700 @ $53.57$37K−6.0% of holding+1.3%+1.5%10,888Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

121 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-06HORSFALL JAN ROBERTdirectorAward / grant52411,670Form 4
2026-08-04Yingling Jeffrey W.directorAward / grant52424,349Form 4
2026-07-09Sullivan Linda GdirectorAward / grant76834,586Form 4
2026-07-09Goodin David LdirectorAward / grant5245,624Form 4
2026-07-09Ide Britt EdirectorAward / grant52415,558Form 4
2026-07-09Larson Kent TdirectorAward / grant52412,041Form 4
2026-07-09Edwards Sherina M.directorAward / grant5249,978Form 4
2026-07-06YAZDI MAHVASHdirectorAward / grant52422,932Form 4
2026-05-11HORSFALL JAN ROBERTdirectorAward / grant56911,109Form 4
2026-05-11Yingling Jeffrey W.directorAward / grant56923,616Form 4
2026-04-07Sullivan Linda GdirectorAward / grant83433,650Form 4
2026-04-07Ide Britt EdirectorAward / grant56914,895Form 4
2026-04-07Larson Kent TdirectorAward / grant56911,517Form 4
2026-04-07YAZDI MAHVASHdirectorAward / grant56922,291Form 4
2026-04-07Goodin David LdirectorAward / grant5695,100Form 4
2026-04-07Edwards Sherina M.directorAward / grant5699,454Form 4
2026-03-03Hines John DofficerAward / grant1,35442,370Form 4
2026-03-03Hines John DofficerWithheld for tax39841,972Form 4
2026-02-27BIRD BRIAN BdirectorAward / grant20,864225,388Form 4
2026-02-27Lail Crystal DawnofficerAward / grant6,18636,587Form 4
2026-02-27Heim ShannonofficerAward / grant2,8189,687Form 4
2026-02-27Schroeppel Bobbi LofficerAward / grant2,46439,128Form 4
2026-02-27Cashell Michael RofficerAward / grant2,45328,105Form 4
2026-02-27Vold JeanneofficerAward / grant1,67914,699Form 4
2026-02-27Merkel JasonofficerAward / grant1,3316,077Form 4
2026-02-27Berzina Jeffrey B.officerAward / grant9384,949Form 4
2026-02-27LaFave BleauofficerAward / grant6713,694Form 4
2026-02-27Lail Crystal DawnofficerWithheld for tax1,50635,081Form 4
2026-02-27Cashell Michael RofficerWithheld for tax76327,342Form 4
2026-02-27Merkel JasonofficerWithheld for tax4615,616Form 4
2026-02-27Berzina Jeffrey B.officerWithheld for tax2784,671Form 4
2026-02-27Heim ShannonofficerWithheld for tax8928,795Form 4
2026-02-27Schroeppel Bobbi LofficerWithheld for tax64338,485Form 4
2026-02-27Vold JeanneofficerWithheld for tax47814,221Form 4
2026-02-27LaFave BleauofficerWithheld for tax1983,496Form 4
2026-02-27BIRD BRIAN BdirectorWithheld for tax7,341218,047Form 4
2026-02-24BIRD BRIAN BdirectorAward / grant2,587204,584Form 4
2026-02-24Hines John DofficerAward / grant2,47441,073Form 4
2026-02-24Schroeppel Bobbi LofficerAward / grant1,33536,695Form 4
2026-02-24Cashell Michael RofficerAward / grant1,32925,683Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.