Issued 2026-09-16 at $4.58 · now $4.58 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, NUS has typically landed between $3.64 and $5.37 — a range of −20.6% to +17.2% from the issuance price $4.58.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($4.58) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where NUS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $4.58 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $4.58 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $4.42 (-3.4%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $4.05–$4.8
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $3.64–$5.37
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-18 | −57.4% | −57.4% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-14 | −52.6% | −52.6% | +0.0% |
| 2014-01-07 | −49.1% | −49.1% | +0.2% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-03-18 | +98.5% | +0.0% | +98.5% |
| 2020-03-17 | +64.6% | −12.0% | +72.3% |
| 2020-04-07 | +60.5% | +0.0% | +60.5% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-02 | Winett James M | director | Sale | 7,203 @ $5.62 | $40K | −16.1% of holding | −8.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 37,448 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | WOODBURY EDWINA D | director | Sale | 7,203 @ $5.70 | $41K | −10.3% of holding | −5.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 62,433 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Nathanson Laura | director | Sale | 2,676 @ $6.73 | $18K | −8.1% of holding | −15.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 30,473 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-11 | Hatchett Steven Keith | officer | Purchase | 5,500 @ $9.61 | $53K | +3.4% of holding | +9.3% | −43.6% | 167,565 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-04 | Nathanson Laura | director | Sale | 6,489 @ $12.22 | $79K | −16.4% of holding | −11.0% | −41.4% | 33,149 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-03 | Clark Chayce David | officer | Sale | 20,000 @ $11.97 | $239K | −7.9% of holding | −6.9% | −42.0% | 233,140 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-29 | CAMPBELL DANIEL W | director | Sale | 23,391 @ $12.10 | $283K | −30.5% of holding | −3.4% | −43.2% | 53,375 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-29 | CAMPBELL DANIEL W | director | Sale | 9,046 @ $12.12 | $110K | −18.7% of holding | −3.4% | −43.2% | 39,216 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-02 | Battle Emma S. | director | Sale | 4,532 @ $8.44 | $38K | −12.8% of holding | +0.9% | +2.5% | 31,006 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-02 | WOODBURY EDWINA D | director | Sale | 4,532 @ $8.44 | $38K | −9.5% of holding | +0.9% | +2.5% | 42,947 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-28 | Hatchett Steven Keith | officer | Purchase | 6,500 @ $7.54 | $49K | +4.2% of holding | +5.1% | +22.8% | 162,065 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-02-21 | Battle Emma S. | director | Sale | 1,693 @ $7.73 | $13K | −8.8% of holding | +1.4% | +53.7% | 17,530 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
70 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | WOODBURY EDWINA D | director | Award / grant | 22 | 62,474 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | WOODBURY EDWINA D | director | Award / grant | 19 | 62,452 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | WOODBURY EDWINA D | director | Award / grant | 26,643 | 69,636 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Zorko Mark A | director | Award / grant | 26,643 | 60,586 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Nathanson Laura | director | Award / grant | 26,643 | 57,116 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Winett James M | director | Award / grant | 26,643 | 44,651 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Battle Emma S. | director | Award / grant | 26,643 | 57,648 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Thomas Pisano R. | director | Award / grant | 26,643 | 116,827 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | CAMPBELL DANIEL W | director | Award / grant | 26,643 | 65,859 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | WOODBURY EDWINA D | director | Award / grant | 14 | 42,993 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | NAPIERSKI RYAN S | director | Award / grant | 282,353 | 1,001,905 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Hatchett Steven Keith | officer | Award / grant | 77,941 | 260,818 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Clark Chayce David | officer | Award / grant | 138,971 | 390,746 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Keisel Justin S | officer | Award / grant | 47,059 | 160,170 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Thomas James D | officer | Award / grant | 114,706 | 267,102 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | NAPIERSKI RYAN S | director | Withheld for tax | 124,802 | 719,552 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Clark Chayce David | officer | Withheld for tax | 45,502 | 251,775 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Thomas James D | officer | Withheld for tax | 28,602 | 152,396 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Hatchett Steven Keith | officer | Withheld for tax | 26,001 | 182,877 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Keisel Justin S | officer | Withheld for tax | 13,687 | 113,111 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-15 | NAPIERSKI RYAN S | director | Withheld for tax | 49,037 | 844,354 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-15 | Clark Chayce David | officer | Withheld for tax | 17,947 | 297,277 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-15 | Thomas James D | officer | Withheld for tax | 11,725 | 180,998 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-15 | Hatchett Steven Keith | officer | Withheld for tax | 10,763 | 208,878 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-15 | Keisel Justin S | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,534 | 126,798 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | Hatchett Steven Keith | officer | Award / grant | 8,952 | 176,517 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | Hatchett Steven Keith | officer | Award / grant | 43,124 | 219,641 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | Keisel Justin S | officer | Award / grant | 2,910 | 93,832 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | Keisel Justin S | officer | Award / grant | 34,500 | 128,332 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | NAPIERSKI RYAN S | director | Award / grant | 42,970 | 686,403 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | NAPIERSKI RYAN S | director | Award / grant | 206,988 | 893,391 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | Thomas James D | officer | Award / grant | 9,847 | 145,287 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | Thomas James D | officer | Award / grant | 47,436 | 192,723 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | Clark Chayce David | officer | Award / grant | 75,466 | 315,224 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | Clark Chayce David | officer | Award / grant | 15,667 | 239,758 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-20 | Clark Chayce David | officer | Withheld for tax | 9,049 | 224,091 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-10 | WOODBURY EDWINA D | director | Award / grant | 10 | 42,979 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-10 | WOODBURY EDWINA D | director | Award / grant | 9 | 42,969 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-01 | Thomas James D | officer | Withheld for tax | 915 | 135,440 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-01 | Clark Chayce David | officer | Withheld for tax | 205 | 253,140 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.