NUENucor CorporationBasic Materials · Steelas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $260.68 · now $260.68 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, NUE has typically landed between $221.11 and $308.56 — a range of −15.2% to +18.4% from the issuance price $260.68.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-022026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.756.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($260.68) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where NUE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $260.68 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$221.11worst · -15.2%$308.56best · +18.4%
  • now $260.68 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $267.07 (+2.5%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $246.82$287.32
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $221.11$308.56
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−41.5%−41.5%+0.0%
2008-09-16−41.5%−41.5%+8.0%
2020-02-18−38.1%−38.1%+2.5%
3 best
2008-11-20+63.2%+0.0%+85.2%
2008-11-21+52.1%+0.0%+67.1%
2008-12-01+50.3%+0.0%+52.6%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-022026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$56.4B
market cap
$10.10
EPS (TTM)
24.5
P/E (TTM)
2026-07-27
next earnings
Revenue$32.5B
'20'25
Net income$1.7B
'20'25
Free cash flow−$188M
'20'25
Net margin · by yr5.4%
'20'25
ROE · by yr8.3%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.34
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 16 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $260.68$62.66$299.32
  • DCF (intrinsic)$78.98
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 23.9× · n=16$241.06
  • Analyst target · range $224.00$283.00$251.50
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$260.68

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+0.9%
n=18
Feb
58%
+3.2%
n=19
Mar
53%
+3.0%
n=19
Apr
63%
+2.7%
n=19
May
37%
−1.8%
n=19
Jun
42%
+0.2%
n=19
Jul
79%
+3.9%
n=19
Aug
32%
−2.0%
n=19
Sep
53%
−3.3%
n=19
Oct
67%
+4.0%
n=18
Nov
61%
+4.5%
n=18
Dec
61%
+1.8%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$275$1312026-08-14: 4 insider sales, $9.1M — Topalian Leon J, Behr Allen C …2026-08-03: 1 insider sale, $1.0M — Batterbee Thomas J.2026-07-30: 1 insider sale, $1.0M — Laxton Stephen D2026-06-03: 2 insider sales, $2.7M — Hollatz John J …2026-06-01: 2 insider sales, $3.4M — QUERY KENNETH REX …2026-05-18: 1 insider sale, $563K — Spicer Randy J2026-05-15: 4 insider sales, $11.8M — Topalian Leon J …2026-05-05: 2 insider sales, $520K — Ford Bradley …2026-05-04: 4 insider sales, $3.3M — Behr Allen C, Keller Michael D …2026-05-01: 3 insider sales, $4.4M — Needham Daniel R., Hanners Noah C …2026-04-30: 2 insider sales, $7.5M — Sumoski David A …2026-03-23: 2 insider sales, $1.9M — Topalian Leon J …2026-02-11: 1 insider sale, $1.5M — QUERY KENNETH REX2026-02-03: 1 insider sale, $1.4M — Behr Allen C2026-02-02: 1 insider sale, $1.4M — Behr Allen C2026-01-30: 1 insider sale, $691K — Needham Daniel R.2025-12-23: 1 insider sale, $331K — Batterbee Thomas J.2025-12-19: 2 insider sales, $1.7M — Behr Allen C, Topalian Leon J2025-11-12: 2 insider sales, $1.0M — Hollatz John J …2025-10-30: 10 insider sales, $1.7M — Behr Allen C, Laxton Stephen D …2025-08-22: 2 insider sales, $904K — Keller Michael D …2025-08-18: 2 insider sales, $2.5M — QUERY KENNETH REX, Needham Daniel R.2025-08: 4 open-market sales, $3.4M2025-10: 10 open-market sales, $1.7M2025-11: 2 open-market sales, $1.0M2025-12: 3 open-market sales, $2.1M2026-01: 1 open-market sale, $691K2026-02: 3 open-market sales, $4.2M2026-03: 2 open-market sales, $1.9M2026-04: 2 open-market sales, $7.5M2026-05: 14 open-market sales, $20.6M2026-06: 4 open-market sales, $6.1M2026-07: 1 open-market sale, $1.0M2026-08: 5 open-market sales, $10.1M↑ buys↓ salesdirector Topalian Leon J — Sale on 2026-08-14, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Behr Allen C — Sale on 2026-08-14, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Behr Allen C — Sale on 2026-08-14, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Topalian Leon J — Sale on 2026-08-14, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Batterbee Thomas J. — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Laxton Stephen D — Sale on 2026-07-30, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Hollatz John J — Sale on 2026-06-03, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Hollatz John J — Sale on 2026-06-03, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer QUERY KENNETH REX — Sale on 2026-06-01, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer QUERY KENNETH REX — Sale on 2026-06-01, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Spicer Randy J — Sale on 2026-05-18, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Topalian Leon J — Sale on 2026-05-15, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Topalian Leon J — Sale on 2026-05-15, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Topalian Leon J — Sale on 2026-05-15, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Topalian Leon J — Sale on 2026-05-15, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Ford Bradley — Sale on 2026-05-05, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Ford Bradley — Sale on 2026-05-05, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Behr Allen C — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Keller Michael D — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Behr Allen C — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Behr Allen C — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Needham Daniel R. — Sale on 2026-05-01, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Hanners Noah C — Sale on 2026-05-01, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Needham Daniel R. — Sale on 2026-05-01, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Sumoski David A — Sale on 2026-04-30, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Sumoski David A — Sale on 2026-04-30, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Topalian Leon J — Sale on 2026-03-23, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Topalian Leon J — Sale on 2026-03-23, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer QUERY KENNETH REX — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Behr Allen C — Sale on 2026-02-03, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Behr Allen C — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Needham Daniel R. — Sale on 2026-01-30, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Batterbee Thomas J. — Sale on 2025-12-23, filed 6 days after the tradeofficer Behr Allen C — Sale on 2025-12-19, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Topalian Leon J — Sale on 2025-12-19, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Hollatz John J — Sale on 2025-11-12, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Hollatz John J — Sale on 2025-11-12, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Behr Allen C — Sale on 2025-10-30, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Laxton Stephen D — Sale on 2025-10-30, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Laxton Stephen D — Sale on 2025-10-30, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Laxton Stephen D — Sale on 2025-10-30, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Laxton Stephen D — Sale on 2025-10-30, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Laxton Stephen D — Sale on 2025-10-30, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Laxton Stephen D — Sale on 2025-10-30, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Laxton Stephen D — Sale on 2025-10-30, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Laxton Stephen D — Sale on 2025-10-30, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Laxton Stephen D — Sale on 2025-10-30, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Keller Michael D — Sale on 2025-08-22, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Keller Michael D — Sale on 2025-08-22, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer QUERY KENNETH REX — Sale on 2025-08-18, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Needham Daniel R. — Sale on 2025-08-18, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-14Topalian Leon JdirectorSale25,898 @ $268.52$7.0M−15.8% of holding−1.3%not yet — horizon still open138,256Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-08-14Behr Allen CofficerSale5,127 @ $274.00$1.4M−7.6% of holding−1.3%not yet — horizon still open61,920Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-14Behr Allen CofficerSale2,612 @ $274.42$717K−4.2% of holding−1.3%not yet — horizon still open59,308Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-14Topalian Leon JdirectorSale102 @ $269.29$27K−0.1% of holding−1.3%not yet — horizon still open138,154Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-08-03Batterbee Thomas J.officerSale4,000 @ $261.02$1.0M−19.9% of holding−4.1%not yet — horizon still open16,138Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-30Laxton Stephen DofficerSale3,968 @ $256.96$1.0M−4.8% of holding−6.3%not yet — horizon still open77,867Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-03Hollatz John JofficerSale5,522 @ $258.57$1.4M−5.3% of holding−12.8%not yet — horizon still open97,865Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-03Hollatz John JofficerSale5,038 @ $258.33$1.3M−4.9% of holding−12.8%not yet — horizon still open97,865Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-01QUERY KENNETH REXofficerSale8,380 @ $251.42$2.1M−10.7% of holding−11.3%not yet — horizon still open69,834Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-01QUERY KENNETH REXofficerSale5,149 @ $251.30$1.3M−7.4% of holding−11.3%not yet — horizon still open64,685Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-18Spicer Randy JofficerSale2,500 @ $225.00$563K−10.9% of holding+11.2%not yet — horizon still open20,510Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-15Topalian Leon JdirectorSale21,954 @ $227.58$5.0M−12.2% of holding+12.6%not yet — horizon still open157,648Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-15Topalian Leon JdirectorSale16,239 @ $226.84$3.7M−8.3% of holding+12.6%not yet — horizon still open179,602Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-15Topalian Leon JdirectorSale9,366 @ $228.63$2.1M−5.9% of holding+12.6%not yet — horizon still open148,282Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-15Topalian Leon JdirectorSale4,441 @ $229.32$1.0M−3.0% of holding+12.6%not yet — horizon still open143,841Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-05Ford BradleyofficerSale1,940 @ $232.11$450K−4.2% of holding+8.4%not yet — horizon still open43,949Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-05Ford BradleyofficerSale300 @ $232.23$70K−0.7% of holding+8.4%not yet — horizon still open43,649Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-04Behr Allen CofficerSale8,438 @ $226.10$1.9M−11.8% of holding+9.1%not yet — horizon still open62,871Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-04Keller Michael DofficerSale4,554 @ $225.86$1.0M−21.3% of holding+9.1%not yet — horizon still open16,834Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-04Behr Allen CofficerSale1,558 @ $225.93$352K−2.1% of holding+9.1%not yet — horizon still open71,409Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-04Behr Allen CofficerSale100 @ $225.94$23K−0.1% of holding+9.1%not yet — horizon still open71,309Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-01Needham Daniel R.officerSale7,739 @ $226.00$1.7M−7.9% of holding+8.9%not yet — horizon still open89,724Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-01Hanners Noah CofficerSale6,472 @ $226.50$1.5M−11.4% of holding+8.9%not yet — horizon still open50,377Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-01Needham Daniel R.officerSale5,149 @ $226.00$1.2M−5.4% of holding+8.9%not yet — horizon still open89,724Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-30Sumoski David AofficerSale32,824 @ $225.66$7.4M−11.9% of holding+6.1%not yet — horizon still open243,583Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-30Sumoski David AofficerSale244 @ $226.41$55K−0.1% of holding+6.1%not yet — horizon still open243,339Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-23Topalian Leon JdirectorSale6,454 @ $162.01$1.0M−4.1% of holding+25.3%not yet — horizon still open152,687Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-23Topalian Leon JdirectorSale5,046 @ $162.40$819K−3.3% of holding+25.3%not yet — horizon still open147,641Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-11QUERY KENNETH REXofficerSale7,452 @ $196.02$1.5M−8.9% of holding−11.6%+27.9%76,628Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-03Behr Allen CofficerSale7,568 @ $188.50$1.4M−10.1% of holding−6.5%+35.9%67,711Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-02Behr Allen CofficerSale7,500 @ $181.07$1.4M−10.0% of holding−1.2%+40.8%67,711Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-30Needham Daniel R.officerSale3,881 @ $178.00$691K−4.2% of holding+1.5%+37.8%88,298Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-23Batterbee Thomas J.officerSale2,000 @ $165.28$331K−10.0% of holding+8.2%+41.0%17,952Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade
2025-12-19Behr Allen CofficerSale5,950 @ $157.89$939K−8.1% of holding+12.4%+43.9%67,711Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-19Topalian Leon JdirectorSale5,000 @ $157.99$790K−3.6% of holding+12.4%+43.9%134,913Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-12Hollatz John JofficerSale5,000 @ $149.86$749K−4.8% of holding+11.5%+45.3%98,550Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-12Hollatz John JofficerSale2,000 @ $149.93$300K−2.0% of holding+11.5%+45.3%96,550Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-30Behr Allen CofficerSale9,042 @ $151.28$1.4M−10.9% of holding+7.3%+45.6%73,661Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-10-30Laxton Stephen DofficerSale1,082 @ $151.51$164K−1.2% of holding+7.3%+45.6%89,095Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-10-30Laxton Stephen DofficerSale510 @ $151.67$77K−0.6% of holding+7.3%+45.6%88,217Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-10-30Laxton Stephen DofficerSale257 @ $151.62$39K−0.3% of holding+7.3%+45.6%88,727Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-10-30Laxton Stephen DofficerSale70 @ $151.57$11K−0.1% of holding+7.3%+45.6%88,984Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-10-30Laxton Stephen DofficerSale25 @ $151.73$4K−0.0% of holding+7.3%+45.6%88,174Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-10-30Laxton Stephen DofficerSale25 @ $151.56$4K−0.0% of holding+7.3%+45.6%89,054Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-10-30Laxton Stephen DofficerSale18 @ $151.70$3K−0.0% of holding+7.3%+45.6%88,199Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-10-30Laxton Stephen DofficerSale15 @ $151.53$2K−0.0% of holding+7.3%+45.6%89,080Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-10-30Laxton Stephen DofficerSale1 @ $151.55$152−0.0% of holding+7.3%+45.6%89,079Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-22Keller Michael DofficerSale6,000 @ $148.41$890K−21.0% of holding−11.6%+12.2%22,552Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-22Keller Michael DofficerSale88 @ $148.43$13K−0.4% of holding−11.6%+12.2%22,464Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-18QUERY KENNETH REXofficerSale10,000 @ $144.90$1.4M−10.6% of holding−3.7%+21.2%84,080Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-18Needham Daniel R.officerSale7,200 @ $146.00$1.1M−7.2% of holding−3.7%+21.2%92,179Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-31Topalian Leon JdirectorSale21,172 @ $143.18$3.0M−12.7% of holding+1.9%+15.0%145,897Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-07-31Behr Allen CofficerSale8,021 @ $143.38$1.2M−8.8% of holding+1.9%+15.0%82,703Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-07-31Topalian Leon JdirectorSale5,947 @ $144.03$857K−4.1% of holding+1.9%+15.0%139,950Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-07-31Topalian Leon JdirectorSale2,674 @ $142.23$380K−1.6% of holding+1.9%+15.0%167,069Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-07-31Topalian Leon JdirectorSale37 @ $144.67$5K−0.0% of holding+1.9%+15.0%139,913Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-26QUERY KENNETH REXofficerSale7,088 @ $130.40$924K−7.0% of holding+7.0%+14.3%94,080Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-26QUERY KENNETH REXofficerSale2,912 @ $130.30$379K−2.8% of holding+7.0%+14.3%101,168Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-24Needham Daniel R.officerSale7,088 @ $127.87$906K−6.7% of holding+6.2%+15.7%99,379Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-01Topalian Leon JdirectorSale23,935 @ $119.91$2.9M−12.1% of holding−5.6%+3.7%173,296Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

225 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-17Topalian Leon JdirectorGift1,800136,354Form 4
2026-08-14Topalian Leon JdirectorOption exercise26,000164,154Form 4
2026-08-14Behr Allen CofficerOption exercise7,73967,047Form 4
2026-08-14Behr Allen CofficerOption exercise7,7390Form 4
2026-08-14Topalian Leon JdirectorOption exercise26,000145,981Form 4
2026-07-30Laxton Stephen DofficerGift2,40981,835Form 4
2026-06-03Hollatz John JofficerOption exercise5,522103,387Form 4
2026-06-03Hollatz John JofficerOption exercise5,038102,903Form 4
2026-06-03Hollatz John JofficerOption exercise5,5220Form 4
2026-06-03Hollatz John JofficerOption exercise5,0380Form 4
2026-06-01Topalian Leon JdirectorWithheld for tax7,620136,221Form 4
2026-06-01Topalian Leon JdirectorWithheld for tax6,003130,218Form 4
2026-06-01Topalian Leon JdirectorWithheld for tax4,092126,126Form 4
2026-06-01QUERY KENNETH REXofficerWithheld for tax3,04878,729Form 4
2026-06-01Behr Allen CofficerWithheld for tax3,04859,823Form 4
2026-06-01Sumoski David AofficerWithheld for tax3,048240,291Form 4
2026-06-01Hollatz John JofficerWithheld for tax3,04898,380Form 4
2026-06-01Laxton Stephen DofficerWithheld for tax3,04884,336Form 4
2026-06-01Needham Daniel R.officerWithheld for tax3,04886,676Form 4
2026-06-01Laxton Stephen DofficerWithheld for tax2,40181,935Form 4
2026-06-01Ford BradleyofficerWithheld for tax2,40140,649Form 4
2026-06-01Sumoski David AofficerWithheld for tax2,401237,890Form 4
2026-06-01Behr Allen CofficerWithheld for tax2,40157,422Form 4
2026-06-01Hanners Noah CofficerWithheld for tax2,40147,377Form 4
2026-06-01Hollatz John JofficerWithheld for tax2,40195,979Form 4
2026-06-01QUERY KENNETH REXofficerWithheld for tax2,40176,328Form 4
2026-06-01Needham Daniel R.officerWithheld for tax2,40184,275Form 4
2026-06-01Laxton Stephen DofficerWithheld for tax1,21980,716Form 4
2026-06-01Sumoski David AofficerWithheld for tax1,219236,671Form 4
2026-06-01Spicer Randy JofficerWithheld for tax98918,710Form 4
2026-06-01Hanners Noah CofficerWithheld for tax98946,388Form 4
2026-06-01Needham Daniel R.officerWithheld for tax98983,286Form 4
2026-06-01Ford BradleyofficerWithheld for tax98939,660Form 4
2026-06-01QUERY KENNETH REXofficerWithheld for tax98975,339Form 4
2026-06-01Hollatz John JofficerWithheld for tax98994,990Form 4
2026-06-01Behr Allen CofficerWithheld for tax98956,433Form 4
2026-06-01CLAYTON NORMAdirectorAward / grant7555,826Form 4
2026-06-01Hanners Noah CofficerWithheld for tax59949,778Form 4
2026-06-01Ford BradleyofficerWithheld for tax59943,050Form 4
2026-06-01Spicer Randy JofficerWithheld for tax47119,699Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-27$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2026-06-102026-05-12$15–50K
Julia LetlowHousepurchase2026-01-132024-10-23$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2025-11-102025-10-27$15–50K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2025-09-112025-08-22$50–100K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2025-09-112025-08-22$50–100K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2025-07-072025-06-16$100–250K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2025-07-072025-06-27$100–250K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-06-102025-05-19$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2025-06-092025-05-12$100–250K
Rob BresnahanHousesale2025-06-092025-05-15$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2025-05-122025-04-10$100–250K
Jefferson ShreveHousepurchase2025-04-112025-03-05$15–50K
Jefferson ShreveHousesale2025-04-112025-03-31$15–50K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.