NUNu Holdings Ltd.Financial Services · Banks - Regionalas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $13.81 · now $13.81 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, NU has typically landed between $10.92 and $17.17 — a range of −20.9% to +24.3% from the issuance price $13.81.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,175 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-12-09 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($13.81) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where NU has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $13.81 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$10.92worst · -20.9%$17.17best · +24.3%
  • now $13.81 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $14.1 (+2.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $12.88–$15.32
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $10.92–$17.17
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,175 windows spanning 2021-12-09 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2022-04-25−51.9%−51.9%+0.0%
2022-04-11−50.1%−50.1%+0.0%
2022-04-19−46.9%−48.7%+0.0%
3 best
2023-01-18+46.7%−0.5%+46.7%
2023-01-17+42.8%−1.4%+42.8%
2022-07-18+41.9%−2.6%+41.9%

1,175 overlapping windows · 2021-12-09 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~5 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
80%
+6.1%
n=5
Feb
60%
+1.2%
n=5
Mar
40%
−1.2%
n=5
Apr
60%
−0.1%
n=5
May
40%
−1.9%
n=5
Jun
80%
+7.9%
n=5
Jul
60%
+0.8%
n=5
Aug
80%
+9.7%
n=5
Sep
40%
−2.0%
n=5
Oct
100%
+9.5%
n=4
Nov
25%
−5.2%
n=4
Dec
25%
−6.8%
n=4

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$19$122026-08-25: 1 insider sale, $956K — Junqueira Cristina Helena Zingaretti2026-08-24: 1 insider sale, $375K — Junqueira Cristina Helena Zingaretti2026-08-14: 2 insider sales, $4.3M — Fragelli Henrique Camossa Saldanha, Junqueira Cristina Helena Zingaretti2026-05-15: 1 insider sale, $257K — Sands Anita M2026-03-23: 2 insider sales, $4.4M — Junqueira Cristina Helena Zingaretti …2026-03: 2 open-market sales, $4.4M2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $257K2026-08: 4 open-market sales, $5.6M↑ buys↓ salesofficer Junqueira Cristina Helena Zingaretti — Sale on 2026-08-25, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Junqueira Cristina Helena Zingaretti — Sale on 2026-08-24, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Fragelli Henrique Camossa Saldanha — Sale on 2026-08-14, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Junqueira Cristina Helena Zingaretti — Sale on 2026-08-14, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Sands Anita M — Sale on 2026-05-15, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Junqueira Cristina Helena Zingaretti — Sale on 2026-03-23, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Junqueira Cristina Helena Zingaretti — Sale on 2026-03-23, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-25Junqueira Cristina Helena ZingarettiofficerSale65,000 @ $14.71$956K−2.5% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open2,542,083Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-24Junqueira Cristina Helena ZingarettiofficerSale25,000 @ $15.00$375K−0.5% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open4,902,593Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-14Fragelli Henrique Camossa SaldanhaofficerSale221,707 @ $15.81$3.5M−18.5% of holding−4.4%not yet — horizon still open979,446Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-14Junqueira Cristina Helena ZingarettiofficerSale50,000 @ $15.80$790K−1.0% of holding−4.4%not yet — horizon still open4,927,593Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-15Sands Anita MdirectorSale21,000 @ $12.24$257K−11.5% of holding+2.8%not yet — horizon still open162,150Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-23Junqueira Cristina Helena ZingarettiofficerSale220,000 @ $14.82$3.3M−4.2% of holding−7.4%not yet — horizon still open4,977,593Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-23Junqueira Cristina Helena ZingarettiofficerSale80,000 @ $14.81$1.2M−3.3% of holding−7.4%not yet — horizon still open2,312,338Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

24 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-24PIACENTINI DIEGOdirectorAward / grant1,35632,342Form 4
2026-08-24Sands Anita MdirectorAward / grant1,356194,215Form 4
2026-08-24Moreno Mejia Luis AlbertodirectorAward / grant1,017252,541Form 4
2026-08-24LEONE DOUGLAS MdirectorAward / grant1,356200,221Form 4
2026-08-07PIACENTINI DIEGOdirectorAward / grant23,48330,986Form 4
2026-08-07Reses Jacqueline DdirectorAward / grant27,09645,754Form 4
2026-08-07Sands Anita MdirectorAward / grant30,709192,859Form 4
2026-08-07Pham ThuandirectorAward / grant23,483133,654Form 4
2026-08-07Moreno Mejia Luis AlbertodirectorAward / grant25,290251,524Form 4
2026-08-07Marcus DaviddirectorAward / grant25,290655,039Form 4
2026-08-07LEONE DOUGLAS MdirectorAward / grant25,290198,865Form 4
2026-08-07Calderon Peres Rogerio PaulodirectorAward / grant23,483102,937Form 4
2026-07-23Velez Osorno DaviddirectorWithheld for tax45,6906,159,381Form 4
2026-07-23Fragelli Henrique Camossa SaldanhaofficerWithheld for tax13,4961,201,153Form 4
2026-07-23Junqueira Cristina Helena ZingarettiofficerWithheld for tax8,0482,607,083Form 4
2026-07-13Livingston Robert PhilipofficerAward / grant2,194,5872,194,587Form 4
2026-04-23Velez Osorno DaviddirectorWithheld for tax45,6906,205,071Form 4
2026-04-23Lago Guilherme MarquesofficerWithheld for tax24,3486,976,027Form 4
2026-04-23Fragelli Henrique Camossa SaldanhaofficerWithheld for tax11,9911,214,649Form 4
2026-04-23Junqueira Cristina Helena ZingarettiofficerWithheld for tax8,2642,615,131Form 4
2026-04-08Fragelli Henrique Camossa SaldanhaofficerOption exercise1,767,0004,082,190Form 4
2026-04-08Fragelli Henrique Camossa SaldanhaofficerOption exercise594,4504,676,640Form 4
2026-04-08Fragelli Henrique Camossa SaldanhaofficerOption exercise1,767,0000Form 4
2026-04-08Fragelli Henrique Camossa SaldanhaofficerOption exercise594,4500Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.