NTSTNETSTREIT Corp.Real Estate · REIT - Retailas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $18.25 · now $18.25 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, NTST has typically landed between $16.43 and $20.02 — a range of −10.0% to +9.7% from the issuance price $18.25.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,509 overlapping 1 month windows · 2020-08-13 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($18.25) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where NTST has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $18.25 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$16.43worst · -10.0%$20.02best · +9.7%
  • now $18.25 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $18.27 (+0.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $17.49–$19.05
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $16.43–$20.02
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,509 windows spanning 2020-08-13 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2023-09-20−18.3%−18.3%+0.0%
2023-09-19−16.1%−16.1%+0.0%
2021-11-01−15.5%−15.5%+0.0%
3 best
2021-03-11+19.4%+0.0%+19.4%
2023-11-30+19.0%+0.0%+19.0%
2021-03-19+18.0%+0.0%+19.0%

1,509 overlapping windows · 2020-08-13 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~7 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
67%
+1.3%
n=6
Feb
67%
+1.0%
n=6
Mar
67%
+1.6%
n=6
Apr
50%
+2.1%
n=6
May
33%
+0.6%
n=6
Jun
67%
+0.2%
n=6
Jul
100%
+5.5%
n=6
Aug
50%
−1.7%
n=6
Sep
29%
−5.1%
n=7
Oct
50%
−1.2%
n=6
Nov
67%
+2.6%
n=6
Dec
50%
+1.0%
n=6

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$22$172026-09-04: 1 insider purchase, $24K — Donlan Daniel P2026-06-18: 1 insider purchase, $96K — Manheimer Mark2026-04-23: 1 insider sale, $150K — Zeigler Robin McBride2025-12-19: 1 insider purchase, $17K — Donlan Daniel P2025-12-08: 1 insider purchase, $17K — Donlan Daniel P2025-09-05: 1 insider purchase, $100K — Manheimer Mark2025-09: 1 open-market purchase, $100K2025-12: 2 open-market purchases, $35K2026-04: 1 open-market sale, $150K2026-06: 1 open-market purchase, $96K2026-09: 1 open-market purchase, $24K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Donlan Daniel P — Purchase on 2026-09-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Manheimer Mark — Purchase on 2026-06-18, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Zeigler Robin McBride — Sale on 2026-04-23, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Donlan Daniel P — Purchase on 2025-12-19, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Donlan Daniel P — Purchase on 2025-12-08, filed same daydirector Manheimer Mark — Purchase on 2025-09-05, filed 3 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-04Donlan Daniel PofficerPurchase1,200 @ $20.12$24K+2.7% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open44,862Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-18Manheimer MarkdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $19.19$96K+1.2% of holding+14.0%not yet — horizon still open415,260Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-23Zeigler Robin McBridedirectorSale7,192 @ $20.85$150K−28.2% of holding−6.8%not yet — horizon still open18,344Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-19Donlan Daniel PofficerPurchase1,000 @ $17.40$17K+4.2% of holding+3.0%+11.0%25,075Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-08Donlan Daniel PofficerPurchase1,000 @ $17.34$17K+4.3% of holding−0.1%+13.4%24,075Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-05Manheimer MarkdirectorPurchase5,600 @ $17.93$100K+1.8% of holding−1.7%+12.4%316,378Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-11Manheimer MarkdirectorPurchase2,500 @ $14.87$37K+0.8% of holding+3.7%+9.0%307,072Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-10Manheimer MarkdirectorPurchase2,500 @ $15.37$38K+0.8% of holding+8.5%+8.2%303,072Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-10Manheimer MarkdirectorPurchase1,500 @ $15.26$23K+0.5% of holding+8.5%+8.2%304,572Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-10Manheimer MarkdirectorPurchase1,250 @ $15.35$19K+0.4% of holding+8.5%+8.2%299,438Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-10Manheimer MarkdirectorPurchase1,134 @ $15.31$17K+0.4% of holding+8.5%+8.2%300,572Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-10Donlan Daniel PofficerPurchase1,000 @ $15.27$15K+6.7% of holding+8.5%+8.2%15,890Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-07Manheimer MarkdirectorPurchase1,250 @ $15.18$19K+0.4% of holding+10.9%+9.4%294,002Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-07Manheimer MarkdirectorPurchase1,250 @ $15.16$19K+0.4% of holding+10.9%+9.4%295,252Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-07Manheimer MarkdirectorPurchase1,116 @ $15.34$17K+0.4% of holding+10.9%+9.4%292,752Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-03Donlan Daniel PofficerPurchase1,000 @ $15.00$15K+7.2% of holding+10.4%+13.1%14,890Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

137 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-04-10Donlan Daniel PofficerWithheld for tax4,59743,662Form 4
2026-04-10Donlan Daniel PofficerOption exercise11,68146,013Form 4
2026-04-10Donlan Daniel PofficerOption exercise11,68148,259Form 4
2026-04-10Donlan Daniel PofficerOption exercise11,68148,259Form 4
2026-03-08Manheimer MarkdirectorWithheld for tax1,906410,260Form 4
2026-03-08Manheimer MarkdirectorOption exercise4,842171,317Form 4
2026-03-08Manheimer MarkdirectorOption exercise4,842412,166Form 4
2026-03-08Manheimer MarkdirectorOption exercise4,842412,166Form 4
2026-02-28Manheimer MarkdirectorWithheld for tax11,033395,184Form 4
2026-02-28Manheimer MarkdirectorWithheld for tax7,877407,324Form 4
2026-02-28Manheimer MarkdirectorWithheld for tax5,978378,181Form 4
2026-02-28Manheimer MarkdirectorWithheld for tax2,792368,969Form 4
2026-02-28Manheimer MarkdirectorAward / grant28,036406,217Form 4
2026-02-28Manheimer MarkdirectorAward / grant20,017415,201Form 4
2026-02-28Manheimer MarkdirectorOption exercise7,093191,349Form 4
2026-02-28Manheimer MarkdirectorOption exercise15,190176,159Form 4
2026-02-28Manheimer MarkdirectorOption exercise7,093371,761Form 4
2026-02-28Manheimer MarkdirectorOption exercise15,190384,159Form 4
2026-02-28Manheimer MarkdirectorOption exercise15,190384,159Form 4
2026-02-28Manheimer MarkdirectorOption exercise7,093371,761Form 4
2026-02-26Manheimer MarkdirectorWithheld for tax10,780364,668Form 4
2026-02-26Manheimer MarkdirectorWithheld for tax7,005348,054Form 4
2026-02-26Donlan Daniel PofficerWithheld for tax2,83632,425Form 4
2026-02-26Donlan Daniel PofficerWithheld for tax2,69536,578Form 4
2026-02-26TROXELL MATTHEW AdirectorOption exercise7,1925,526Form 4
2026-02-26Everett HeididirectorOption exercise7,1925,526Form 4
2026-02-26Zeigler Robin McBridedirectorOption exercise7,1925,526Form 4
2026-02-26CHRISTODOLOU MICHAELdirectorOption exercise7,1925,526Form 4
2026-02-26Wittman LoridirectorOption exercise7,1925,526Form 4
2026-02-26Minnis TodddirectorOption exercise7,1925,526Form 4
2026-02-26Manheimer MarkdirectorOption exercise17,801225,836Form 4
2026-02-26Manheimer MarkdirectorOption exercise27,394198,442Form 4
2026-02-26Donlan Daniel PofficerOption exercise7,20564,542Form 4
2026-02-26Donlan Daniel PofficerOption exercise6,84857,694Form 4
2026-02-26Donlan Daniel PofficerOption exercise7,20535,261Form 4
2026-02-26Donlan Daniel PofficerOption exercise6,84839,273Form 4
2026-02-26Manheimer MarkdirectorOption exercise17,801355,059Form 4
2026-02-26Minnis TodddirectorOption exercise7,19222,744Form 4
2026-02-26CHRISTODOLOU MICHAELdirectorOption exercise7,19234,264Form 4
2026-02-26Manheimer MarkdirectorOption exercise27,394375,448Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.