NTNXNutanix, Inc.Technology · Software - Infrastructureas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $68.70 · now $68.70 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, NTNX has typically landed between $55.72 and $84.30 — a range of −18.9% to +22.7% from the issuance price $68.70.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,482 overlapping 1 month windows · 2016-09-30 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($68.70) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where NTNX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $68.7 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$55.72worst · -18.9%$84.3best · +22.7%
  • now $68.7 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $69.9 (+1.7%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $63.44–$76.36
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $55.72–$84.3
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,482 windows spanning 2016-09-30 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−65.5%−66.3%+0.9%
2020-02-13−65.0%−65.0%+4.8%
2020-02-14−64.3%−65.9%+2.1%
3 best
2018-02-09+67.8%+0.0%+67.8%
2018-02-12+66.2%+0.0%+66.2%
2018-02-08+64.8%+0.0%+64.8%

2,482 overlapping windows · 2016-09-30 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~10 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
60%
+2.7%
n=10
Feb
40%
+0.4%
n=10
Mar
20%
−9.3%
n=10
Apr
50%
+2.0%
n=10
May
70%
+4.6%
n=10
Jun
30%
+0.2%
n=10
Jul
40%
−1.0%
n=10
Aug
90%
+10.5%
n=10
Sep
70%
+0.3%
n=10
Oct
60%
+3.9%
n=10
Nov
80%
+8.5%
n=10
Dec
40%
−1.6%
n=10

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$81$342026-06-01: 1 insider sale, $1.7M — Maner Tarkan2026-05-29: 1 insider sale, $974K — Maner Tarkan2025-10-02: 4 insider sales, $11.3M — RAMASWAMI RAJIV, Sheppard Teresa Gayle …2025-09-30: 1 insider sale, $784K — Martin Brian2025-09-16: 1 insider sale, $892K — Sivaraman Rukmini2025-09: 2 open-market sales, $1.7M2025-10: 4 open-market sales, $11.3M2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $974K2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $1.7M↑ buys↓ salesofficer Maner Tarkan — Sale on 2026-06-01, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Maner Tarkan — Sale on 2026-05-29, filed 4 days after the tradedirector RAMASWAMI RAJIV — Sale on 2025-10-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector RAMASWAMI RAJIV — Sale on 2025-10-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Sheppard Teresa Gayle — Sale on 2025-10-02, filed same daydirector Sheppard Teresa Gayle — Sale on 2025-10-02, filed same dayofficer Martin Brian — Sale on 2025-09-30, filed same dayofficer Sivaraman Rukmini — Sale on 2025-09-16, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-06-01Maner TarkanofficerSale30,606 @ $55.29$1.7M−35.7% of holding−6.9%not yet — horizon still open55,065Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-29Maner TarkanofficerSale18,653 @ $52.24$974K−17.9% of holding−1.1%not yet — horizon still open85,671Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-10-02RAMASWAMI RAJIVdirectorSale105,313 @ $76.26$8.0M−15.7% of holding−9.3%−47.6%564,002Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-02RAMASWAMI RAJIVdirectorSale39,394 @ $76.87$3.0M−7.0% of holding−9.3%−47.6%524,608Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-02Sheppard Teresa GayledirectorSale2,900 @ $76.40$222K−11.2% of holding−9.3%−47.6%23,000Form 4 · filed same day
2025-10-02Sheppard Teresa GayledirectorSale600 @ $76.88$46K−2.6% of holding−9.3%−47.6%22,400Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-30Martin BrianofficerSale10,241 @ $76.53$784K−66.5% of holding−11.6%−47.8%5,166Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-16Sivaraman RukminiofficerSale11,391 @ $78.34$892K−4.3% of holding−13.7%−47.4%254,637Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-26RAMASWAMI RAJIVdirectorSale1,925 @ $75.00$144K−0.4% of holding−5.4%−44.4%518,561Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-16Sivaraman RukminiofficerSale1,900 @ $72.68$138K−0.9% of holding−1.1%−47.6%209,270Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-16Sivaraman RukminiofficerSale200 @ $73.25$15K−0.1% of holding−1.1%−47.6%209,070Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-05de Groen Max PieterdirectorSale5,480,467 @ $76.81$421.0M−50.0% of holding−7.7%−55.9%5,480,468Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-05Gambale VirginiadirectorSale7,000 @ $78.00$546K−15.4% of holding−7.7%−55.9%38,330Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-30GOMO STEVEN JdirectorSale15,000 @ $75.10$1.1M−22.7% of holding−7.1%−54.3%51,200Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-13RAMASWAMI RAJIVdirectorSale61,057 @ $79.00$4.8M−10.9% of holding−13.6%−33.9%497,309Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-24RAMASWAMI RAJIVdirectorSale7,740 @ $75.00$581K−1.4% of holding−8.8%−14.7%558,366Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-17Sivaraman RukminiofficerSale1,508 @ $70.52$106K−0.7% of holding−6.7%−7.8%200,669Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-17Sivaraman RukminiofficerSale1,013 @ $69.46$70K−0.5% of holding−6.7%−7.8%202,177Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-04Humphrey DaviddirectorSale5,500,000 @ $74.51$409.8M−32.6% of holding−5.6%−24.2%11,354,032Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-04de Groen Max PieterdirectorSale5,500,000 @ $74.51$409.8M−32.6% of holding−5.6%−24.2%11,354,032Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-28GOMO STEVEN JdirectorSale7,000 @ $76.16$533K−69.7% of holding−3.6%−21.8%3,050Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-04RAMASWAMI RAJIVdirectorSale95,852 @ $70.00$6.7M−15.1% of holding+5.4%+0.9%540,463Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-01-13Sivaraman RukminiofficerSale294 @ $61.55$18K−0.2% of holding+8.5%+9.5%190,588Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-23Gambale VirginiadirectorSale6,060 @ $64.73$392K−11.8% of holding−3.3%+12.6%45,330Form 4 · filed same day
2024-12-17Sivaraman RukminiofficerSale7,901 @ $66.42$525K−3.9% of holding−1.2%+10.6%194,791Form 4 · filed same day
2024-12-17Sivaraman RukminiofficerSale3,909 @ $67.04$262K−2.0% of holding−1.2%+10.6%190,882Form 4 · filed same day
2024-12-16RAMASWAMI RAJIVdirectorSale47,799 @ $65.72$3.1M−6.7% of holding−0.5%+10.9%665,136Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-16RAMASWAMI RAJIVdirectorSale16,102 @ $66.26$1.1M−2.4% of holding−0.5%+10.9%649,034Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

227 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-24Maner TarkanofficerAward / grant56,476118,620Form 4
2026-08-24Sivaraman RukminiofficerAward / grant13,152421,584Form 4
2026-08-24Sivaraman RukminiofficerAward / grant15,880408,432Form 4
2026-08-24Sivaraman RukminiofficerAward / grant101,660392,552Form 4
2026-08-24RAMASWAMI RAJIVdirectorAward / grant34,1941,016,864Form 4
2026-08-24RAMASWAMI RAJIVdirectorAward / grant45,372982,670Form 4
2026-08-24RAMASWAMI RAJIVdirectorAward / grant338,868937,298Form 4
2026-08-24Martin BrianofficerAward / grant7,36536,519Form 4
2026-08-24Martin BrianofficerAward / grant15,12429,154Form 4
2026-08-24Maner TarkanofficerAward / grant7,365135,060Form 4
2026-08-24Maner TarkanofficerAward / grant9,075127,695Form 4
2026-06-15RAMASWAMI RAJIVdirectorWithheld for tax27,207598,430Form 4
2026-06-15Sivaraman RukminiofficerWithheld for tax10,879290,892Form 4
2026-06-15Maner TarkanofficerWithheld for tax3,96562,144Form 4
2026-06-15Martin BrianofficerWithheld for tax1,69714,030Form 4
2026-06-15Maner TarkanofficerOption exercise1,70264,207Form 4
2026-06-15Maner TarkanofficerOption exercise2,64862,505Form 4
2026-06-15RAMASWAMI RAJIVdirectorOption exercise15,88479,423Form 4
2026-06-15RAMASWAMI RAJIVdirectorOption exercise8,50776,566Form 4
2026-06-15RAMASWAMI RAJIVdirectorOption exercise8,830114,793Form 4
2026-06-15Sivaraman RukminiofficerOption exercise4,761284,383Form 4
2026-06-15Sivaraman RukminiofficerOption exercise6,250290,633Form 4
2026-06-15Sivaraman RukminiofficerOption exercise4,765295,398Form 4
2026-06-15Sivaraman RukminiofficerOption exercise2,977298,375Form 4
2026-06-15Sivaraman RukminiofficerOption exercise3,396301,771Form 4
2026-06-15Maner TarkanofficerOption exercise1,90266,109Form 4
2026-06-15Maner TarkanofficerOption exercise4,79259,857Form 4
2026-06-15Sivaraman RukminiofficerOption exercise4,7610Form 4
2026-06-15Maner TarkanofficerOption exercise1,90224,725Form 4
2026-06-15Martin BrianofficerOption exercise1,90215,727Form 4
2026-06-15Martin BrianofficerOption exercise2,82513,825Form 4
2026-06-15Maner TarkanofficerOption exercise4,7924,792Form 4
2026-06-15Maner TarkanofficerOption exercise2,64813,237Form 4
2026-06-15Maner TarkanofficerOption exercise1,70215,313Form 4
2026-06-15RAMASWAMI RAJIVdirectorOption exercise17,20617,207Form 4
2026-06-15Sivaraman RukminiofficerOption exercise6,2506,250Form 4
2026-06-15Sivaraman RukminiofficerOption exercise4,76523,827Form 4
2026-06-15Sivaraman RukminiofficerOption exercise2,97726,798Form 4
2026-06-15Sivaraman RukminiofficerOption exercise3,39644,151Form 4
2026-06-15RAMASWAMI RAJIVdirectorOption exercise8,830625,637Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.