NTLAIntellia Therapeutics, Inc.Healthcare · Biotechnologyas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $11.49 · now $11.49 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, NTLA has typically landed between $8.17 and $15.05 — a range of −28.9% to +31.0% from the issuance price $11.49.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,584 overlapping 1 month windows · 2016-05-06 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($11.49) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where NTLA has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $11.49 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$8.17worst · -28.9%$15.05best · +31.0%
  • now $11.49 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $11.06 (-3.7%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $9.83–$12.3
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $8.17–$15.05
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,584 windows spanning 2016-05-06 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2025-10-20−69.7%−69.7%+0.0%
2025-10-21−69.4%−69.4%+0.0%
2025-10-23−68.3%−68.9%+0.0%
3 best
2021-06-02+135.8%−1.7%+135.8%
2021-06-03+128.9%+0.0%+140.0%
2025-09-10+125.5%+0.0%+125.5%

2,584 overlapping windows · 2016-05-06 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~11 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+4.7%
n=10
Feb
70%
+6.5%
n=10
Mar
20%
−6.9%
n=10
Apr
50%
−2.9%
n=10
May
30%
+0.6%
n=10
Jun
91%
+22.7%
n=11
Jul
55%
+0.7%
n=11
Aug
55%
+3.7%
n=11
Sep
18%
−1.9%
n=11
Oct
20%
−10.6%
n=10
Nov
60%
+7.8%
n=10
Dec
30%
−8.4%
n=10

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$28$82026-08-21: 1 insider sale, $36K — LEONARD JOHN M2026-08-20: 1 insider sale, $251K — LEONARD JOHN M2026-07-22: 1 insider sale, $91K — Dulac Edward J III2026-07-02: 1 insider sale, $84K — Dulac Edward J III2026-07-01: 1 insider sale, $44K — Dube Michael P2026-03-02: 2 insider sales, $25K — BASTA JAMES, Clark Eliana2026-01-05: 1 insider purchase, $1.4M — Cohen Fred E2026-01-05: 7 insider sales, $772K — LEONARD JOHN M, Lebwohl David, BASTA JAMES, Clark Eliana …2025-12-11: 3 insider sales, $836K — LEONARD JOHN M …2025-10-01: 2 insider sales, $33K — Dube Michael P, Schultes Birgit C2025-08-20: 1 insider purchase, $1.0M — CHASE WILLIAM J2025-08: 1 open-market purchase, $1.0M2025-10: 2 open-market sales, $33K2025-12: 3 open-market sales, $836K2026-01: 1 open-market purchase, $1.4M2026-01: 7 open-market sales, $772K2026-03: 2 open-market sales, $25K2026-07: 3 open-market sales, $220K2026-08: 2 open-market sales, $287K↑ buys↓ salesdirector LEONARD JOHN M — Sale on 2026-08-21, filed 3 days after the tradedirector LEONARD JOHN M — Sale on 2026-08-20, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Dulac Edward J III — Sale on 2026-07-22, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Dulac Edward J III — Sale on 2026-07-02, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Dube Michael P — Sale on 2026-07-01, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer BASTA JAMES — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Clark Eliana — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Cohen Fred E — Purchase on 2026-01-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LEONARD JOHN M — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Lebwohl David — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer BASTA JAMES — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Clark Eliana — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Schultes Birgit C — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Dulac Edward J III — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Dube Michael P — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LEONARD JOHN M — Sale on 2025-12-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector LEONARD JOHN M — Sale on 2025-12-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector LEONARD JOHN M — Sale on 2025-12-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dube Michael P — Sale on 2025-10-01, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Schultes Birgit C — Sale on 2025-10-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CHASE WILLIAM J — Purchase on 2025-08-20, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-21LEONARD JOHN MdirectorSale2,785 @ $13.00$36K−0.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open1,147,064Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-20LEONARD JOHN MdirectorSale19,890 @ $12.60$251K−1.7% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open1,149,849Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-07-22Dulac Edward J IIIofficerSale8,111 @ $11.25$91K−5.2% of holding+9.7%not yet — horizon still open148,175Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-02Dulac Edward J IIIofficerSale4,677 @ $18.00$84K−2.9% of holding−40.4%not yet — horizon still open156,286Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-07-01Dube Michael PofficerSale2,641 @ $16.78$44K−3.8% of holding−38.2%not yet — horizon still open66,886Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-03-02BASTA JAMESofficerSale1,211 @ $13.78$17K−0.8% of holding−12.0%−29.9%156,794Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02Clark ElianaofficerSale607 @ $13.78$8K−0.6% of holding−12.0%−29.9%93,864Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-05Cohen Fred EdirectorPurchase150,000 @ $9.35$1.4M+261.1% of holding+32.1%+70.8%207,453Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-05LEONARD JOHN MdirectorSale34,146 @ $9.21$314K−3.3% of holding+32.1%+70.8%1,013,339Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-05Lebwohl DavidofficerSale11,903 @ $9.21$110K−8.9% of holding+32.1%+70.8%121,249Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-05BASTA JAMESofficerSale10,397 @ $9.21$96K−9.3% of holding+32.1%+70.8%101,528Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-05Clark ElianaofficerSale9,515 @ $9.21$88K−9.8% of holding+32.1%+70.8%87,118Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-05Schultes Birgit CofficerSale8,508 @ $9.21$78K−7.9% of holding+32.1%+70.8%98,533Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-05Dulac Edward J IIIofficerSale6,379 @ $9.21$59K−6.0% of holding+32.1%+70.8%99,683Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-05Dube Michael PofficerSale2,989 @ $9.21$28K−5.4% of holding+32.1%+70.8%52,277Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-11LEONARD JOHN MdirectorSale49,959 @ $9.49$474K−4.4% of holding+22.0%+46.1%1,077,115Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-11LEONARD JOHN MdirectorSale32,832 @ $9.47$311K−3.0% of holding+22.0%+46.1%1,044,283Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-11LEONARD JOHN MdirectorSale5,355 @ $9.59$51K−0.5% of holding+22.0%+46.1%1,038,928Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-01Dube Michael PofficerSale1,871 @ $17.38$33K−3.3% of holding−36.3%−28.7%55,266Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-01Schultes Birgit CofficerSale31 @ $17.38$539−0.0% of holding−36.3%−28.7%105,184Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-20CHASE WILLIAM JdirectorPurchase100,000 @ $10.03$1.0M+288.2% of holding+48.4%+15.1%134,693Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-23Dulac Edward J IIIofficerSale7,462 @ $14.02$105K−6.6% of holding−29.1%+2.4%106,062Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-02Dube Michael PofficerSale2,503 @ $9.95$25K−4.2% of holding+6.9%−26.8%57,137Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-01GOODMAN JESSEdirectorSale1,547 @ $9.23$14K−6.0% of holding+15.5%−20.2%24,359Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-01Clark ElianaofficerSale1,022 @ $9.82$10K−1.1% of holding+15.5%−20.2%95,369Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-30GOODMAN JESSEdirectorSale1,547 @ $9.56$15K−5.6% of holding+28.8%−14.5%25,906Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-04-29Bhanji MunadirectorSale265 @ $8.50$2K−1.4% of holding−15.6%+45.6%19,203Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-04BASTA JAMESofficerSale2,572 @ $8.99$23K−2.2% of holding−17.9%+16.4%111,925Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-04Clark ElianaofficerSale679 @ $8.99$6K−0.7% of holding−17.9%+16.4%95,369Form 4 · filed same day
2025-01-29Bhanji MunadirectorSale265 @ $9.97$3K−1.3% of holding+1.0%+9.4%19,468Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-01-03LEONARD JOHN MdirectorSale26,807 @ $12.18$327K−2.8% of holding−15.4%−6.1%941,115Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-03Lebwohl DavidofficerSale9,557 @ $12.18$116K−9.8% of holding−15.4%−6.1%87,666Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-03Sepp-Lorenzino LauradirectorSale8,966 @ $12.18$109K−10.4% of holding−15.4%−6.1%77,388Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-03Clark ElianaofficerSale7,422 @ $12.18$90K−10.4% of holding−15.4%−6.1%64,048Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-01-03BASTA JAMESofficerSale7,074 @ $12.18$86K−8.7% of holding−15.4%−6.1%74,497Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-03Hicks DerekofficerSale6,502 @ $12.18$79K−9.8% of holding−15.4%−6.1%59,878Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-03Dube Michael PofficerSale1,372 @ $12.18$17K−2.9% of holding−15.4%−6.1%45,640Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-02Clark ElianaofficerSale556 @ $12.03$7K−0.8% of holding−24.2%−15.7%71,470Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

67 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-09Cohen Fred EdirectorAward / grant9,200216,653Form 4
2026-06-09Cohen Fred EdirectorAward / grant13,30013,300Form 4
2026-06-09GOODMAN JESSEdirectorAward / grant13,30013,300Form 4
2026-06-09Goff BriandirectorAward / grant9,20032,609Form 4
2026-06-09Goff BriandirectorAward / grant13,30013,300Form 4
2026-06-09Keresty GeorgiadirectorAward / grant9,20041,083Form 4
2026-06-09Keresty GeorgiadirectorAward / grant13,30013,300Form 4
2026-06-09Verwiel FrankdirectorAward / grant9,20035,148Form 4
2026-06-09Verwiel FrankdirectorAward / grant13,30013,300Form 4
2026-06-09GOODMAN JESSEdirectorAward / grant9,20033,559Form 4
2026-06-09Bhanji MunadirectorAward / grant9,20036,403Form 4
2026-06-09Bhanji MunadirectorAward / grant13,30013,300Form 4
2026-06-09CHASE WILLIAM JdirectorAward / grant9,200143,893Form 4
2026-06-09CHASE WILLIAM JdirectorAward / grant13,30013,300Form 4
2026-03-01Dube Michael PofficerAward / grant17,25069,527Form 4
2026-03-01BASTA JAMESofficerAward / grant65,82965,829Form 4
2026-03-01BASTA JAMESofficerAward / grant46,080158,005Form 4
2026-03-01Clark ElianaofficerAward / grant7,35394,471Form 4
2026-03-01Clark ElianaofficerAward / grant10,50510,505Form 4
2026-03-01Schultes Birgit CofficerAward / grant39,200137,733Form 4
2026-03-01Schultes Birgit CofficerAward / grant56,00056,000Form 4
2026-03-01LEONARD JOHN MdirectorAward / grant156,4001,169,739Form 4
2026-03-01LEONARD JOHN MdirectorAward / grant225,400225,400Form 4
2026-03-01Lebwohl DavidofficerAward / grant9,943131,192Form 4
2026-03-01Lebwohl DavidofficerAward / grant14,20414,204Form 4
2026-03-01Dulac Edward J IIIofficerAward / grant61,280160,963Form 4
2026-03-01Dulac Edward J IIIofficerAward / grant87,54387,543Form 4
2025-12-12LEONARD JOHN MdirectorOption exercise8,5571,047,485Form 4
2025-12-12LEONARD JOHN MdirectorOption exercise8,5570Form 4
2025-12-11LEONARD JOHN MdirectorOption exercise49,9591,127,074Form 4
2025-12-11LEONARD JOHN MdirectorOption exercise49,9598,557Form 4
2025-06-11Goff BriandirectorAward / grant8,00023,409Form 4
2025-06-11Goff BriandirectorAward / grant11,45011,450Form 4
2025-06-11GOODMAN JESSEdirectorAward / grant8,00027,453Form 4
2025-06-11GOODMAN JESSEdirectorAward / grant11,45011,450Form 4
2025-06-11Verwiel FrankdirectorAward / grant8,00025,948Form 4
2025-06-11Bhanji MunadirectorAward / grant8,00027,203Form 4
2025-06-11Bhanji MunadirectorAward / grant11,45011,450Form 4
2025-06-11Verwiel FrankdirectorAward / grant11,45011,450Form 4
2025-06-11Keresty GeorgiadirectorAward / grant8,00031,883Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.