NSPInsperity, Inc.Industrials · Staffing & Employment Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $51.49 · now $51.49 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, NSP has typically landed between $42.02 and $60.73 — a range of −18.4% to +17.9% from the issuance price $51.49.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($51.49) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where NSP has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $51.49 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$42.02worst · -18.4%$60.73best · +17.9%
  • now $51.49 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $51.2 (-0.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $47.67–$54.74
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $42.02–$60.73
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−63.7%−63.7%+0.4%
2020-02-21−58.1%−63.5%+0.0%
2020-02-20−57.2%−63.9%+0.0%
3 best
2020-04-03+70.8%+0.0%+70.8%
2020-03-18+57.0%+0.0%+59.2%
2020-04-06+50.3%+0.0%+56.9%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
45%
+1.4%
n=20
Feb
50%
−2.9%
n=20
Mar
70%
+2.7%
n=20
Apr
60%
+3.6%
n=20
May
55%
+2.0%
n=20
Jun
55%
+3.0%
n=20
Jul
55%
+3.4%
n=20
Aug
30%
−3.3%
n=20
Sep
40%
+1.7%
n=20
Oct
70%
+3.3%
n=20
Nov
45%
−1.6%
n=20
Dec
65%
+3.8%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$54$202026-06-03: 1 insider purchase, $7.9M — SARVADI PAUL J2026-05-05: 3 insider purchases, $2.9M — SARVADI PAUL J …2026-03-19: 2 insider purchases, $590K — SARVADI PAUL J …2026-03-18: 1 insider purchase, $3.7M — SARVADI PAUL J2026-03-17: 2 insider purchases, $384K — SARVADI PAUL J …2026-03-11: 2 insider purchases, $48K — Callens Christian P, MASTERSON ELLEN H2026-03-10: 1 insider purchase, $205K — ALLISON JAMES D2025-11-07: 1 insider purchase, $34K — Mehl Randall2025-11-06: 1 insider purchase, $69K — Mehl Randall2025-09-17: 4 insider sales, $564K — SARVADI PAUL J …2025-08-15: 1 insider purchase, $100K — CLIFFORD TIM2025-08: 9 open-market purchases, $1.0M2025-09: 4 open-market sales, $564K2025-11: 2 open-market purchases, $102K2026-03: 8 open-market purchases, $4.9M2026-05: 3 open-market purchases, $2.9M2026-06: 1 open-market purchase, $7.9M↑ buys↓ salesdirector SARVADI PAUL J — Purchase on 2026-06-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SARVADI PAUL J — Purchase on 2026-05-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SARVADI PAUL J — Purchase on 2026-05-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SARVADI PAUL J — Purchase on 2026-05-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SARVADI PAUL J — Purchase on 2026-03-19, filed same daydirector SARVADI PAUL J — Purchase on 2026-03-19, filed same daydirector SARVADI PAUL J — Purchase on 2026-03-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SARVADI PAUL J — Purchase on 2026-03-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector SARVADI PAUL J — Purchase on 2026-03-17, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Callens Christian P — Purchase on 2026-03-11, filed same daydirector MASTERSON ELLEN H — Purchase on 2026-03-11, filed same dayofficer ALLISON JAMES D — Purchase on 2026-03-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Mehl Randall — Purchase on 2025-11-07, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Mehl Randall — Purchase on 2025-11-06, filed 4 days after the tradedirector SARVADI PAUL J — Sale on 2025-09-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector SARVADI PAUL J — Sale on 2025-09-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector SARVADI PAUL J — Sale on 2025-09-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector SARVADI PAUL J — Sale on 2025-09-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CLIFFORD TIM — Purchase on 2025-08-15, filed 3 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-06-03SARVADI PAUL JdirectorPurchase233,000 @ $34.05$7.9M+26.7% of holding+34.2%not yet — horizon still open1,105,912Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-05SARVADI PAUL JdirectorPurchase49,543 @ $29.26$1.4M+7.6% of holding+14.6%not yet — horizon still open699,270Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-05SARVADI PAUL JdirectorPurchase50,057 @ $28.20$1.4M+8.3% of holding+14.6%not yet — horizon still open649,727Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-05SARVADI PAUL JdirectorPurchase400 @ $30.00$12K+0.1% of holding+14.6%not yet — horizon still open699,670Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-19SARVADI PAUL JdirectorPurchase22,991 @ $23.57$542K+2.4% of holding+30.6%not yet — horizon still open995,903Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-19SARVADI PAUL JdirectorPurchase2,009 @ $23.93$48K+0.2% of holding+30.6%not yet — horizon still open997,912Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-18SARVADI PAUL JdirectorPurchase160,000 @ $23.22$3.7M+19.7% of holding+17.5%not yet — horizon still open972,912Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-17SARVADI PAUL JdirectorPurchase14,987 @ $22.53$338K+3.3% of holding+17.1%+110.0%472,670Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-17SARVADI PAUL JdirectorPurchase2,000 @ $22.98$46K+0.4% of holding+17.1%+110.0%474,670Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-11Callens Christian PofficerPurchase1,250 @ $19.28$24K+4.4% of holding+25.1%+142.3%29,600Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-11MASTERSON ELLEN HdirectorPurchase1,200 @ $19.90$24K+6.1% of holding+25.1%+142.3%20,980Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-10ALLISON JAMES DofficerPurchase10,000 @ $20.45$205K+11.9% of holding+29.0%+143.0%94,272Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-07Mehl RandalldirectorPurchase1,000 @ $33.88$34K+4.0% of holding+1.4%−13.1%25,707Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-06Mehl RandalldirectorPurchase2,000 @ $34.25$69K+8.8% of holding+2.0%−11.4%24,707Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-17SARVADI PAUL JdirectorSale7,909 @ $51.70$409K−1.8% of holding−8.3%−54.4%430,942Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-17SARVADI PAUL JdirectorSale2,779 @ $52.68$146K−0.6% of holding−8.3%−54.4%428,163Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-17SARVADI PAUL JdirectorSale145 @ $53.45$8K−0.0% of holding−8.3%−54.4%428,018Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-17SARVADI PAUL JdirectorSale17 @ $54.49$926−0.0% of holding−8.3%−54.4%428,001Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-15CLIFFORD TIMdirectorPurchase1,935 @ $51.70$100K+9.2% of holding−0.2%−56.6%22,912Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-06Ramchand LathadirectorPurchase1,000 @ $50.64$51K+7.1% of holding+5.8%−25.7%15,120Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-04Lumelleau John LdirectorPurchase5,500 @ $45.36$249Kownership Δ n/a+12.5%−24.5%5,500Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-04KAUFMAN CAROL RdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $45.24$226K+11.9% of holding+12.5%−24.5%47,067Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-04ALLISON JAMES DofficerPurchase4,000 @ $46.82$187K+6.6% of holding+12.5%−24.5%64,517Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-04Mehl RandalldirectorPurchase2,000 @ $45.05$90K+9.7% of holding+12.5%−24.5%22,707Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-04JONES ELIdirectorPurchase1,109 @ $45.25$50K+10.4% of holding+12.5%−24.5%11,752Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-04JONES ELIdirectorPurchase1,095 @ $45.58$50K+9.3% of holding+12.5%−24.5%12,847Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-04MASTERSON ELLEN HdirectorPurchase490 @ $45.30$22K+2.5% of holding+12.5%−24.5%19,780Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-06SARVADI PAUL JdirectorSale19,738 @ $65.20$1.3M−4.3% of holding−8.8%−63.7%438,851Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-05SARVADI PAUL JdirectorSale14,203 @ $65.26$927K−3.0% of holding−7.3%−51.0%458,589Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-10ARIZPE ARTHUR AofficerSale1,465 @ $95.11$139K−1.7% of holding−5.0%−58.4%83,097Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-12MASTERSON ELLEN HdirectorPurchase1,755 @ $85.75$150K+11.8% of holding+12.1%−45.1%16,612Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-11SARVADI PAUL JdirectorSale15,108 @ $84.04$1.3M−3.3% of holding+11.7%−44.6%446,476Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-11SARVADI PAUL JdirectorSale9,892 @ $84.75$838K−2.2% of holding+11.7%−44.6%436,584Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-11ARIZPE ARTHUR AofficerSale3,400 @ $85.17$290K−4.5% of holding+11.7%−44.6%72,551Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-11ARIZPE ARTHUR AofficerSale2,600 @ $84.05$219K−3.3% of holding+11.7%−44.6%75,951Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

86 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-11SARVADI PAUL JdirectorGift7,500797,912Form 4
2026-08-17SARVADI PAUL JdirectorGift30,000805,412Form 4
2026-05-18MASTERSON ELLEN HdirectorAward / grant6,20127,181Form 4
2026-05-18CLIFFORD TIMdirectorAward / grant6,20129,113Form 4
2026-05-18RAWSON RICHARD GdirectorAward / grant6,20112,622Form 4
2026-05-18JONES ELIdirectorAward / grant6,20119,048Form 4
2026-05-18KAUFMAN CAROL RdirectorAward / grant6,20153,268Form 4
2026-05-18Lumelleau John LdirectorAward / grant6,20120,321Form 4
2026-05-18Mehl RandalldirectorAward / grant6,20131,908Form 4
2026-05-18MORPHY JOHN MdirectorAward / grant6,20116,512Form 4
2026-05-18Ramchand LathadirectorAward / grant6,20121,321Form 4
2026-05-18WILMINGTON PHILIP WdirectorAward / grant6,20110,712Form 4
2026-03-03SARVADI PAUL JdirectorWithheld for tax2,057457,683Form 4
2026-03-03ARIZPE ARTHUR AofficerWithheld for tax28295,836Form 4
2026-03-03ALLISON JAMES DofficerWithheld for tax15184,272Form 4
2026-03-03ALLISON JAMES DofficerAward / grant15484,423Form 4
2026-03-03SARVADI PAUL JdirectorAward / grant1,384459,740Form 4
2026-03-03ARIZPE ARTHUR AofficerAward / grant31996,118Form 4
2026-03-02SARVADI PAUL JdirectorWithheld for tax9,215456,796Form 4
2026-03-02ARIZPE ARTHUR AofficerWithheld for tax2,02995,229Form 4
2026-03-02ALLISON JAMES DofficerWithheld for tax1,66383,852Form 4
2026-03-02Callens Christian PofficerWithheld for tax1,05228,102Form 4
2026-03-02Duffy Sean PatrickofficerWithheld for tax65922,521Form 4
2026-03-02ARIZPE ARTHUR AofficerAward / grant57095,799Form 4
2026-03-02Duffy Sean PatrickofficerAward / grant15122,672Form 4
2026-03-02Callens Christian PofficerAward / grant14,66529,154Form 4
2026-03-02Callens Christian PofficerAward / grant24828,350Form 4
2026-03-02ALLISON JAMES DofficerAward / grant20,53585,515Form 4
2026-03-02ALLISON JAMES DofficerAward / grant41784,269Form 4
2026-03-02ARIZPE ARTHUR AofficerAward / grant13,20097,258Form 4
2026-03-02SARVADI PAUL JdirectorAward / grant33,835466,011Form 4
2026-03-02SARVADI PAUL JdirectorAward / grant1,560458,356Form 4
2026-03-02Duffy Sean PatrickofficerAward / grant11,20023,180Form 4
2026-02-17SARVADI PAUL JdirectorOption exercise4,175432,176Form 4
2026-02-17SARVADI PAUL JdirectorOption exercise4,17514,219Form 4
2026-02-17ALLISON JAMES DofficerOption exercise4631,605Form 4
2026-02-17ALLISON JAMES DofficerOption exercise46364,980Form 4
2026-02-17ARIZPE ARTHUR AofficerOption exercise96184,058Form 4
2026-02-17ARIZPE ARTHUR AofficerOption exercise9613,387Form 4
2025-10-06Duffy Sean PatrickofficerWithheld for tax68511,917Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.