Issued 2026-09-16 at $7.96 · now $7.96 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, NSLR has typically landed between $6.15 and $8.72 — a range of −22.7% to +9.6% from the issuance price $7.96.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
53 overlapping 1 month windows · 2026-06-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($7.96) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where NSLR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $7.96 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $7.96 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $7.06 (-11.3%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $6.51–$7.61
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $6.15–$8.72
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-08-13 | −26.5% | −26.5% | +0.0% |
| 2026-08-14 | −24.8% | −25.3% | +0.0% |
| 2026-06-29 | −23.6% | −23.6% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-07-29 | +5.4% | −1.6% | +14.2% |
| 2026-08-06 | +4.8% | −0.4% | +12.4% |
| 2026-08-07 | +2.6% | +0.0% | +12.9% |
53 overlapping windows · 2026-06-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | LOTT RONALD M. | director | Sale | 5,085 @ $9.96 | $51K | −23.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 16,432 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-26 | Falk Erik A | director | Purchase | 50,000 @ $10.22 | $511K | ownership Δ n/a | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 50,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-10 | Klein Mark D | director | Purchase | 26,040 @ $9.60 | $250K | +1.5% of holding | −3.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,758,796 | Form 4 · filed same day |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.