Issued 2026-09-16 at $165.19 · now $165.19 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, NSIT has typically landed between $140.17 and $191.18 — a range of −15.1% to +15.7% from the issuance price $165.19.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($165.19) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where NSIT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $165.19 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $165.19 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $166.91 (+1.0%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $156.22–$177.61
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $140.17–$191.18
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-10-21 | −63.2% | −63.2% | +0.0% |
| 2009-02-05 | −62.7% | −62.7% | +6.7% |
| 2008-10-22 | −62.3% | −62.3% | +1.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-04-20 | +102.6% | +0.0% | +103.7% |
| 2008-12-01 | +97.1% | +0.0% | +97.1% |
| 2009-04-15 | +91.5% | −2.1% | +91.5% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Adatia Karim | officer | Sale | 248 @ $157.40 | $39K | −100.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | IBARGUEN ANTHONY | director | Sale | 4,000 @ $154.83 | $619K | −18.0% of holding | +5.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 18,188 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-29 | Adatia Karim | officer | Sale | 559 @ $107.40 | $60K | −69.3% of holding | +15.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 248 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Morgado James A. | officer | Purchase | 2,290 @ $87.25 | $200K | +15.3% of holding | +25.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 17,246 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
296 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Foutty Janet | director | Option exercise | 217 | 917 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-30 | Foutty Janet | director | Option exercise | 217 | 217 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-30 | Reichert Thomas | director | Option exercise | 217 | 917 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-30 | Reichert Thomas | director | Option exercise | 217 | 217 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | CROWN TIMOTHY A | director | Option exercise | 320 | 93,160 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | ALLEN RICHARD E | director | Option exercise | 320 | 320 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Breard Linda M. | director | Option exercise | 320 | 320 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Breard Linda M. | director | Option exercise | 320 | 13,131 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | COURAGE CATHERINE | director | Option exercise | 320 | 12,956 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | COURAGE CATHERINE | director | Option exercise | 320 | 320 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | ALLEN RICHARD E | director | Option exercise | 320 | 27,620 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Armstrong Bruce | director | Option exercise | 320 | 320 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | CROWN TIMOTHY A | director | Option exercise | 320 | 320 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | IBARGUEN ANTHONY | director | Option exercise | 320 | 22,188 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Armstrong Bruce | director | Option exercise | 320 | 15,163 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Rishi Girish D | director | Option exercise | 320 | 13,557 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | IBARGUEN ANTHONY | director | Option exercise | 320 | 320 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Rishi Girish D | director | Option exercise | 320 | 320 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-17 | Breard Linda M. | director | Option exercise | 405 | 12,811 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-17 | ALLEN RICHARD E | director | Option exercise | 405 | 27,300 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-17 | Armstrong Bruce | director | Option exercise | 405 | 14,843 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-17 | IBARGUEN ANTHONY | director | Option exercise | 405 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-17 | ALLEN RICHARD E | director | Option exercise | 405 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-17 | Breard Linda M. | director | Option exercise | 405 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-17 | COURAGE CATHERINE | director | Option exercise | 405 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-17 | COURAGE CATHERINE | director | Option exercise | 405 | 12,636 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-17 | Armstrong Bruce | director | Option exercise | 405 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-17 | Rishi Girish D | director | Option exercise | 405 | 13,237 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-17 | IBARGUEN ANTHONY | director | Option exercise | 405 | 21,868 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-17 | CROWN TIMOTHY A | director | Option exercise | 405 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-17 | CROWN TIMOTHY A | director | Option exercise | 405 | 92,840 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-17 | Rishi Girish D | director | Option exercise | 405 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | CROWN TIMOTHY A | director | Option exercise | 482 | 92,435 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | COURAGE CATHERINE | director | Option exercise | 482 | 12,231 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | COURAGE CATHERINE | director | Option exercise | 482 | 963 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Breard Linda M. | director | Option exercise | 482 | 12,406 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Armstrong Bruce | director | Option exercise | 482 | 963 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Breard Linda M. | director | Option exercise | 482 | 963 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Armstrong Bruce | director | Option exercise | 482 | 14,438 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Breard Linda M. | director | Award / grant | 2,291 | 2,291 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.