NRPNatural Resource Partners L.P.Energy · Coalas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $109.71 · now $109.71 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, NRP has typically landed between $98.32 and $130.34 — a range of −10.4% to +18.8% from the issuance price $109.71.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($109.71) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where NRP has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $109.71 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$98.32worst · -10.4%$130.34best · +18.8%
  • now $109.71 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $111.85 (+2.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $105.36–$118.34
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $98.32–$130.34
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−48.4%−48.4%+1.5%
2008-11-04−40.7%−46.2%+0.0%
2008-10-22−40.7%−40.7%+10.3%
3 best
2016-06-30+91.2%+0.0%+91.2%
2016-03-30+83.6%+0.0%+84.1%
2016-07-01+80.4%+0.0%+89.9%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
60%
+5.3%
n=20
Feb
45%
−0.8%
n=20
Mar
50%
−1.9%
n=20
Apr
60%
+4.9%
n=20
May
35%
−2.5%
n=20
Jun
40%
+0.1%
n=20
Jul
60%
+3.1%
n=20
Aug
40%
−1.9%
n=20
Sep
55%
+2.0%
n=20
Oct
55%
+2.0%
n=20
Nov
60%
+2.2%
n=20
Dec
60%
+1.5%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$125$962026-08-28: 1 insider sale, $244K — WOOTEN GREGORY F2026-05-26: 1 insider purchase, $34K — Craig Kevin J2025-09-08: 1 insider sale, $863K — WOOTEN GREGORY F2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $863K2026-05: 1 open-market purchase, $34K2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $244K↑ buys↓ salesofficer WOOTEN GREGORY F — Sale on 2026-08-28, filed same dayofficer Craig Kevin J — Purchase on 2026-05-26, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer WOOTEN GREGORY F — Sale on 2025-09-08, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-28WOOTEN GREGORY FofficerSale2,200 @ $110.89$244K−6.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open32,634Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-26Craig Kevin JofficerPurchase336 @ $102.18$34K+0.7% of holding−2.7%not yet — horizon still open47,019Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-08WOOTEN GREGORY FofficerSale8,607 @ $100.24$863K−23.1% of holding+2.6%+13.2%28,656Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

194 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-02-10ROBERTSON CORBIN J JRdirectorWithheld for tax28,666763,658Form 4
2026-02-10Nunez Craig WofficerWithheld for tax15,579132,487Form 4
2026-02-10Zolas ChristopherofficerWithheld for tax6,87963,497Form 4
2026-02-10WOOTEN GREGORY FofficerWithheld for tax4,92334,834Form 4
2026-02-10Craig Kevin JofficerWithheld for tax4,92346,683Form 4
2026-02-10WARMAN PHILIP TofficerWithheld for tax4,24914,961Form 4
2026-02-10MURPHY PAUL B JRdirectorOption exercise1,07620,061Form 4
2026-02-10MURPHY PAUL B JRdirectorOption exercise1,0760Form 4
2026-02-10NAVARRE RICHARD AdirectorOption exercise1,07619,254Form 4
2026-02-10NAVARRE RICHARD AdirectorOption exercise1,0760Form 4
2026-02-10Claro Galdino J.directorOption exercise1,07622,368Form 4
2026-02-10SMITH STEPHEN PdirectorOption exercise1,0761,076Form 4
2026-02-10SMITH STEPHEN PdirectorOption exercise1,0760Form 4
2026-02-10MURPHY PAUL B JRdirectorOption exercise1,07620,061Form 4
2026-02-10MURPHY PAUL B JRdirectorOption exercise1,0760Form 4
2026-02-10VECELLIO LEO A JRdirectorOption exercise1,07624,608Form 4
2026-02-10VECELLIO LEO A JRdirectorOption exercise1,0760Form 4
2026-02-10WARMAN PHILIP TofficerOption exercise10,79919,210Form 4
2026-02-10WARMAN PHILIP TofficerOption exercise5,8800Form 4
2026-02-10WARMAN PHILIP TofficerOption exercise4,1500Form 4
2026-02-10WARMAN PHILIP TofficerOption exercise403403Form 4
2026-02-10WARMAN PHILIP TofficerOption exercise366732Form 4
2026-02-10Claro Galdino J.directorOption exercise1,0760Form 4
2026-02-10ROBERTSON CORBIN J IIIdirectorOption exercise1,076217,425Form 4
2026-02-10ROBERTSON CORBIN J IIIdirectorOption exercise1,0760Form 4
2026-02-10Craig Kevin JofficerOption exercise11,10151,606Form 4
2026-02-10Craig Kevin JofficerOption exercise6,0550Form 4
2026-02-10Craig Kevin JofficerOption exercise4,2540Form 4
2026-02-10Craig Kevin JofficerOption exercise415415Form 4
2026-02-10Craig Kevin JofficerOption exercise377754Form 4
2026-02-10WOOTEN GREGORY FofficerOption exercise11,10139,757Form 4
2026-02-10WOOTEN GREGORY FofficerOption exercise6,0550Form 4
2026-02-10Nunez Craig WofficerOption exercise21,9390Form 4
2026-02-10Nunez Craig WofficerOption exercise14,7940Form 4
2026-02-10Nunez Craig WofficerOption exercise1,4981,498Form 4
2026-02-10Nunez Craig WofficerOption exercise1,3612,724Form 4
2026-02-10WOOTEN GREGORY FofficerOption exercise4,2540Form 4
2026-02-10WOOTEN GREGORY FofficerOption exercise415415Form 4
2026-02-10WOOTEN GREGORY FofficerOption exercise377754Form 4
2026-02-10Zolas ChristopherofficerOption exercise18,41870,376Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.