NRIXNurix Therapeutics, Inc.Healthcare · Biotechnologyas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $25.15 · now $25.15 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, NRIX has typically landed between $18.47 and $35.22 — a range of −26.6% to +40.0% from the issuance price $25.15.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,523 overlapping 1 month windows · 2020-07-24 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($25.15) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where NRIX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $25.15 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$18.47worst · -26.6%$35.22best · +40.0%
  • now $25.15 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $24.83 (-1.3%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $21.51–$28.14
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $18.47–$35.22
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,523 windows spanning 2020-07-24 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2023-09-26−50.1%−50.1%+0.0%
2023-09-20−48.4%−48.4%+0.0%
2023-09-21−47.1%−47.3%+0.0%
3 best
2020-11-06+93.3%−1.5%+93.3%
2024-02-05+86.2%−1.4%+86.2%
2023-11-28+84.7%+0.0%+84.7%

1,523 overlapping windows · 2020-07-24 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Pending catalysts

  • January 2028 — Trial primary completion: Phase 2 primary completion: A Study of NX-5948 in Adults With CLL/SLL Previously Treated With a Bruton's Tyrosine Kinase Inhibitor and a B-cell Lymphoma-2 Inhibitor (DAYBreak CLL-201) (source, as of 2026-08-14)

Public, scheduled events — dated attention, not a prediction of the outcome. See the FDA catalysts page for the historical base rate.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~7 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
−7.5%
n=6
Feb
17%
−1.2%
n=6
Mar
17%
−6.5%
n=6
Apr
50%
−2.3%
n=6
May
50%
+1.0%
n=6
Jun
67%
+15.9%
n=6
Jul
50%
+6.4%
n=6
Aug
57%
+3.0%
n=7
Sep
14%
+0.5%
n=7
Oct
50%
+0.4%
n=6
Nov
50%
+15.0%
n=6
Dec
50%
+4.1%
n=6

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$28$82026-09-02: 2 insider sales, $149K — Ring Christine …2026-09-01: 1 insider sale, $37K — Hansen Gwenn2026-08-05: 1 insider sale, $109K — Hansen Gwenn2026-08-04: 4 insider sales, $216K — van Houte Hans, Hansen Gwenn …2026-08-03: 1 insider sale, $382K — Ring Christine2026-07-30: 3 insider sales, $246K — Hansen Gwenn, Ring Christine, van Houte Hans2026-07-02: 1 insider sale, $259K — Ring Christine2026-06-25: 2 insider sales, $688K — Ring Christine, Hansen Gwenn2026-06-02: 1 insider sale, $135K — Ring Christine2026-05-05: 2 insider sales, $233K — van Houte Hans …2026-05-04: 1 insider sale, $138K — Ring Christine2026-05-01: 1 insider sale, $90K — Ring Christine2026-04-30: 3 insider sales, $147K — Ring Christine, Hansen Gwenn, van Houte Hans2026-04-02: 1 insider sale, $124K — Ring Christine2026-03-02: 1 insider sale, $126K — Ring Christine2026-02-09: 1 insider sale, $238K — Ring Christine2026-01-30: 6 insider sales, $215K — Hansen Gwenn, Ring Christine, van Houte Hans …2026-01-20: 1 insider sale, $69K — Ring Christine2025-12-18: 2 insider sales, $67K — Ring Christine …2025-11-24: 1 insider sale, $642K — Ring Christine2025-11-03: 1 insider sale, $79K — van Houte Hans2025-10-30: 3 insider sales, $139K — Hansen Gwenn, Ring Christine, van Houte Hans2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $60K2025-10: 3 open-market sales, $139K2025-11: 2 open-market sales, $721K2025-12: 2 open-market sales, $67K2026-01: 7 open-market sales, $285K2026-02: 1 open-market sale, $238K2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $126K2026-04: 4 open-market sales, $271K2026-05: 4 open-market sales, $462K2026-06: 3 open-market sales, $824K2026-07: 4 open-market sales, $506K2026-08: 6 open-market sales, $707K2026-09: 3 open-market sales, $186K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Ring Christine — Sale on 2026-09-02, filed same dayofficer Ring Christine — Sale on 2026-09-02, filed same dayofficer Hansen Gwenn — Sale on 2026-09-01, filed same dayofficer Hansen Gwenn — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed same dayofficer van Houte Hans — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed same dayofficer Hansen Gwenn — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer van Houte Hans — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed same dayofficer Hansen Gwenn — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Ring Christine — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed same dayofficer Hansen Gwenn — Sale on 2026-07-30, filed same dayofficer Ring Christine — Sale on 2026-07-30, filed same dayofficer van Houte Hans — Sale on 2026-07-30, filed same dayofficer Ring Christine — Sale on 2026-07-02, filed same dayofficer Ring Christine — Sale on 2026-06-25, filed same dayofficer Hansen Gwenn — Sale on 2026-06-25, filed same dayofficer Ring Christine — Sale on 2026-06-02, filed same dayofficer van Houte Hans — Sale on 2026-05-05, filed same dayofficer van Houte Hans — Sale on 2026-05-05, filed same dayofficer Ring Christine — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed same dayofficer Ring Christine — Sale on 2026-05-01, filed same dayofficer Ring Christine — Sale on 2026-04-30, filed same dayofficer Hansen Gwenn — Sale on 2026-04-30, filed same dayofficer van Houte Hans — Sale on 2026-04-30, filed same dayofficer Ring Christine — Sale on 2026-04-02, filed same dayofficer Ring Christine — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed same dayofficer Ring Christine — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed same dayofficer Hansen Gwenn — Sale on 2026-01-30, filed same dayofficer Ring Christine — Sale on 2026-01-30, filed same dayofficer van Houte Hans — Sale on 2026-01-30, filed same dayofficer Hansen Gwenn — Sale on 2026-01-30, filed same dayofficer Ring Christine — Sale on 2026-01-30, filed same dayofficer van Houte Hans — Sale on 2026-01-30, filed same dayofficer Ring Christine — Sale on 2026-01-20, filed same dayofficer Ring Christine — Sale on 2025-12-18, filed same dayofficer Ring Christine — Sale on 2025-12-18, filed same dayofficer Ring Christine — Sale on 2025-11-24, filed same dayofficer van Houte Hans — Sale on 2025-11-03, filed same dayofficer Hansen Gwenn — Sale on 2025-10-30, filed same dayofficer Ring Christine — Sale on 2025-10-30, filed same dayofficer van Houte Hans — Sale on 2025-10-30, filed same day
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-02Ring ChristineofficerSale5,387 @ $25.69$138K−36.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open9,510Form 4 · filed same day
2026-09-02Ring ChristineofficerSale400 @ $26.64$11K−4.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open9,110Form 4 · filed same day
2026-09-01Hansen GwennofficerSale1,452 @ $25.47$37K−1.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open117,227Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-05Hansen GwennofficerSale4,356 @ $25.00$109K−3.6% of holding+0.4%not yet — horizon still open117,227Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-04van Houte HansofficerSale2,967 @ $24.65$73K−6.9% of holding+5.4%not yet — horizon still open40,166Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-04Hansen GwennofficerSale2,611 @ $24.64$64K−2.2% of holding+5.4%not yet — horizon still open117,227Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-04van Houte HansofficerSale1,794 @ $23.89$43K−4.0% of holding+5.4%not yet — horizon still open43,133Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-04Hansen GwennofficerSale1,500 @ $23.87$36K−1.2% of holding+5.4%not yet — horizon still open119,838Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-03Ring ChristineofficerSale16,589 @ $23.05$382K−64.6% of holding+11.6%not yet — horizon still open9,110Form 4 · filed same day
2026-07-30Hansen GwennofficerSale3,847 @ $23.38$90K−3.1% of holding+7.4%not yet — horizon still open121,338Form 4 · filed same day
2026-07-30Ring ChristineofficerSale3,847 @ $23.38$90K−16.2% of holding+7.4%not yet — horizon still open19,912Form 4 · filed same day
2026-07-30van Houte HansofficerSale2,845 @ $23.38$67K−6.0% of holding+7.4%not yet — horizon still open44,927Form 4 · filed same day
2026-07-02Ring ChristineofficerSale11,008 @ $23.56$259K−44.8% of holding−4.9%not yet — horizon still open13,579Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-25Ring ChristineofficerSale28,935 @ $20.06$581K−68.1% of holding+3.7%not yet — horizon still open13,579Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-25Hansen GwennofficerSale5,394 @ $20.00$108K−4.5% of holding+3.7%not yet — horizon still open115,005Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-02Ring ChristineofficerSale8,148 @ $16.60$135K−37.5% of holding+48.1%not yet — horizon still open13,579Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-05van Houte HansofficerSale13,473 @ $16.58$223K−26.1% of holding−12.6%not yet — horizon still open38,174Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-05van Houte HansofficerSale582 @ $17.18$10K−1.5% of holding−12.6%not yet — horizon still open37,592Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-04Ring ChristineofficerSale8,148 @ $16.96$138K−30.8% of holding−13.6%not yet — horizon still open18,305Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-01Ring ChristineofficerSale5,394 @ $16.76$90K−16.9% of holding−8.0%not yet — horizon still open26,453Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-30Ring ChristineofficerSale3,214 @ $16.65$53K−9.2% of holding−1.4%not yet — horizon still open31,847Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-30Hansen GwennofficerSale3,214 @ $16.65$53K−2.6% of holding−1.4%not yet — horizon still open120,399Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-30van Houte HansofficerSale2,388 @ $16.65$40K−4.4% of holding−1.4%not yet — horizon still open51,647Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-02Ring ChristineofficerSale8,148 @ $15.24$124K−23.5% of holding−0.3%not yet — horizon still open26,453Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-02Ring ChristineofficerSale8,148 @ $15.44$126K−19.1% of holding+3.0%+50.7%34,601Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-09Ring ChristineofficerSale14,261 @ $16.66$238K−25.0% of holding−2.0%+43.7%42,749Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-30Hansen GwennofficerSale4,797 @ $16.58$80K−5.4% of holding−2.6%+30.5%83,770Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-30Ring ChristineofficerSale4,333 @ $16.58$72K−7.1% of holding−2.6%+30.5%57,098Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-30van Houte HansofficerSale3,588 @ $16.58$59K−7.3% of holding−2.6%+30.5%45,500Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-30Hansen GwennofficerSale98 @ $17.37$2K−0.1% of holding−2.6%+30.5%83,672Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-30Ring ChristineofficerSale88 @ $17.37$2K−0.2% of holding−2.6%+30.5%57,010Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-30van Houte HansofficerSale73 @ $17.37$1K−0.2% of holding−2.6%+30.5%45,427Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-20Ring ChristineofficerSale3,760 @ $18.42$69K−6.9% of holding−14.4%+18.5%50,897Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-18Ring ChristineofficerSale3,560 @ $17.87$64K−6.5% of holding+4.0%−4.6%51,097Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-18Ring ChristineofficerSale200 @ $18.55$4K−0.4% of holding+4.0%−4.6%50,897Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-24Ring ChristineofficerSale37,600 @ $17.07$642K−42.5% of holding+9.3%−10.4%50,897Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-03van Houte HansofficerSale6,284 @ $12.56$79K−14.3% of holding+33.3%+25.8%37,592Form 4 · filed same day
2025-10-30Hansen GwennofficerSale4,087 @ $12.80$52K−5.1% of holding+32.3%+26.3%76,751Form 4 · filed same day
2025-10-30Ring ChristineofficerSale3,644 @ $12.80$47K−6.7% of holding+32.3%+26.3%50,897Form 4 · filed same day
2025-10-30van Houte HansofficerSale3,130 @ $12.80$40K−6.7% of holding+32.3%+26.3%43,876Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-01van Houte HansofficerSale5,402 @ $11.03$60K−13.2% of holding−20.5%+42.3%35,512Form 4 · filed same day
2025-07-30Hansen GwennofficerSale4,308 @ $12.01$52K−5.9% of holding−23.1%+38.0%69,023Form 4 · filed same day
2025-07-30van Houte HansofficerSale4,304 @ $12.01$52K−9.5% of holding−23.1%+38.0%40,914Form 4 · filed same day
2025-07-30Ring ChristineofficerSale3,841 @ $12.01$46K−8.0% of holding−23.1%+38.0%44,009Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-02van Houte HansofficerSale6,198 @ $11.33$70K−15.5% of holding+2.0%−6.2%33,724Form 4 · filed same day
2025-04-30Hansen GwennofficerSale3,377 @ $11.50$39K−5.2% of holding−14.1%−23.2%61,516Form 4 · filed same day
2025-04-30Ring ChristineofficerSale2,894 @ $11.50$33K−7.2% of holding−14.1%−23.2%37,318Form 4 · filed same day
2025-04-30van Houte HansofficerSale2,438 @ $11.50$28K−5.8% of holding−14.1%−23.2%39,922Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-03van Houte HansofficerSale5,125 @ $14.40$74K−13.0% of holding−22.6%−46.1%34,424Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-03van Houte HansofficerSale700 @ $15.13$11K−2.0% of holding−22.6%−46.1%33,724Form 4 · filed same day
2025-01-31Ring ChristineofficerSale5,660 @ $19.94$113K−14.8% of holding−23.5%−48.3%32,638Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-01-31Ring ChristineofficerSale100 @ $20.48$2K−0.3% of holding−23.5%−48.3%32,538Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-01-30Hansen GwennofficerSale3,357 @ $19.81$66K−5.6% of holding−25.6%−48.2%56,270Form 4 · filed same day
2025-01-30Ring ChristineofficerSale2,929 @ $19.81$58K−8.2% of holding−25.6%−48.2%32,829Form 4 · filed same day
2025-01-30van Houte HansofficerSale2,557 @ $19.81$51K−6.0% of holding−25.6%−48.2%39,803Form 4 · filed same day
2025-01-30Hansen GwennofficerSale333 @ $20.33$7K−0.6% of holding−25.6%−48.2%55,937Form 4 · filed same day
2025-01-30Ring ChristineofficerSale291 @ $20.33$6K−0.9% of holding−25.6%−48.2%32,538Form 4 · filed same day
2025-01-30van Houte HansofficerSale254 @ $20.33$5K−0.6% of holding−25.6%−48.2%39,549Form 4 · filed same day
2025-01-02Ring ChristineofficerSale5,760 @ $19.50$112K−17.0% of holding−7.6%−44.2%28,084Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

211 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-02Ring ChristineofficerOption exercise5,78714,897Form 4
2026-09-02Ring ChristineofficerOption exercise5,787117,037Form 4
2026-09-01Hansen GwennofficerOption exercise1,452118,679Form 4
2026-09-01Hansen GwennofficerOption exercise1,45260,858Form 4
2026-08-05Hansen GwennofficerOption exercise4,356121,583Form 4
2026-08-05Hansen GwennofficerOption exercise4,35662,310Form 4
2026-08-03Ring ChristineofficerOption exercise5,78725,699Form 4
2026-08-03Ring ChristineofficerOption exercise5,787122,824Form 4
2026-07-30Ring ChristineofficerOption exercise3,75011,250Form 4
2026-07-30Ring ChristineofficerOption exercise3,75017,329Form 4
2026-07-30Ring ChristineofficerOption exercise2,85820,187Form 4
2026-07-30Ring ChristineofficerOption exercise3,57223,759Form 4
2026-07-30Hansen GwennofficerOption exercise3,57239,303Form 4
2026-07-30Ring ChristineofficerOption exercise2,85820,009Form 4
2026-07-30Ring ChristineofficerOption exercise3,57239,303Form 4
2026-07-30van Houte HansofficerOption exercise3,75041,342Form 4
2026-07-30van Houte HansofficerOption exercise2,85844,200Form 4
2026-07-30van Houte HansofficerOption exercise3,57247,772Form 4
2026-07-30van Houte HansofficerOption exercise3,75011,250Form 4
2026-07-30van Houte HansofficerOption exercise2,85820,009Form 4
2026-07-30van Houte HansofficerOption exercise3,57239,303Form 4
2026-07-30Hansen GwennofficerOption exercise3,750118,755Form 4
2026-07-30Hansen GwennofficerOption exercise2,858121,613Form 4
2026-07-30Hansen GwennofficerOption exercise3,572125,185Form 4
2026-07-30Hansen GwennofficerOption exercise3,75011,250Form 4
2026-07-30Hansen GwennofficerOption exercise2,85820,009Form 4
2026-07-02Ring ChristineofficerOption exercise5,78724,587Form 4
2026-07-02Ring ChristineofficerOption exercise5,22118,800Form 4
2026-07-02Ring ChristineofficerOption exercise5,787128,611Form 4
2026-07-02Ring ChristineofficerOption exercise5,2210Form 4
2026-06-25Ring ChristineofficerOption exercise15,60242,514Form 4
2026-06-25Ring ChristineofficerOption exercise13,33326,912Form 4
2026-06-25Ring ChristineofficerOption exercise15,602134,398Form 4
2026-06-25Ring ChristineofficerOption exercise13,3330Form 4
2026-06-02Ring ChristineofficerOption exercise3,42221,727Form 4
2026-06-02Ring ChristineofficerOption exercise3,4225,221Form 4
2026-05-15Baynes Roy D.directorAward / grant31,25031,250Form 4
2026-05-15DANSEY ROGER DdirectorAward / grant31,25031,250Form 4
2026-05-15Lacey David L.directorAward / grant31,25031,250Form 4
2026-05-15Kapur AnildirectorAward / grant31,25031,250Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.