NRIM · TickerCove

NRIMNorthrim BanCorp, Inc.Financial Services · Banks - Regionalas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $25.56 · now $25.56 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, NRIM has typically landed between $22.30 and $30.33 — a range of −12.8% to +18.6% from the issuance price $25.56.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($25.56) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$25.56 · 62% of range

$19.38 low$29.38 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.3%

typical move · IQR 13.1%

−12.8%worst (p90)+18.6%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where NRIM has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $25.56 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $25.56 (+0.0%)
typical $25.9 (+1.3%)
middle 50% $24.22–$27.58
90% range $22.3–$30.33

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-18	−49.4%	−49.4%	+0.4%
2020-02-20	−46.3%	−49.0%	+1.0%
2020-02-21	−44.8%	−49.6%	+0.0%
3 best
2009-04-20	+55.4%	+0.0%	+55.4%
2009-04-17	+54.7%	+0.0%	+55.4%
2009-04-21	+53.9%	+0.0%	+53.9%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

25%

−3.5%

n=20

Feb

45%

+1.6%

n=20

Mar

60%

+0.4%

n=20

Apr

65%

−0.0%

n=20

May

55%

+4.1%

n=20

Jun

55%

+1.7%

n=20

Jul

55%

+2.3%

n=20

Aug

50%

−0.4%

n=20

Sep

65%

+2.5%

n=20

Oct

50%

+0.3%

n=20

Nov

60%

+4.8%

n=20

Dec

55%

+1.1%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-08	Thomas Linda C	director	Purchase	1,200 @ $26.20	$31K	+21.9% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	6,688	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-31	DRABEK ANTHONY	director	Sale	1,200 @ $25.52	$31K	−7.8% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	14,120	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-28	Ballard Jed W	officer	Sale	3,392 @ $25.91	$88K	−11.2% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	26,935	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-28	Ballard Jed W	officer	Sale	100 @ $25.93	$3K	−0.4% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	26,835	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-03	EDWARDS MARK DOUGLAS	officer	Sale	2,000 @ $27.00	$54K	−10.0% of holding	−7.4%	not yet — horizon still open	18,033	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-07-31	CRIQUI JASON ALEXANDER	officer	Sale	12,488 @ $26.44	$330K	−49.7% of holding	−6.2%	not yet — horizon still open	12,653	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-07-31	EDWARDS MARK DOUGLAS	officer	Sale	2,000 @ $26.33	$53K	−9.1% of holding	−6.2%	not yet — horizon still open	20,033	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-07-31	CRIQUI JASON ALEXANDER	officer	Sale	500 @ $26.53	$13K	−1.9% of holding	−6.2%	not yet — horizon still open	25,641	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-07-31	CRIQUI JASON ALEXANDER	officer	Sale	500 @ $26.48	$13K	−2.0% of holding	−6.2%	not yet — horizon still open	25,141	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-01-30	Ballard Jed W	officer	Purchase	650 @ $23.20	$15K	+3.5% of holding	+3.7%	+7.1%	19,162	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-30	Ballard Jed W	officer	Purchase	640 @ $23.28	$15K	ownership Δ n/a	+3.7%	+7.1%	640	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-29	Huston Michael G.	director	Purchase	1,500 @ $22.80	$34K	+1.8% of holding	+6.1%	+9.1%	83,252	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-10	Thomas Linda C	director	Purchase	800 @ $24.95	$20K	+17.1% of holding	+6.2%	−8.7%	5,488	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-09	HEGNA SHAUNA	director	Purchase	1,186 @ $25.25	$30K	+262.4% of holding	+11.7%	−3.9%	1,638	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-09	McCambridge David J	director	Purchase	1,150 @ $24.87	$29K	+2.8% of holding	+11.7%	−3.9%	41,598	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-24	ROMANO MARILYN	director	Purchase	200 @ $75.63	$15K	+19.9% of holding	+6.4%	+5.4%	1,207	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-07	Huston Michael G.	director	Sale	453 @ $89.18	$40K	−1.9% of holding	−11.6%	−10.3%	23,759	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-01-31	HEGNA SHAUNA	director	Purchase	113 @ $84.00	$9K	ownership Δ n/a	−3.0%	−7.5%	113	Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

35 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-01	MARUSHACK JOSEPH	director	Award / grant	1,456	1,456	Form 4
2026-06-01	McCambridge David J	director	Award / grant	1,456	1,456	Form 4
2026-06-01	SWALLING JOHN C	director	Award / grant	1,456	1,456	Form 4
2026-06-01	Thomas Linda C	director	Award / grant	1,456	1,456	Form 4
2026-06-01	Nelson Krystal Murphy	director	Award / grant	1,456	1,456	Form 4
2026-06-01	Schutt Aaron Michael	director	Award / grant	1,456	1,456	Form 4
2026-06-01	ROMANO MARILYN	director	Award / grant	1,456	1,456	Form 4
2026-06-01	Hanneman Karl L	director	Award / grant	1,456	1,456	Form 4
2026-06-01	HEGNA SHAUNA	director	Award / grant	1,456	1,456	Form 4
2026-06-01	Karp David W	director	Award / grant	1,456	1,456	Form 4
2026-06-01	DRABEK ANTHONY	director	Award / grant	1,456	1,456	Form 4
2026-04-27	Ballard Jed W	officer	Award / grant	4,243	4,243	Form 4
2026-04-27	Huston Michael G.	director	Award / grant	7,163	7,163	Form 4
2026-03-23	Huston Michael G.	director	Withheld for tax	2,505	96,127	Form 4
2026-03-23	Ballard Jed W	officer	Withheld for tax	2,196	30,327	Form 4
2026-03-23	Huston Michael G.	director	Withheld for tax	1,763	88,346	Form 4
2026-03-23	Ballard Jed W	officer	Withheld for tax	1,664	23,508	Form 4
2026-03-23	Ballard Jed W	officer	Option exercise	6,010	25,172	Form 4
2026-03-23	Huston Michael G.	director	Option exercise	6,857	90,109	Form 4
2026-03-23	Huston Michael G.	director	Option exercise	10,286	98,632	Form 4
2026-03-23	Huston Michael G.	director	Option exercise	6,104	0	Form 4
2026-03-23	Huston Michael G.	director	Option exercise	10,286	0	Form 4
2026-03-23	Ballard Jed W	officer	Option exercise	9,015	32,523	Form 4
2026-03-23	Ballard Jed W	officer	Option exercise	5,344	0	Form 4
2026-03-23	Ballard Jed W	officer	Option exercise	9,015	0	Form 4
2025-12-09	SCHIERHORN JOSEPH M	director	Withheld for tax	20,723	202,381	Form 4
2025-12-09	SCHIERHORN JOSEPH M	director	Option exercise	41,692	223,104	Form 4
2025-12-09	SCHIERHORN JOSEPH M	director	Option exercise	41,692	0	Form 4
2025-03-27	Huston Michael G.	director	Award / grant	2,388	26,159	Form 4
2025-03-27	Ballard Jed W	officer	Award / grant	1,414	8,280	Form 4
2025-02-25	SCHIERHORN JOSEPH M	director	Gift	294	49,665	Form 4
2025-02-04	Huston Michael G.	director	Withheld for tax	547	24,212	Form 4
2025-02-04	Huston Michael G.	director	Option exercise	1,000	24,759	Form 4
2025-02-04	Huston Michael G.	director	Option exercise	1,000	0	Form 4
2024-12-10	SWALLING JOHN C	director	Gift	4,520	0	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i