Issued 2026-09-16 at $9.41 · now $9.41 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, NRDS has typically landed between $6.67 and $12.27 — a range of −29.1% to +30.4% from the issuance price $9.41.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,199 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-11-04 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($9.41) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where NRDS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $9.41 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $9.41 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $9.41 (+0.0%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $8.42–$10.4
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $6.67–$12.27
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2021-11-04 | −47.7% | −48.6% | +0.0% |
| 2021-11-19 | −45.4% | −48.0% | +0.0% |
| 2021-11-22 | −44.9% | −47.7% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2023-01-31 | +84.6% | +0.0% | +84.6% |
| 2023-01-18 | +84.3% | −3.2% | +84.3% |
| 2023-01-23 | +80.3% | +0.0% | +80.3% |
1,199 overlapping windows · 2021-11-04 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~5 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Topline Capital Partners, LP | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 454,872 @ $9.27 | $4.2M | −12.1% of holding | −2.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,289,285 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-30 | Topline Capital Management, LLC | other | Sale | 454,872 @ $9.27 | $4.2M | −12.1% of holding | −2.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,289,285 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-29 | Topline Capital Partners, LP | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 587,835 @ $9.22 | $5.4M | −13.6% of holding | +3.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,744,157 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-29 | Topline Capital Management, LLC | other | Sale | 587,835 @ $9.22 | $5.4M | −13.6% of holding | +3.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,744,157 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | Topline Capital Partners, LP | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 919,153 @ $8.95 | $8.2M | −17.5% of holding | +3.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,331,992 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | Topline Capital Management, LLC | other | Sale | 919,153 @ $8.95 | $8.2M | −17.5% of holding | +3.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,331,992 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-17 | YOUNT SAMUEL | officer | Sale | 35,402 @ $10.33 | $366K | −10.1% of holding | +1.4% | −20.4% | 314,039 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-17 | YOUNT SAMUEL | officer | Sale | 24,278 @ $10.33 | $251K | −12.2% of holding | +1.4% | −20.4% | 173,973 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-17 | YOUNT SAMUEL | officer | Sale | 6,154 @ $10.26 | $63K | −1.7% of holding | +1.4% | −20.4% | 349,441 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-17 | YOUNT SAMUEL | officer | Sale | 6,154 @ $10.26 | $63K | −2.0% of holding | +1.4% | −20.4% | 307,885 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-12 | YOUNT SAMUEL | officer | Sale | 2,800 @ $10.61 | $30K | −1.4% of holding | −0.5% | −24.3% | 198,251 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-12 | YOUNT SAMUEL | officer | Sale | 211 @ $10.60 | $2K | −0.1% of holding | −0.5% | −24.3% | 355,595 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-05 | Tatum Nicholas | officer | Sale | 10,151 @ $11.45 | $116K | −17.7% of holding | −4.0% | −26.6% | 47,202 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-04 | Tatum Nicholas | officer | Sale | 595 @ $11.45 | $7K | −1.0% of holding | −2.9% | −22.9% | 58,246 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-04 | Tatum Nicholas | officer | Sale | 298 @ $11.45 | $3K | −0.5% of holding | −2.9% | −22.9% | 57,948 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-03 | Tatum Nicholas | officer | Sale | 596 @ $15.93 | $9K | −0.9% of holding | −15.1% | −57.2% | 62,858 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-02 | YOUNT SAMUEL | officer | Sale | 15,945 @ $16.04 | $256K | −4.3% of holding | −19.4% | −60.6% | 358,116 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-26 | YOUNT SAMUEL | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $15.07 | $151K | −2.6% of holding | −9.5% | −54.1% | 374,061 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-24 | YOUNT SAMUEL | officer | Sale | 5,040 @ $14.28 | $72K | −1.3% of holding | −6.2% | −54.0% | 384,061 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-14 | YOUNT SAMUEL | officer | Sale | 521 @ $14.25 | $7K | −0.1% of holding | −1.0% | −51.9% | 389,101 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-13 | YOUNT SAMUEL | officer | Sale | 12,129 @ $14.34 | $174K | −3.0% of holding | −5.5% | −54.0% | 389,622 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-02 | Tatum Nicholas | officer | Sale | 4,272 @ $10.76 | $46K | −5.9% of holding | +4.9% | −2.6% | 68,020 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-03 | YOUNT SAMUEL | officer | Sale | 106,278 @ $13.46 | $1.4M | −20.9% of holding | +1.7% | −22.8% | 401,751 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-03 | YOUNT SAMUEL | officer | Sale | 53,186 @ $13.46 | $716K | −20.9% of holding | +1.7% | −22.8% | 201,051 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-02 | YOUNT SAMUEL | officer | Sale | 293,472 @ $13.49 | $4.0M | −36.6% of holding | +4.5% | −23.2% | 508,029 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-01-02 | YOUNT SAMUEL | officer | Sale | 146,864 @ $13.49 | $2.0M | −36.6% of holding | +4.5% | −23.2% | 254,237 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-12-30 | YOUNT SAMUEL | officer | Sale | 2,002 @ $13.45 | $27K | −0.2% of holding | +6.2% | −20.9% | 801,501 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-30 | YOUNT SAMUEL | officer | Sale | 1,001 @ $13.45 | $13K | −0.2% of holding | +6.2% | −20.9% | 401,101 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-19 | YOUNT SAMUEL | officer | Sale | 14,079 @ $12.70 | $179K | −1.7% of holding | +4.3% | −19.2% | 803,503 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-19 | YOUNT SAMUEL | officer | Sale | 7,045 @ $12.70 | $89K | −1.7% of holding | +4.3% | −19.2% | 402,102 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-18 | YOUNT SAMUEL | officer | Sale | 102,947 @ $13.14 | $1.4M | −11.2% of holding | +7.4% | −17.3% | 817,582 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-18 | YOUNT SAMUEL | officer | Sale | 51,518 @ $13.14 | $677K | −11.2% of holding | +7.4% | −17.3% | 409,147 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-17 | YOUNT SAMUEL | officer | Sale | 76,327 @ $13.41 | $1.0M | −7.7% of holding | +7.7% | −18.7% | 920,529 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-17 | YOUNT SAMUEL | officer | Sale | 38,197 @ $13.41 | $512K | −7.7% of holding | +7.7% | −18.7% | 460,665 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-16 | YOUNT SAMUEL | officer | Sale | 47,547 @ $13.39 | $637K | −4.6% of holding | +6.8% | −19.4% | 996,856 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-16 | YOUNT SAMUEL | officer | Sale | 23,794 @ $13.39 | $319K | −4.6% of holding | +6.8% | −19.4% | 498,862 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-13 | YOUNT SAMUEL | officer | Sale | 50,775 @ $13.40 | $680K | −4.6% of holding | +8.4% | −19.3% | 1,044,403 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-13 | YOUNT SAMUEL | officer | Sale | 25,410 @ $13.40 | $340K | −4.6% of holding | +8.4% | −19.3% | 522,656 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-12 | YOUNT SAMUEL | officer | Sale | 66,647 @ $13.63 | $908K | −5.7% of holding | +6.7% | −19.7% | 1,095,178 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-12 | YOUNT SAMUEL | officer | Sale | 33,353 @ $13.63 | $455K | −5.7% of holding | +6.7% | −19.7% | 548,066 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-11 | YOUNT SAMUEL | officer | Sale | 43,432 @ $13.79 | $599K | −3.6% of holding | +3.7% | −20.7% | 1,161,825 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-11 | YOUNT SAMUEL | officer | Sale | 21,735 @ $13.79 | $300K | −3.6% of holding | +3.7% | −20.7% | 581,419 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
50 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Mischner Sam Brian | officer | Withheld for tax | 22,643 | 228,121 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Lee Jun Hyung | officer | Withheld for tax | 13,299 | 354,783 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Chen Tim Chao-Ming | director | Withheld for tax | 7,723 | 539,160 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Tatum Nicholas | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,990 | 69,466 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Lee Jun Hyung | officer | Withheld for tax | 47,876 | 368,082 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Chen Tim Chao-Ming | director | Withheld for tax | 15,309 | 546,883 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Tatum Nicholas | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,263 | 72,456 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Mischner Sam Brian | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,572 | 249,725 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Chia Teresa | director | Award / grant | 19,764 | 19,764 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Chia Teresa | director | Award / grant | 19,710 | 39,474 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Laube Lynne Marie | director | Award / grant | 19,494 | 79,627 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Ling Anthony | director | Award / grant | 19,494 | 55,436 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | MCBRIDE KENNETH THOMAS | director | Award / grant | 19,494 | 90,526 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Ling Anthony | director | Award / grant | 17,946 | 35,942 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-18 | Tatum Nicholas | officer | Award / grant | 28,517 | 75,719 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-18 | Lee Jun Hyung | officer | Award / grant | 128,326 | 415,958 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-18 | Lee Jun Hyung | officer | Award / grant | 256,653 | 831,916 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Tatum Nicholas | officer | Gift | 595 | 57,353 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Chen Tim Chao-Ming | director | Withheld for tax | 11,095 | 562,192 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | YOUNT SAMUEL | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,779 | 433,578 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Tatum Nicholas | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,827 | 58,841 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-02 | Chen Tim Chao-Ming | director | Withheld for tax | 15,309 | 573,287 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-02 | YOUNT SAMUEL | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,862 | 437,357 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-02 | Tatum Nicholas | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,511 | 63,454 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-24 | Chen Tim Chao-Ming | director | Gift | 1,001,360 | 3,640,481 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-24 | Chen Tim Chao-Ming | director | Gift | 2,740,027 | 19,380,838 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-24 | Chen Tim Chao-Ming | director | Gift | 3,741,387 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-02 | Tatum Nicholas | officer | Gift | 2,055 | 65,965 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-02 | Chen Tim Chao-Ming | director | Withheld for tax | 15,310 | 588,596 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-02 | YOUNT SAMUEL | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,862 | 440,835 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-02 | Tatum Nicholas | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,511 | 72,292 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-11 | YOUNT SAMUEL | officer | Withheld for tax | 201,544 | 445,697 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-03 | YOUNT SAMUEL | officer | Award / grant | 62,790 | 647,241 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-03 | YOUNT SAMUEL | officer | Award / grant | 125,581 | 125,581 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-02 | Chen Tim Chao-Ming | director | Withheld for tax | 15,309 | 603,906 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-02 | YOUNT SAMUEL | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,067 | 584,451 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-02 | Tatum Nicholas | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,985 | 74,803 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-22 | Ling Anthony | director | Award / grant | 17,996 | 17,996 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-21 | Laube Lynne Marie | director | Award / grant | 18,137 | 60,133 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-21 | MCBRIDE KENNETH THOMAS | director | Award / grant | 18,137 | 71,032 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.