Issued 2026-08-21 at $1.02 · now $0.75 (2026-09-16, −26.1% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-08-21 close, NNOX has typically landed between $0.71 and $1.36 — a range of −30.1% to +33.5% from the issuance price $1.02.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,406 overlapping 1 month windows · 2020-12-14 – 2026-07-23 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,405 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-08-21 issuance close ($1.02) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-09-21, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where NNOX has typically landed a month from the 2026-08-21 close of $1.02 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $0.7537 (-26.1%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $0.9507 (-6.8%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $0.8225–$1.08
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $0.7134–$1.36
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-05-26 | −55.6% | −55.6% | +4.5% |
| 2021-01-27 | −49.4% | −49.4% | +0.0% |
| 2021-02-02 | −49.0% | −49.0% | +14.8% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2023-04-11 | +227.1% | −4.3% | +227.1% |
| 2023-04-20 | +220.0% | −5.5% | +222.9% |
| 2023-04-12 | +215.9% | −4.6% | +226.1% |
1,423 overlapping windows · 2020-12-14 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Meltzer Erez | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $0.69 | $7K | +18.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 65,443 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | Suesskind Dan S | director | Purchase | 30,000 @ $0.76 | $23K | +60.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 80,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | Suesskind Dan S | director | Purchase | 30,000 @ $0.75 | $23K | +37.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 110,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-10 | Meltzer Erez | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $0.78 | $8K | +22.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 55,443 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | Meltzer Erez | director | Purchase | 9,443 @ $1.03 | $10K | +26.2% of holding | −25.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 45,443 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-28 | Kainan Noga | director | Purchase | 33,000 @ $0.90 | $30K | +423.5% of holding | −3.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 40,792 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-27 | Meltzer Erez | director | Purchase | 36,000 @ $0.93 | $33K | ownership Δ n/a | −6.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 36,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-27 | Suesskind Dan S | director | Purchase | 25,000 @ $0.94 | $24K | ownership Δ n/a | −6.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 25,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-27 | Suesskind Dan S | director | Purchase | 25,000 @ $0.92 | $23K | +100.0% of holding | −6.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 50,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | Alroy Erez | director | Sale | 469 @ $1.65 | $774 | −2.7% of holding | −38.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 17,075 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | Alroy Erez | director | Sale | 209 @ $1.65 | $345 | −3.0% of holding | −38.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,753 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-05 | Daniel Ran | officer | Purchase | 1,000 @ $3.65 | $4K | +16.8% of holding | +7.9% | −32.0% | 6,950 | Form 4 · filed same day |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
3 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | Daniel Ran | officer | Disposition | 5,950 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-29 | Daniel Ran | officer | Disposition | 1,000 | 5,950 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-18 | Daniel Ran | officer | Disposition | 39,474 | 46,424 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.