Issued 2026-09-16 at $41.65 · now $41.65 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, NNN has typically landed between $37.82 and $45.25 — a range of −9.2% to +8.6% from the issuance price $41.65.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($41.65) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where NNN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $41.65 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $41.65 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $41.92 (+0.6%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $40.4–$43.44
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $37.82–$45.25
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-18 | −53.9% | −53.9% | +2.4% |
| 2020-02-21 | −53.6% | −54.6% | +0.9% |
| 2020-03-05 | −50.9% | −51.0% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2008-12-01 | +63.2% | +0.0% | +63.2% |
| 2008-11-20 | +51.0% | −2.1% | +54.0% |
| 2008-11-19 | +43.1% | −9.0% | +43.1% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-09 | Horn Stephen A JR | officer | Sale | 33,192 @ $44.98 | $1.5M | −3.9% of holding | −4.1% | −13.1% | 822,711 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-06 | Adamo Jonathan | officer | Sale | 6,000 @ $44.99 | $270K | −4.5% of holding | −2.4% | −13.6% | 126,358 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-20 | Miller Michelle Lynn | officer | Sale | 4,000 @ $44.03 | $176K | −4.1% of holding | +0.6% | −5.5% | 93,817 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-21 | Miller Michelle Lynn | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $42.20 | $422K | −10.9% of holding | −6.0% | +0.9% | 81,750 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-11 | Adamo Jonathan | officer | Sale | 4,800 @ $42.47 | $204K | −4.8% of holding | −0.4% | −18.8% | 95,466 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-17 | Horn Stephen A JR | officer | Sale | 55,356 @ $42.46 | $2.4M | −7.2% of holding | +1.5% | −13.7% | 712,108 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-10 | Miller Michelle Lynn | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $42.51 | $43K | −1.4% of holding | −5.8% | +3.3% | 68,756 | Form 4 · filed same day |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
78 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | FICK DAVID M | director | Award / grant | 1,715 | 72,680 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Witherspoon Kamau Omari | director | Award / grant | 1,353 | 24,049 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | HOLDEN BETSY D | director | Award / grant | 1,217 | 36,003 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | FRITSCH EDWARD J | director | Award / grant | 1,118 | 65,614 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Gulacsy Elizabeth | director | Award / grant | 1,039 | 17,772 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Beall Pamela K.M. | director | Award / grant | 831 | 37,370 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-30 | FICK DAVID M | director | Award / grant | 1,787 | 70,965 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-30 | Witherspoon Kamau Omari | director | Award / grant | 1,391 | 22,696 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-30 | HOLDEN BETSY D | director | Award / grant | 1,243 | 34,786 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-30 | Gulacsy Elizabeth | director | Award / grant | 1,049 | 16,733 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-30 | FRITSCH EDWARD J | director | Award / grant | 833 | 64,496 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-30 | Beall Pamela K.M. | director | Award / grant | 833 | 36,539 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Horn Stephen A JR | officer | Award / grant | 176,413 | 926,324 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Chao Vincent H. | officer | Award / grant | 44,920 | 115,280 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Horn Stephen A JR | officer | Award / grant | 37,803 | 749,911 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Adamo Jonathan | officer | Award / grant | 30,382 | 132,358 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Steffens Gina M. | officer | Award / grant | 24,828 | 89,791 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Lewis Joshua Phillip | officer | Award / grant | 21,692 | 81,990 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Miller Michelle Lynn | officer | Award / grant | 18,981 | 104,798 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Chao Vincent H. | officer | Award / grant | 9,626 | 70,360 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Adamo Jonathan | officer | Award / grant | 6,510 | 101,976 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Steffens Gina M. | officer | Award / grant | 5,320 | 64,963 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Lewis Joshua Phillip | officer | Award / grant | 4,648 | 60,298 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Miller Michelle Lynn | officer | Award / grant | 4,067 | 85,817 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Horn Stephen A JR | officer | Disposition | 70,421 | 855,903 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Miller Michelle Lynn | officer | Disposition | 6,981 | 97,817 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | FICK DAVID M | director | Award / grant | 1,833 | 69,178 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | COSLER STEVEN D | director | Award / grant | 1,568 | 67,123 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | Witherspoon Kamau Omari | director | Award / grant | 1,428 | 21,305 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | HOLDEN BETSY D | director | Award / grant | 1,276 | 33,543 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | Gulacsy Elizabeth | director | Award / grant | 1,077 | 15,684 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | Beall Pamela K.M. | director | Award / grant | 867 | 35,706 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | FRITSCH EDWARD J | director | Award / grant | 867 | 63,663 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-31 | FICK DAVID M | director | Award / grant | 1,851 | 67,345 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-31 | COSLER STEVEN D | director | Award / grant | 1,583 | 65,555 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-31 | Witherspoon Kamau Omari | director | Award / grant | 1,472 | 19,877 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-31 | HOLDEN BETSY D | director | Award / grant | 1,288 | 32,267 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-31 | Gulacsy Elizabeth | director | Award / grant | 1,087 | 14,607 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-31 | Beall Pamela K.M. | director | Award / grant | 888 | 34,839 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-31 | FRITSCH EDWARD J | director | Award / grant | 888 | 62,796 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.