Issued 2026-09-16 at $127.43 · now $127.43 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, NNI has typically landed between $116.11 and $141.69 — a range of −8.9% to +11.2% from the issuance price $127.43.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($127.43) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where NNI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $127.43 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $127.43 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $128.75 (+1.0%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $123.89–$133.6
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $116.11–$141.69
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2009-01-29 | −69.9% | −69.9% | +5.3% |
| 2009-02-03 | −66.5% | −69.9% | +0.0% |
| 2009-01-30 | −66.4% | −69.3% | +7.6% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-03-05 | +108.2% | +0.0% | +108.2% |
| 2009-03-02 | +108.0% | +0.0% | +122.3% |
| 2009-03-06 | +105.2% | +0.0% | +107.7% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-09 | Van Deun Jona M | director | Sale | 400 @ $128.95 | $52K | −36.2% of holding | +6.1% | −9.0% | 704 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-05 | HENNING THOMAS EDWARD | director | Sale | 5,094 @ $128.87 | $656K | −31.5% of holding | −3.2% | −2.5% | 11,058 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-05 | HENNING THOMAS EDWARD | director | Sale | 3,102 @ $128.87 | $400K | −100.0% of holding | −3.2% | −2.5% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-25 | Butterfield Shelby J | other | Sale | 41,929 @ $119.25 | $5.0M | −98.8% of holding | −4.5% | −6.7% | 510 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
161 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | KLEIN ANGIE J | director | Award / grant | 1,108 | 1,108 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Pallesen Edward Sysel | director | Award / grant | 1,046 | 1,046 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Farrell Kathleen Anne | director | Award / grant | 185 | 22,755 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Rath Kimberly Kay | director | Award / grant | 93 | 65,491 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Graff David S | director | Award / grant | 93 | 31,953 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-09 | Kruger James D | officer | Gift | 2,500 | 2,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | HENNING THOMAS EDWARD | director | Award / grant | 1,738 | 59,312 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Farrell Kathleen Anne | director | Award / grant | 1,626 | 22,570 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Bansal Preeta D | director | Award / grant | 1,626 | 20,243 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Graff David S | director | Award / grant | 1,535 | 31,860 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Rath Kimberly Kay | director | Award / grant | 1,535 | 65,229 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Van Deun Jona M | director | Award / grant | 1,219 | 8,398 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Van Deun Jona M | director | Award / grant | 407 | 1,111 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Dunlap Matthew W | director | Withheld for tax | 15 | 17,054 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-30 | Kruger James D | officer | Gift | 5,000 | 5,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | Munn William J | officer | Gift | 1,052 | 12,155 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | Munn William J | officer | Gift | 1,052 | 6,872 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-30 | Peterson Adam K | director | Option exercise | 9,544 | 1,678,520 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-30 | Peterson Adam K | director | Conversion | 9,544 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Kruger James D | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,702 | 69,378 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Tewes Timothy | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,700 | 94,048 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | HEIMES TERRY J | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,670 | 27,923 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | NOORDHOEK JEFFREY R | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,195 | 103,283 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Kruger James D | officer | Withheld for tax | 795 | 57,710 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Tewes Timothy | officer | Withheld for tax | 794 | 82,378 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | HEIMES TERRY J | officer | Withheld for tax | 791 | 18,387 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Munn William J | officer | Withheld for tax | 763 | 7,924 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Wenger DeeAnn | officer | Withheld for tax | 636 | 31,025 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | NOORDHOEK JEFFREY R | officer | Withheld for tax | 537 | 102,746 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Olinger Emily | officer | Withheld for tax | 509 | 7,859 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | NOORDHOEK JEFFREY R | officer | Withheld for tax | 486 | 102,260 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Tewes Timothy | officer | Withheld for tax | 356 | 82,022 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Kruger James D | officer | Withheld for tax | 356 | 57,354 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | HEIMES TERRY J | officer | Withheld for tax | 356 | 18,031 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | HEIMES TERRY J | officer | Withheld for tax | 322 | 17,709 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Kruger James D | officer | Withheld for tax | 322 | 57,032 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Tewes Timothy | officer | Withheld for tax | 322 | 81,700 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Wenger DeeAnn | officer | Withheld for tax | 245 | 25,733 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | NOORDHOEK JEFFREY R | officer | Withheld for tax | 204 | 102,056 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Munn William J | officer | Withheld for tax | 143 | 3,258 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.