Issued 2026-09-16 at $3.26 · now $3.26 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, NNBR has typically landed between $2.37 and $4.52 — a range of −27.2% to +38.6% from the issuance price $3.26.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,001 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($3.26) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where NNBR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $3.26 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $3.26 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $3.2 (-1.7%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $2.74–$3.67
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $2.37–$4.52
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,001 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-10-23 | −88.6% | −88.6% | +0.0% |
| 2008-10-22 | −88.5% | −88.5% | +0.0% |
| 2008-10-28 | −84.5% | −86.5% | +5.5% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-07-08 | +169.0% | +0.0% | +169.0% |
| 2009-07-13 | +168.5% | +0.0% | +170.1% |
| 2009-07-10 | +163.8% | −2.3% | +163.8% |
5,001 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
60%
+3.1%
n=20
Feb
55%
−3.1%
n=20
Mar
60%
+1.1%
n=20
Apr
60%
+9.1%
n=20
May
70%
+8.6%
n=20
Jun
55%
+4.5%
n=20
Jul
55%
+5.4%
n=20
Aug
50%
−1.2%
n=20
Sep
40%
−3.6%
n=20
Oct
40%
−1.0%
n=20
Nov
40%
−4.6%
n=20
Dec
60%
+6.9%
n=20
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | White Raymond T. | director | Sale | 18,782 @ $2.41 | $45K | −2.1% of holding | +25.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 858,283 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | White Raymond T. | director | Sale | 134,423 | — | −4.9% of holding | +25.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,623,434 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | White Raymond T. | director | Sale | 134,423 | — | −4.9% of holding | +25.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,623,434 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | White Raymond T. | director | Sale | 13,750 | — | −5.6% of holding | +25.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 233,225 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | White Raymond T. | director | Sale | 134,423 | — | −4.9% of holding | +25.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,623,434 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | White Raymond T. | director | Sale | 13,750 | — | −5.6% of holding | +25.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 233,225 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | White Raymond T. | director | Sale | 134,423 | — | −4.9% of holding | +25.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,623,434 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | White Raymond T. | director | Sale | 13,750 | — | −5.6% of holding | +25.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 233,225 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | White Raymond T. | director | Sale | 134,423 | — | −4.9% of holding | +25.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,623,434 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | White Raymond T. | director | Sale | 13,750 | — | −5.6% of holding | +25.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 233,225 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | White Raymond T. | director | Sale | 134,423 | — | −4.9% of holding | +25.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,623,434 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | White Raymond T. | director | Sale | 13,750 | — | −5.6% of holding | +25.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 233,225 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | White Raymond T. | director | Sale | 134,423 | — | −4.9% of holding | +25.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,623,434 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | White Raymond T. | director | Sale | 13,750 | — | −5.6% of holding | +25.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 233,225 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | White Raymond T. | director | Sale | 13,750 | — | −5.6% of holding | +25.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 233,225 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | White Raymond T. | director | Sale | 134,423 | — | −4.9% of holding | +25.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,623,434 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | White Raymond T. | director | Sale | 13,750 | — | −5.6% of holding | +25.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 233,225 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | White Raymond T. | director | Sale | 134,423 | — | −4.9% of holding | +25.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,623,434 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | White Raymond T. | director | Sale | 13,750 | — | −5.6% of holding | +25.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 233,225 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-27 | Barrett John Frederick | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 136,165 @ $2.63 | $358K | −2.9% of holding | +10.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,568,715 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-27 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 99,745 @ $2.63 | $262K | −2.3% of holding | +10.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,195,971 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-27 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 36,420 @ $2.63 | $96K | −8.9% of holding | +10.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 372,744 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-24 | Barrett John Frederick | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 12,199 @ $2.51 | $31K | −0.3% of holding | +4.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,704,880 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-24 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 8,936 @ $2.51 | $22K | −0.2% of holding | +4.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,295,716 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-24 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 3,263 @ $2.51 | $8K | −0.8% of holding | +4.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 409,164 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-23 | Barrett John Frederick | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 555,305 @ $2.69 | $1.5M | −10.5% of holding | −11.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,717,079 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-23 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 406,779 @ $2.69 | $1.1M | −8.6% of holding | −11.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,304,652 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-23 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 148,526 @ $2.69 | $400K | −26.5% of holding | −11.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 412,427 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-22 | Barrett John Frederick | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 94,380 @ $2.30 | $217K | −1.8% of holding | −1.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,272,384 | Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-22 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 69,136 @ $2.30 | $159K | −1.4% of holding | −1.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,711,431 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-22 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 25,244 @ $2.30 | $58K | −4.3% of holding | −1.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 560,953 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-21 | Barrett John Frederick | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 55,483 @ $2.21 | $123K | −1.0% of holding | +2.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,366,764 | Form 4 · filed 8 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-21 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 40,643 @ $2.21 | $90K | −0.8% of holding | +2.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,780,567 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-21 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 14,840 @ $2.21 | $33K | −2.5% of holding | +2.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 586,197 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-20 | Barrett John Frederick | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 79,757 @ $2.24 | $179K | −1.4% of holding | −3.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,422,247 | Form 4 · filed 9 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-20 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 58,425 @ $2.24 | $131K | −1.2% of holding | −3.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,821,210 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-20 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 21,332 @ $2.24 | $48K | −3.4% of holding | −3.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 601,037 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-17 | Barrett John Frederick | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 348,161 @ $2.29 | $799K | −6.0% of holding | −10.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,502,004 | Form 4 · filed 12 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-17 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 255,039 @ $2.29 | $585K | −5.0% of holding | −10.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,879,635 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-17 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 93,122 @ $2.29 | $214K | −13.0% of holding | −10.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 622,369 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-16 | Barrett John Frederick | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 40,030 @ $2.04 | $82K | −0.7% of holding | +3.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,850,165 | Form 4 · filed 13 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-16 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 29,323 @ $2.04 | $60K | −0.6% of holding | +3.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,134,674 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-16 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 10,707 @ $2.04 | $22K | −1.5% of holding | +3.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 715,491 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-15 | Barrett John Frederick | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 315,436 @ $2.06 | $649K | −5.1% of holding | +10.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,890,195 | Form 4 · filed 14 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-15 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 231,067 @ $2.06 | $475K | −4.3% of holding | +10.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,163,997 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-15 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 84,369 @ $2.06 | $173K | −10.4% of holding | +10.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 726,198 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-15 | Gautam Rajeev | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $2.22 | $22K | +20.0% of holding | −12.8% | −47.7% | 60,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-14 | Bevis Harold C | director | Purchase | 45,316 @ $2.20 | $100K | +3.2% of holding | −6.5% | −42.6% | 1,463,150 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-14 | French Timothy M. | officer | Purchase | 5,216 @ $2.14 | $11K | +1.4% of holding | −6.5% | −42.6% | 380,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-13 | French Timothy M. | officer | Purchase | 44,784 @ $2.08 | $93K | +13.6% of holding | −13.4% | −45.8% | 374,784 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-13 | HARMAN JERI J | director | Purchase | 10,288 @ $2.00 | $21K | +2.8% of holding | −13.4% | −45.8% | 377,376 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-13 | Bevis Harold C | director | Purchase | 1,079 @ $2.12 | $2K | +0.1% of holding | −13.4% | −45.8% | 1,417,834 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-13 | Bevis Harold C | director | Purchase | 505 @ $2.16 | $1K | +0.0% of holding | −13.4% | −45.8% | 1,416,755 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-12 | Bevis Harold C | director | Purchase | 3,100 @ $1.84 | $6K | +0.2% of holding | +11.7% | −33.5% | 1,416,250 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-14 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 274,379 @ $3.76 | $1.0M | −4.8% of holding | +18.3% | −31.6% | 5,453,147 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-14 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 78,542 @ $3.76 | $295K | −8.7% of holding | +18.3% | −31.6% | 827,193 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-14 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 58,083 @ $4.41 | $256K | −1.1% of holding | +18.3% | −31.6% | 5,395,064 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-14 | Corre Partners Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 16,626 @ $4.41 | $73K | −2.0% of holding | +18.3% | −31.6% | 810,567 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
41 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | STATHAM JAMI | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,514 | 127,967 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Bohnert Christopher H | officer | Withheld for tax | 9,205 | 168,814 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | Esch Robert James | officer | Award / grant | 6,600 | 74,578 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Bevis Harold C | director | Withheld for tax | 130,312 | 1,201,738 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | NIXON D. GAIL | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,855 | 271,814 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | NIXON D. GAIL | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,249 | 277,669 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-18 | NIXON D. GAIL | officer | Withheld for tax | 42,427 | 278,918 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-18 | STATHAM JAMI | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,395 | 129,481 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-18 | Faria Joao V | director | Award / grant | 51,774 | 388,440 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-18 | BENVENUTI RAYNARD D. | director | Award / grant | 51,774 | 140,477 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-18 | White Raymond T. | director | Award / grant | 49,079 | 49,079 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-18 | NIXON D. GAIL | officer | Award / grant | 53,726 | 197,825 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-18 | NIXON D. GAIL | officer | Option exercise | 123,520 | 76,313 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-18 | Wilson Thomas Hampton Jr. | director | Award / grant | 51,774 | 449,062 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-18 | HARMAN JERI J | director | Award / grant | 51,774 | 429,150 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-18 | Carroll Christina | director | Award / grant | 51,774 | 377,596 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-18 | STATHAM JAMI | officer | Award / grant | 80,623 | 133,876 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-18 | Gautam Rajeev | director | Award / grant | 51,774 | 328,406 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-18 | NIXON D. GAIL | officer | Option exercise | 123,520 | 321,345 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-18 | NIXON D. GAIL | officer | Option exercise | 123,520 | 321,345 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-08 | STATHAM JAMI | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,515 | 53,253 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-25 | Bohnert Christopher H | officer | Withheld for tax | 10,981 | 178,019 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-22 | Bevis Harold C | director | Withheld for tax | 131,100 | 1,332,050 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-01 | NIXON D. GAIL | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,000 | 144,099 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-28 | NIXON D. GAIL | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,524 | 151,099 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-19 | NIXON D. GAIL | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,492 | 153,623 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-18 | Wilson Thomas Hampton Jr. | director | Award / grant | 58,823 | 397,288 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-18 | BENVENUTI RAYNARD D. | director | Award / grant | 58,823 | 88,703 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-18 | Faria Joao V | director | Award / grant | 58,823 | 336,666 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-18 | HARMAN JERI J | director | Award / grant | 58,823 | 367,088 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-18 | Gautam Rajeev | director | Award / grant | 58,823 | 276,632 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-18 | Carroll Christina | director | Award / grant | 58,823 | 325,822 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-18 | STATHAM JAMI | officer | Award / grant | 38,888 | 54,768 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-18 | NIXON D. GAIL | officer | Award / grant | 25,915 | 153,899 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-18 | NIXON D. GAIL | officer | Withheld for tax | 628 | 155,115 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-18 | STATHAM JAMI | officer | Award / grant | 77,777 | 109,537 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-18 | NIXON D. GAIL | officer | Award / grant | 51,830 | 201,677 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-18 | NIXON D. GAIL | officer | Option exercise | 1,844 | 199,833 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-18 | NIXON D. GAIL | officer | Option exercise | 1,844 | 155,743 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-18 | NIXON D. GAIL | officer | Option exercise | 1,844 | 155,743 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.