Issued 2026-09-16 at $92.53 · now $92.53 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, NMM has typically landed between $78.43 and $110.89 — a range of −15.2% to +19.8% from the issuance price $92.53.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,718 overlapping 1 month windows · 2007-11-13 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($92.53) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where NMM has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $92.53 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $92.53 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $94.05 (+1.6%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $86.77–$101.34
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $78.43–$110.89
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,718 windows spanning 2007-11-13 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-21 | −62.1% | −62.1% | +0.0% |
| 2016-01-12 | −61.0% | −61.0% | +17.1% |
| 2020-02-20 | −60.1% | −60.1% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2008-12-04 | +94.7% | −0.2% | +94.7% |
| 2008-12-03 | +88.3% | +0.0% | +88.3% |
| 2008-11-21 | +84.0% | +0.0% | +102.4% |
4,718 overlapping windows · 2007-11-13 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
63%
+3.7%
n=19
Feb
47%
+0.1%
n=19
Mar
58%
+2.7%
n=19
Apr
68%
+9.3%
n=19
May
21%
−6.9%
n=19
Jun
53%
+2.7%
n=19
Jul
68%
+3.9%
n=19
Aug
42%
+2.8%
n=19
Sep
53%
−2.8%
n=19
Oct
61%
+1.1%
n=18
Nov
50%
−3.7%
n=18
Dec
53%
+2.7%
n=19
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,062 @ $79.16 | $84K | +0.0% of holding | +17.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,790,901 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-11 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,057 @ $78.40 | $83K | +0.0% of holding | +18.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,789,839 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,050 @ $79.09 | $83K | +0.0% of holding | +16.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,788,782 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-07 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,054 @ $78.94 | $83K | +0.0% of holding | +14.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,787,732 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-06 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,063 @ $79.53 | $85K | +0.0% of holding | +16.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,786,678 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-05 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,064 @ $78.41 | $83K | +0.0% of holding | +16.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,785,615 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-04 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,041 @ $78.94 | $82K | +0.0% of holding | +17.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,784,551 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-03 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 653 @ $79.91 | $52K | +0.0% of holding | +9.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,783,510 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-31 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 830 @ $80.00 | $66K | +0.0% of holding | +6.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,782,857 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-30 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,068 @ $78.37 | $84K | +0.0% of holding | +6.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,782,027 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-29 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,051 @ $78.55 | $83K | +0.0% of holding | +7.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,780,959 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-28 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,072 @ $78.59 | $84K | +0.0% of holding | +4.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,779,908 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-27 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,053 @ $77.64 | $82K | +0.0% of holding | +13.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,778,836 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-24 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,084 @ $79.02 | $86K | +0.0% of holding | +10.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,777,783 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-23 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,131 @ $748119.00 | $846.1M | +0.0% of holding | +11.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,776,699 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-22 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,121 @ $74.07 | $83K | +0.0% of holding | +13.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,775,568 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-21 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,149 @ $74.03 | $85K | +0.0% of holding | +9.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,774,447 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-20 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,167 @ $72.95 | $85K | +0.0% of holding | +10.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,773,298 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-17 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,119 @ $72.62 | $81K | +0.0% of holding | +12.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,772,131 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-16 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,111 @ $75.13 | $83K | +0.0% of holding | +6.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,771,012 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,118 @ $74.36 | $83K | +0.0% of holding | +5.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,769,901 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-14 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,105 @ $75.58 | $84K | +0.0% of holding | +4.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,768,783 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-13 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,100 @ $75.41 | $83K | +0.0% of holding | +1.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,767,678 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-10 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,129 @ $75.36 | $85K | +0.0% of holding | +1.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,766,578 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-09 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,099 @ $73.74 | $81K | +0.0% of holding | +4.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,765,449 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-08 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,108 @ $76.14 | $84K | +0.0% of holding | +1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,764,350 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-07 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,113 @ $75.12 | $84K | +0.0% of holding | +1.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,763,242 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-06 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,149 @ $74.48 | $86K | +0.0% of holding | +2.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,762,129 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-02 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,173 @ $73.05 | $86K | +0.0% of holding | +10.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,760,980 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,189 @ $71.59 | $85K | +0.0% of holding | +13.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,759,807 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,199 @ $69.50 | $83K | +0.0% of holding | +13.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,758,618 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-29 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,208 @ $68.88 | $83K | +0.0% of holding | +13.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,757,419 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,195 @ $69.22 | $83K | +0.0% of holding | +13.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,756,211 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,170 @ $70.20 | $82K | +0.0% of holding | +10.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,755,016 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-24 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,148 @ $71.94 | $83K | +0.0% of holding | +10.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,753,846 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,159 @ $72.68 | $84K | +0.0% of holding | +5.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,752,698 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-22 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,187 @ $71.39 | $85K | +0.0% of holding | +2.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,751,539 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-18 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,151 @ $71.10 | $82K | +0.0% of holding | +5.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,750,352 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-17 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,126 @ $73.35 | $83K | +0.0% of holding | −0.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,749,201 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-16 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,119 @ $73.63 | $82K | +0.0% of holding | −2.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,748,075 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-15 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,106 @ $74.73 | $83K | +0.0% of holding | +0.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,746,956 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,135 @ $74.19 | $84K | +0.0% of holding | −2.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,745,850 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,155 @ $73.34 | $85K | +0.0% of holding | −0.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,744,715 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-10 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,154 @ $72.18 | $83K | +0.0% of holding | +1.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,743,560 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-09 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,175 @ $72.09 | $85K | +0.0% of holding | +2.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,742,406 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-08 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,162 @ $71.02 | $83K | +0.0% of holding | +2.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,741,231 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-05 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,167 @ $71.66 | $84K | +0.0% of holding | +4.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,740,069 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-04 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,166 @ $71.77 | $84K | +0.0% of holding | +6.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,738,902 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-03 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,156 @ $72.14 | $83K | +0.0% of holding | +4.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,737,736 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-02 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,158 @ $72.25 | $84K | +0.0% of holding | +2.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,736,580 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,203 @ $71.36 | $86K | +0.0% of holding | +0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,735,422 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-29 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,196 @ $69.57 | $83K | +0.0% of holding | +2.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,734,219 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-28 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,170 @ $70.65 | $83K | +0.0% of holding | +1.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,733,023 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-27 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,132 @ $72.61 | $82K | +0.0% of holding | −0.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,731,853 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,118 @ $73.63 | $82K | +0.0% of holding | −3.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,730,721 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-22 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,116 @ $74.30 | $83K | +0.0% of holding | −3.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,729,603 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-21 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,107 @ $77.81 | $86K | +0.0% of holding | −1.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,728,487 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,113 @ $75.48 | $84K | +0.0% of holding | −5.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,727,380 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-19 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,160 @ $73.24 | $85K | +0.0% of holding | −8.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,726,267 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Frangou Angeliki | director | Purchase | 1,163 @ $71.85 | $84K | +0.0% of holding | +0.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,725,107 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.