NJR · TickerCove

NJRNew Jersey Resources CorporationUtilities · Regulated Gasas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $53.50 · now $53.50 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, NJR has typically landed between $49.52 and $58.82 — a range of −7.4% to +9.9% from the issuance price $53.50.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($53.50) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$53.5 · 62% of range

$42.92 low$60.05 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.0%

typical move · IQR 6.6%

−7.4%worst (p90)+9.9%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where NJR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $53.5 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $53.5 (+0.0%)
typical $54.05 (+1.0%)
middle 50% $52.28–$55.82
90% range $49.52–$58.82

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-18	−43.1%	−43.1%	+0.0%
2020-02-13	−37.3%	−37.3%	+1.3%
2020-02-21	−36.7%	−42.4%	+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-18	+36.1%	+0.0%	+45.3%
2020-10-19	+30.5%	+0.0%	+32.0%
2020-10-16	+29.3%	−2.0%	+29.3%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

45%

−0.0%

n=20

Feb

45%

+0.7%

n=20

Mar

80%

+2.7%

n=20

Apr

55%

+0.6%

n=20

May

50%

+0.6%

n=20

Jun

40%

−0.4%

n=20

Jul

65%

+1.2%

n=20

Aug

30%

−1.5%

n=20

Sep

45%

−0.8%

n=20

Oct

60%

+3.3%

n=20

Nov

60%

+2.8%

n=20

Dec

60%

+1.8%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-14	Migliaccio Patrick J.	officer	Sale	3,000 @ $55.63	$167K	−8.5% of holding	−1.7%	not yet — horizon still open	32,202	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-22	D'Antuono Christopher T.	officer	Sale	1,150 @ $57.34	$66K	−27.8% of holding	+1.0%	not yet — horizon still open	2,985	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-11	Migliaccio Patrick J.	officer	Sale	3,000 @ $55.84	$168K	−7.9% of holding	+1.9%	not yet — horizon still open	35,202	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-08	KENNY JANE M	director	Sale	8,000 @ $56.10	$449K	−26.7% of holding	−1.0%	not yet — horizon still open	21,998	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-19	Reich Richard	officer	Sale	5,449 @ $52.99	$289K	−16.8% of holding	−4.4%	not yet — horizon still open	26,975	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-16	Bel Roberto	officer	Sale	2,035 @ $55.10	$112K	−8.5% of holding	−3.0%	−15.9%	21,815	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-16	Bel Roberto	officer	Sale	2,035 @ $55.10	$112K	−7.9% of holding	−3.0%	−15.9%	23,850	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-16	Bel Roberto	officer	Sale	2,035 @ $55.10	$112K	−9.3% of holding	−3.0%	−15.9%	19,780	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-23	Migliaccio Patrick J.	officer	Sale	4,017 @ $46.46	$187K	−9.5% of holding	+4.5%	+20.4%	38,065	Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade
2025-06-18	Migliaccio Patrick J.	officer	Sale	1,500 @ $44.22	$66K	−4.0% of holding	−0.5%	−3.1%	35,690	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-03-31	Bel Roberto	officer	Sale	1,173 @ $50.00	$59K	−4.9% of holding	+0.6%	−19.6%	22,649	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-24	Bel Roberto	officer	Sale	1,173 @ $48.58	$57K	−4.5% of holding	+8.4%	−16.8%	24,995	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-24	Bel Roberto	officer	Sale	1,173 @ $48.57	$57K	−4.7% of holding	+8.4%	−16.8%	23,822	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-23	Migliaccio Patrick J.	officer	Sale	4,983 @ $46.00	$229K	−11.8% of holding	+2.4%	−5.8%	37,124	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

124 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-01-21	Hardwick M Susan	director	Option exercise	2,938	17,440	Form 4
2026-01-21	TAYLOR SHARON C	director	Option exercise	2,938	37,757	Form 4
2026-01-21	O'Sullivan Michael A	director	Option exercise	2,938	9,257	Form 4
2026-01-21	DEGRAFFENREIDT JAMES H JR	director	Option exercise	2,938	23,042	Form 4
2026-01-21	DEGRAFFENREIDT JAMES H JR	director	Option exercise	2,825	0	Form 4
2026-01-21	Yardley William T.	director	Option exercise	1,535	1,535	Form 4
2026-01-21	Mansue Amy B.	director	Option exercise	512	512	Form 4
2026-01-21	Harvey Peter C	director	Award / grant	3,023	3,023	Form 4
2026-01-21	Mansue Amy B.	director	Award / grant	3,023	3,023	Form 4
2026-01-21	Mansue Amy B.	director	Option exercise	511	0	Form 4
2026-01-21	KENNY JANE M	director	Award / grant	3,023	3,023	Form 4
2026-01-21	DEGRAFFENREIDT JAMES H JR	director	Award / grant	3,023	3,023	Form 4
2026-01-21	TAYLOR SHARON C	director	Award / grant	3,023	3,023	Form 4
2026-01-21	TAYLOR SHARON C	director	Option exercise	2,825	0	Form 4
2026-01-21	Yardley William T.	director	Award / grant	3,023	3,023	Form 4
2026-01-21	Yardley William T.	director	Option exercise	1,504	0	Form 4
2026-01-21	Hardwick M Susan	director	Award / grant	3,023	3,023	Form 4
2026-01-21	O'Sullivan Michael A	director	Option exercise	2,825	0	Form 4
2026-01-21	Hardwick M Susan	director	Option exercise	2,825	0	Form 4
2026-01-21	OConnor Thomas C	director	Award / grant	4,106	4,106	Form 4
2026-01-21	O'Sullivan Michael A	director	Award / grant	3,023	3,023	Form 4
2026-01-21	Aliff Gregory E	director	Award / grant	3,023	3,023	Form 4
2026-01-05	KENNY JANE M	director	Option exercise	3,695	29,998	Form 4
2026-01-05	KENNY JANE M	director	Option exercise	3,191	0	Form 4
2026-01-05	TAYLOR SHARON C	director	Option exercise	1,548	34,819	Form 4
2026-01-05	TAYLOR SHARON C	director	Option exercise	1,207	0	Form 4
2026-01-05	CORRELL DONALD L	director	Option exercise	1,007	4,566	Form 4
2026-01-05	CORRELL DONALD L	director	Option exercise	870	4,031	Form 4
2025-11-04	Westhoven Stephen D	director	Award / grant	22,909	259,070	Form 4
2025-11-04	Westhoven Stephen D	director	Award / grant	15,478	243,784	Form 4
2025-11-04	Westhoven Stephen D	director	Award / grant	12,802	234,611	Form 4
2025-11-04	Westhoven Stephen D	director	Withheld for tax	11,283	247,786	Form 4
2025-11-04	Westhoven Stephen D	director	Withheld for tax	7,623	236,161	Form 4
2025-11-04	Migliaccio Patrick J.	officer	Award / grant	6,642	39,546	Form 4
2025-11-04	Westhoven Stephen D	director	Withheld for tax	6,305	228,306	Form 4
2025-11-04	Cradic Amy	officer	Award / grant	5,838	47,982	Form 4
2025-11-04	Bel Roberto	officer	Award / grant	5,583	25,885	Form 4
2025-11-04	Migliaccio Patrick J.	officer	Award / grant	4,859	44,405	Form 4
2025-11-04	Reich Richard	officer	Award / grant	4,449	30,856	Form 4
2025-11-04	Cradic Amy	officer	Award / grant	4,225	52,207	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i