NIQ · TickerCove

NIQNIQ Global Intelligence PlcTechnology · Information Technology Servicesas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $17.83 · now $17.95 (2026-09-17, +0.7% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, NIQ has typically landed between $13.01 and $24.48 — a range of −27.0% to +37.3% from the issuance price $17.83.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

269 overlapping 1 month windows · 2025-07-23 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($17.83) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$17.95 · 89% of range

$7.97 low$19.24 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-17 — factual context, not a signal.

Distribution ranges onlyiThis name has too little trading history to publish a calibrated probability, so we show its distribution ranges only — no directional call. Its record is still building.

No directional probability — ranges below.

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+2.3%

typical move · IQR 25.0%

−27.0%worst (p90)+37.3%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where NIQ has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $17.83 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $17.95 (+0.7%)
typical $18.24 (+2.3%)
middle 50% $16.01–$20.47
90% range $13.01–$24.48

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 270 windows spanning 2025-07-23 to 2026-09-17. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2026-01-14	−38.7%	−40.6%	+2.4%
2026-01-22	−38.5%	−42.0%	+0.0%
2026-01-09	−38.5%	−40.5%	+2.5%
3 best
2026-07-23	+80.1%	+0.0%	+80.1%
2026-07-24	+78.4%	+0.0%	+78.4%
2026-07-27	+73.8%	+0.0%	+73.8%

270 overlapping windows · 2025-07-23 – 2026-09-17 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~2 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

100%

+3.0%

n=1

Feb

−21.5%

n=1

Mar

−14.7%

n=1

Apr

−3.9%

n=1

May

−23.7%

n=1

Jun

100%

+12.1%

n=1

Jul

100%

+19.5%

n=1

Aug

50%

+31.5%

n=2

Sep

−6.8%

n=2

Oct

−21.0%

n=1

Nov

100%

+26.8%

n=1

Dec

100%

+4.9%

n=1

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-05-18	Peck James M	director	Purchase	118,625 @ $8.43	$1.0M	+38.8% of holding	−9.8%	not yet — horizon still open	424,683	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-05	Massey Tracey Ann	officer	Purchase	18,000 @ $16.97	$305K	ownership Δ n/a	−14.5%	−32.3%	18,000	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-03	Kapoor Mohit	officer	Purchase	15,000 @ $16.76	$251K	ownership Δ n/a	−12.9%	−28.6%	15,000	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-29	Peck James M	director	Purchase	29,500 @ $17.24	$509K	ownership Δ n/a	−11.4%	−28.8%	29,500	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-08-28	Miller Curtis John	officer	Purchase	10,000 @ $16.97	$170K	ownership Δ n/a	−9.0%	−24.9%	10,000	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-07-24	Palm Jamie E	officer	Purchase	5,000 @ $21.00	$105K	+8.6% of holding	−12.9%	−19.4%	63,478	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

37 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-20	Burwell Michael J	officer	Withheld for tax	36,480	434,460	Form 4
2026-08-20	Zitting Shaun Ellen	officer	Withheld for tax	2,802	129,550	Form 4
2026-08-20	TREANGEN TROY	officer	Withheld for tax	2,420	156,024	Form 4
2026-08-20	Klein-Boelting Ralf	director	Withheld for tax	1,956	35,272	Form 4
2026-08-20	Palm Jamie E	officer	Withheld for tax	247	73,636	Form 4
2026-08-06	Zitting Shaun Ellen	officer	Withheld for tax	1,516	132,352	Form 4
2026-08-06	Palm Jamie E	officer	Withheld for tax	891	73,883	Form 4
2026-07-01	Ducena Ruth	officer	Award / grant	51,975	97,706	Form 4
2026-05-28	Lempres Elizabeth Cahill	director	Award / grant	22,182	41,279	Form 4
2026-05-28	Simonelli Charlotte C	director	Award / grant	22,182	22,182	Form 4
2026-05-28	Rawlinson David	director	Award / grant	22,182	22,182	Form 4
2026-05-28	Mason Racquel Harris	director	Award / grant	22,182	22,182	Form 4
2026-05-28	Hamood Samuel A	director	Award / grant	22,182	47,267	Form 4
2026-05-28	Klein-Boelting Ralf	director	Award / grant	22,182	37,228	Form 4
2026-05-28	LACHMAN TODD R	director	Award / grant	22,182	22,182	Form 4
2026-05-06	Zitting Shaun Ellen	officer	Withheld for tax	1,516	133,868	Form 4
2026-05-06	Palm Jamie E	officer	Withheld for tax	891	74,774	Form 4
2026-05-06	Blenke John W	officer	Withheld for tax	850	103,401	Form 4
2026-02-18	Zitting Shaun Ellen	officer	Award / grant	39,508	135,384	Form 4
2026-02-18	Blenke John W	officer	Award / grant	39,508	104,251	Form 4
2026-02-18	Burwell Michael J	officer	Award / grant	65,847	470,940	Form 4
2026-02-18	Miller Curtis John	officer	Award / grant	39,508	49,508	Form 4
2026-02-18	Palm Jamie E	officer	Award / grant	12,335	75,665	Form 4
2026-02-18	Peck James M	director	Award / grant	276,558	306,058	Form 4
2026-02-18	Kapoor Mohit	officer	Award / grant	52,678	67,678	Form 4
2026-02-06	Zitting Shaun Ellen	officer	Withheld for tax	6,648	95,876	Form 4
2026-02-06	Palm Jamie E	officer	Withheld for tax	4,199	63,330	Form 4
2026-02-06	Blenke John W	officer	Withheld for tax	4,017	64,743	Form 4
2025-08-20	Klein-Boelting Ralf	director	Award / grant	15,046	15,046	Form 4
2025-08-20	Hamood Samuel A	director	Award / grant	1,736	25,085	Form 4
2025-08-20	Burwell Michael J	officer	Award / grant	405,093	405,093	Form 4
2025-08-20	Blenke John W	officer	Award / grant	21,991	68,760	Form 4
2025-08-20	Zitting Shaun Ellen	officer	Award / grant	32,407	102,524	Form 4
2025-08-20	Palm Jamie E	officer	Award / grant	4,051	67,529	Form 4
2025-08-20	Massey Tracey Ann	officer	Award / grant	254,630	558,589	Form 4
2025-08-20	Lomholt-Thomsen Steen	officer	Award / grant	202,546	202,546	Form 4
2025-08-20	Lempres Elizabeth Cahill	director	Award / grant	19,097	19,097	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i