Issued 2026-09-16 at $9.91 · now $9.91 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, NINE has typically landed between $8.53 and $12.24 — a range of −13.9% to +23.5% from the issuance price $9.91.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
96 overlapping 1 month windows · 2026-03-31 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($9.91) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where NINE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $9.91 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $9.91 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $10.25 (+3.4%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $9.28–$11.22
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $8.53–$12.24
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-07-15 | −14.5% | −14.6% | +4.4% |
| 2026-07-22 | −14.5% | −14.9% | +4.3% |
| 2026-06-29 | −13.7% | −17.2% | +0.7% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-05-29 | +27.1% | −2.8% | +27.1% |
| 2026-04-20 | +26.4% | +0.0% | +27.7% |
| 2026-04-02 | +23.1% | +0.0% | +23.1% |
96 overlapping windows · 2026-03-31 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-08 | Fox Ann G | director | Sale | 277,969 @ $0.63 | $174K | −42.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 373,795 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-08 | Sirkes Guy | officer | Sale | 49,897 @ $0.65 | $32K | −26.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 139,444 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-15 | Crombie David | officer | Sale | 20,857 @ $0.62 | $13K | −8.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 219,996 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-14 | MOORE THEODORE R. | officer | Sale | 11,530 @ $0.70 | $8K | −7.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 136,873 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-13 | Crombie David | officer | Sale | 58,637 @ $0.68 | $40K | −19.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 240,853 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-12 | MOORE THEODORE R. | officer | Sale | 38,017 @ $0.73 | $28K | −20.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 148,403 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-09 | Fox Ann G | director | Sale | 10,326 @ $0.68 | $7K | −1.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 651,764 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-09 | Crombie David | officer | Sale | 7,576 @ $0.68 | $5K | −2.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 299,490 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-09 | Sirkes Guy | officer | Sale | 4,282 @ $0.68 | $3K | −2.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 189,341 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-09 | MOORE THEODORE R. | officer | Sale | 4,203 @ $0.68 | $3K | −2.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 186,420 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-09 | Luz S. Brett | officer | Sale | 1,531 @ $0.68 | $1K | −1.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 108,484 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-07 | Fox Ann G | director | Sale | 22,624 @ $0.65 | $15K | −4.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 527,090 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-07 | Crombie David | officer | Sale | 12,895 @ $0.65 | $8K | −5.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 217,066 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-07 | Sirkes Guy | officer | Sale | 9,196 @ $0.65 | $6K | −6.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 142,623 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-07 | MOORE THEODORE R. | officer | Sale | 9,035 @ $0.65 | $6K | −6.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 140,623 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-07 | Luz S. Brett | officer | Sale | 2,609 @ $0.65 | $2K | −2.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 95,015 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-03 | Fox Ann G | director | Sale | 11,292 @ $0.83 | $9K | −2.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 549,714 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-03 | Crombie David | officer | Sale | 8,116 @ $0.83 | $7K | −3.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 229,961 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-03 | Sirkes Guy | officer | Sale | 4,586 @ $0.83 | $4K | −2.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 151,819 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-03 | MOORE THEODORE R. | officer | Sale | 4,502 @ $0.83 | $4K | −2.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 149,658 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-03 | Luz S. Brett | officer | Sale | 1,645 @ $0.83 | $1K | −1.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 97,624 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-09 | MONROE WILLIAM | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 750,000 @ $0.91 | $683K | −15.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,113,000 | Form 4 · filed 135 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
56 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Law Adam R. | officer | Award / grant | 92,222 | 92,222 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Schmidt Heather | officer | Award / grant | 33,333 | 72,222 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | Hawks Carney | director | Award / grant | 41,667 | 41,667 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | Schmidt Heather | officer | Award / grant | 38,889 | 38,889 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | Luz S. Brett | officer | Award / grant | 38,889 | 38,889 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | Willis Darryl Keith | director | Award / grant | 27,778 | 27,778 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | BARTELS PATRICK J JR | director | Award / grant | 27,778 | 27,778 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | Fox Ann G | director | Award / grant | 331,111 | 331,111 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | Crombie David | officer | Award / grant | 136,111 | 136,111 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | Esslemont Alexander | director | Award / grant | 27,778 | 27,778 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | Hall Jerome D JR | director | Award / grant | 27,778 | 27,778 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Sirkes Guy | officer | Disposition | 139,444 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Crombie David | officer | Disposition | 219,996 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Luz S. Brett | officer | Disposition | 108,484 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Peffer Julie | director | Disposition | 35,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Willis Darryl Keith | director | Disposition | 108,409 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Fox Ann G | director | Disposition | 373,795 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Hall Jerome D JR | director | Disposition | 26,250 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | SCHWINGER SCOTT | director | Disposition | 132,107 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | MOORE THEODORE R. | officer | Disposition | 136,873 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-09 | Burnett Richard Alan | director | Disposition | 35,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-02 | Hall Jerome D JR | director | Award / grant | 26,250 | 26,250 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-08 | Burnett Richard Alan | director | Award / grant | 35,000 | 35,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-08 | Peffer Julie | director | Award / grant | 35,000 | 35,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-08 | Crombie David | officer | Award / grant | 90,000 | 307,066 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-08 | SCHWINGER SCOTT | director | Award / grant | 35,000 | 132,107 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-08 | Sirkes Guy | officer | Award / grant | 51,000 | 193,623 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-08 | BALDWIN MARK E | director | Award / grant | 8,750 | 113,524 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-08 | Luz S. Brett | officer | Award / grant | 15,000 | 110,015 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-08 | Fox Ann G | director | Award / grant | 135,000 | 662,090 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-08 | Willis Darryl Keith | director | Award / grant | 35,000 | 108,409 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-08 | MOORE THEODORE R. | officer | Award / grant | 50,000 | 190,623 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-23 | SCF Partners, Inc. | other | Other acquisition | 46,526 | 2,143,253 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-23 | SCF Partners, Inc. | other | Other acquisition | 16,727 | 443,631 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-20 | SCF Partners, Inc. | other | Other acquisition | 154,937 | 2,189,779 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-20 | SCF Partners, Inc. | other | Other acquisition | 31,734 | 460,358 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-18 | SCF Partners, Inc. | other | Other acquisition | 30,363 | 2,344,716 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-18 | SCF Partners, Inc. | other | Other acquisition | 6,218 | 492,092 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-17 | SCF Partners, Inc. | other | Other acquisition | 177,138 | 2,375,079 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-17 | SCF Partners, Inc. | other | Other acquisition | 36,281 | 498,310 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.