NICE · TickerCove

NICENICE Ltd.Technology · Software - Applicationas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $105.43 · now $105.43 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, NICE has typically landed between $88.39 and $120.48 — a range of −16.2% to +14.3% from the issuance price $105.43.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($105.43) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$105.43 · 32% of range

$83.15 low$153.44 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−1.2%

typical move · IQR 13.9%

−16.2%worst (p90)+14.3%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where NICE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $105.43 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $105.43 (+0.0%)
typical $104.15 (-1.2%)
middle 50% $96.84–$111.46
90% range $88.39–$120.48

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2008-09-11	−41.1%	−41.1%	+0.0%
2008-09-10	−38.1%	−38.1%	+0.0%
2008-09-08	−34.2%	−34.2%	+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-18	+42.6%	+0.0%	+42.6%
2020-03-19	+35.5%	+0.0%	+36.3%
2020-03-17	+33.4%	−4.8%	+33.4%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

45%

−1.4%

n=20

Feb

55%

+2.1%

n=20

Mar

60%

+2.9%

n=20

Apr

50%

+0.8%

n=20

May

55%

−0.1%

n=20

Jun

45%

−1.6%

n=20

Jul

65%

+4.5%

n=20

Aug

50%

−0.6%

n=20

Sep

40%

−0.6%

n=20

Oct

60%

+1.2%

n=20

Nov

55%

+0.8%

n=20

Dec

70%

+2.7%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-07	Dayan Udi Yehuda	officer	Sale	500 @ $100.00	$50K	−100.0% of holding	+0.6%	not yet — horizon still open	0	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

35 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-08	Neder Shiri	officer	Award / grant	7,500	7,500	Form 4
2026-08-13	Simon Zehava	director	Option exercise	554	4,689	Form 4
2026-08-13	Simon Zehava	director	Option exercise	554	0	Form 4
2026-08-07	Dayan Udi Yehuda	officer	Option exercise	500	500	Form 4
2026-08-07	Dayan Udi Yehuda	officer	Option exercise	500	250	Form 4
2026-07-01	Russell Scott Edward	officer	Withheld for tax	2,051	131,887	Form 4
2026-06-15	Dvir Yocheved	director	Option exercise	696	2,274	Form 4
2026-06-15	Dvir Yocheved	director	Option exercise	629	1,578	Form 4
2026-06-15	Dvir Yocheved	director	Option exercise	554	949	Form 4
2026-06-15	Dvir Yocheved	director	Option exercise	636	3,431	Form 4
2026-06-15	Dvir Yocheved	director	Option exercise	521	2,795	Form 4
2026-06-15	Dvir Yocheved	director	Option exercise	521	0	Form 4
2026-06-15	Dvir Yocheved	director	Option exercise	554	0	Form 4
2026-06-15	Dvir Yocheved	director	Option exercise	629	0	Form 4
2026-06-15	Dvir Yocheved	director	Option exercise	696	0	Form 4
2026-06-15	Dvir Yocheved	director	Option exercise	636	0	Form 4
2026-06-09	Russell Scott Edward	officer	Award / grant	70,000	133,938	Form 4
2026-06-09	Russell Scott Edward	officer	Award / grant	28,000	28,000	Form 4
2026-06-03	Falk Dan Michael	director	Option exercise	696	696	Form 4
2026-06-03	Ben-Shaoul Rimon	director	Option exercise	696	1,691	Form 4
2026-06-03	Ben-Shaoul Rimon	director	Option exercise	629	2,874	Form 4
2026-06-03	Ben-Shaoul Rimon	director	Option exercise	554	2,245	Form 4
2026-06-03	Ben-Shaoul Rimon	director	Option exercise	636	4,031	Form 4
2026-06-03	Ben-Shaoul Rimon	director	Option exercise	521	3,395	Form 4
2026-06-03	Ben-Shaoul Rimon	director	Option exercise	629	0	Form 4
2026-06-03	Ben-Shaoul Rimon	director	Option exercise	521	0	Form 4
2026-06-03	Ben-Shaoul Rimon	director	Option exercise	636	0	Form 4
2026-06-03	Ben-Shaoul Rimon	director	Option exercise	696	0	Form 4
2026-06-03	Falk Dan Michael	director	Option exercise	696	0	Form 4
2026-06-03	Ben-Shaoul Rimon	director	Option exercise	554	0	Form 4
2026-05-13	Simon Zehava	director	Option exercise	696	4,135	Form 4
2026-05-13	Simon Zehava	director	Option exercise	696	0	Form 4
2026-04-01	Russell Scott Edward	officer	Withheld for tax	2,051	63,938	Form 4
2026-04-01	Levy Meir Alon	officer	Award / grant	5,000	5,000	Form 4
2026-04-01	Dayan Udi Yehuda	officer	Award / grant	5,000	5,000	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i