Issued 2026-09-16 at $7.06 · now $7.06 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, NEXT has typically landed between $5.16 and $9.79 — a range of −26.9% to +38.6% from the issuance price $7.06.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,816 overlapping 1 month windows · 2015-06-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($7.06) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where NEXT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $7.06 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $7.06 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $7.17 (+1.6%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $6.22–$8.13
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $5.16–$9.79
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,816 windows spanning 2015-06-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-13 | −75.5% | −75.5% | +2.2% |
| 2020-02-14 | −68.2% | −75.0% | +4.1% |
| 2020-02-11 | −67.8% | −67.8% | +7.5% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-08-18 | +252.5% | −12.2% | +252.5% |
| 2020-08-17 | +208.5% | −14.1% | +208.5% |
| 2015-06-02 | +194.9% | +0.0% | +198.5% |
2,816 overlapping windows · 2015-06-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~12 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
64%
−3.8%
n=11
Feb
27%
+0.8%
n=11
Mar
64%
+13.5%
n=11
Apr
45%
+2.7%
n=11
May
64%
+1.7%
n=11
Jun
82%
+18.0%
n=11
Jul
42%
−3.0%
n=12
Aug
50%
−1.7%
n=12
Sep
33%
+2.2%
n=12
Oct
45%
+2.0%
n=11
Nov
45%
+0.7%
n=11
Dec
18%
−5.2%
n=11
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-23 | Beall Pamela K.M. | director | Purchase | 71,500 @ $7.07 | $506K | ownership Δ n/a | −4.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 71,500 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-12 | Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 800,000 @ $5.54 | $4.4M | +3.1% of holding | −4.9% | +22.5% | 26,420,222 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-11 | Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 851,971 @ $5.83 | $5.0M | +3.4% of holding | −8.5% | +25.9% | 25,620,222 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-10 | Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 600,000 @ $6.05 | $3.6M | +2.5% of holding | −19.8% | +34.4% | 24,768,251 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-09 | Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 293,131 @ $6.36 | $1.9M | +1.2% of holding | −25.1% | +21.0% | 24,168,251 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-08 | Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 39,467 @ $6.26 | $247K | +0.2% of holding | −20.0% | +24.6% | 23,875,120 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-05 | Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 151,058 @ $6.21 | $939K | +0.6% of holding | −19.2% | +24.1% | 23,835,653 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-04 | Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 243,959 @ $6.19 | $1.5M | +1.0% of holding | −19.8% | +27.2% | 23,684,595 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-03 | Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 241,946 @ $6.04 | $1.5M | +1.0% of holding | −12.9% | +30.9% | 23,440,636 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-02 | Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 310,964 @ $5.93 | $1.8M | +1.4% of holding | −8.1% | +37.1% | 23,198,690 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-01 | Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 205,160 @ $6.05 | $1.2M | +0.9% of holding | −12.3% | +29.9% | 22,887,726 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-28 | Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 111,084 @ $6.12 | $680K | +0.5% of holding | −12.3% | +23.6% | 22,682,566 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-26 | Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 175,142 @ $5.95 | $1.0M | +0.8% of holding | −11.3% | +25.8% | 22,571,482 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-25 | Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 285,502 @ $5.73 | $1.6M | +1.3% of holding | −10.3% | +23.0% | 22,396,340 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-24 | Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 445,109 @ $5.59 | $2.5M | +2.1% of holding | −6.2% | +30.0% | 22,110,838 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-21 | Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 419,477 @ $5.73 | $2.4M | +2.0% of holding | −9.1% | +25.1% | 21,665,729 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-20 | Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 347,630 @ $6.02 | $2.1M | +1.7% of holding | −10.8% | +28.6% | 21,246,252 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-19 | Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 305,973 @ $6.04 | $1.8M | +1.5% of holding | −11.8% | +27.6% | 20,898,622 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-18 | Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 462,576 @ $5.92 | $2.7M | +2.3% of holding | −14.5% | +27.9% | 20,592,649 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-17 | Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 295,875 @ $5.87 | $1.7M | +1.5% of holding | −11.7% | +37.7% | 20,130,073 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-14 | Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 244,330 @ $6.09 | $1.5M | +1.2% of holding | −16.9% | +38.2% | 19,834,198 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-13 | Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 460,334 @ $6.08 | $2.8M | +2.4% of holding | −15.5% | +36.1% | 19,589,868 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-11 | Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 591,837 @ $6.07 | $3.6M | +3.2% of holding | −7.2% | +37.0% | 19,129,534 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-24 | Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 449,510 @ $7.02 | $3.2M | +2.5% of holding | −18.7% | +17.6% | 18,537,697 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-23 | Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 551,819 @ $6.99 | $3.9M | +3.1% of holding | −16.0% | +6.5% | 18,088,187 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-18 | Scoggins Edward Andrew Jr. | director | Purchase | 15,000 @ $6.46 | $97K | +8.1% of holding | −6.0% | +14.9% | 200,070 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-17 | Vrattos William C | director | Purchase | 100,000 @ $6.86 | $686K | +10.8% of holding | −6.9% | +10.8% | 1,029,812 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-16 | Man Investment Partners (US) LP | other | Purchase | 357,021 @ $6.98 | $2.5M | +4.0% of holding | −12.4% | −1.2% | 9,274,894 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-12 | Vrattos William C | director | Purchase | 500,000 @ $7.31 | $3.7M | +116.3% of holding | −11.8% | −18.4% | 929,812 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-12 | Schatzman Matthew K | director | Purchase | 281,500 @ $7.14 | $2.0M | +5.7% of holding | −11.8% | −18.4% | 5,246,316 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
116 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Schatzman Matthew K | director | Withheld for tax | 69,583 | 5,319,526 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | de Gyarfas Vera | officer | Withheld for tax | 15,463 | 955,103 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Skeik Tarik | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,732 | 355,542 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-31 | Schatzman Matthew K | director | Withheld for tax | 135,928 | 5,667,115 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-31 | de Gyarfas Vera | officer | Withheld for tax | 30,378 | 1,032,345 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-31 | Skeik Tarik | officer | Withheld for tax | 18,043 | 363,274 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-31 | Boylston Luke | officer | Withheld for tax | 6,563 | 236,818 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-31 | Boylston Luke | officer | Award / grant | 23,872 | 243,381 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-31 | Zuklic John | officer | Award / grant | 139,257 | 139,257 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-31 | Schatzman Matthew K | director | Award / grant | 464,190 | 5,803,043 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-31 | Skeik Tarik | officer | Award / grant | 99,469 | 381,317 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-31 | de Gyarfas Vera | officer | Award / grant | 132,625 | 1,062,723 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-10 | Schatzman Matthew K | director | Withheld for tax | 266,531 | 5,338,853 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-10 | de Gyarfas Vera | officer | Withheld for tax | 51,935 | 930,098 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Brown Charles Q. Jr. | director | Award / grant | 11,965 | 11,965 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | STOVER DAVID L | director | Award / grant | 20,565 | 20,565 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Boylston Luke | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,312 | 219,509 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | Sands Diana L | director | Award / grant | 40,642 | 47,404 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | Wells Louis Spencer | director | Award / grant | 30,245 | 276,410 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | Vrattos William C | director | Award / grant | 51,984 | 78,517 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | Belke Brian | director | Award / grant | 49,149 | 440,919 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | Scoggins Edward Andrew Jr. | director | Award / grant | 30,245 | 230,315 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | Beall Pamela K.M. | director | Award / grant | 30,245 | 37,007 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | Chapman Frank | director | Award / grant | 30,245 | 285,427 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-17 | Man Investment Partners (US) LP | other | Disposition | 818,171 | 818,171 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-17 | Man Investment Partners (US) LP | other | Disposition | 818,171 | 818,171 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-17 | Man Investment Partners (US) LP | other | Award / grant | 818,171 | 818,171 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-17 | Man Investment Partners (US) LP | other | Award / grant | 1,587,947 | 1,587,947 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-17 | Man Investment Partners (US) LP | other | Award / grant | 452,059 | 452,059 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-17 | Man Investment Partners (US) LP | other | Award / grant | 1,587,947 | 1,587,947 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-17 | Man Investment Partners (US) LP | other | Award / grant | 452,059 | 452,059 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-17 | Man Investment Partners (US) LP | other | Disposition | 818,171 | 818,171 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-17 | Man Investment Partners (US) LP | other | Award / grant | 818,171 | 818,171 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-17 | Man Investment Partners (US) LP | other | Award / grant | 1,587,947 | 1,587,947 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-17 | Man Investment Partners (US) LP | other | Award / grant | 452,059 | 452,059 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-17 | Man Investment Partners (US) LP | other | Disposition | 818,171 | 818,171 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-17 | Man Investment Partners (US) LP | other | Award / grant | 818,171 | 818,171 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-17 | Man Investment Partners (US) LP | other | Award / grant | 818,171 | 818,171 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-17 | Man Investment Partners (US) LP | other | Award / grant | 452,059 | 452,059 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-17 | Man Investment Partners (US) LP | other | Disposition | 818,171 | 818,171 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.