Issued 2026-09-16 at $324.65 · now $324.65 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, NET has typically landed between $236.09 and $444.16 — a range of −27.3% to +36.8% from the issuance price $324.65.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,740 overlapping 1 month windows · 2019-09-13 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($324.65) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where NET has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $324.65 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $324.65 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $330.75 (+1.9%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $294.86–$366.65
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $236.09–$444.16
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,740 windows spanning 2019-09-13 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2022-04-19 | −52.0% | −52.0% | +0.0% |
| 2022-04-12 | −50.2% | −51.9% | +6.8% |
| 2022-04-11 | −50.0% | −50.0% | +10.9% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2022-07-14 | +74.0% | +0.0% | +76.2% |
| 2021-09-30 | +72.9% | +0.0% | +72.9% |
| 2023-05-04 | +72.7% | +0.0% | +74.5% |
1,740 overlapping windows · 2019-09-13 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~7 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
57%
+1.3%
n=7
Feb
71%
+11.0%
n=7
Mar
57%
+0.9%
n=7
Apr
43%
−4.9%
n=7
May
57%
+9.3%
n=7
Jun
71%
+9.6%
n=7
Jul
86%
+8.8%
n=7
Aug
71%
+4.1%
n=7
Sep
43%
−0.9%
n=7
Oct
71%
+15.5%
n=7
Nov
57%
+10.4%
n=7
Dec
43%
−5.0%
n=7
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Ledbetter Carl | director | Sale | 2,400 @ $312.86 | $751K | −0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 879,273 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | Ledbetter Carl | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $313.71 | $376K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 878,073 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | Ledbetter Carl | director | Sale | 960 @ $309.51 | $297K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 882,113 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | Ledbetter Carl | director | Sale | 440 @ $310.54 | $137K | −0.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 881,673 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-08 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 14,961 @ $278.48 | $4.2M | −16.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 75,264 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-08 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 5,489 @ $279.41 | $1.5M | −7.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 69,775 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-08 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 4,823 @ $277.53 | $1.3M | −5.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 90,225 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-08 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 2,428 @ $273.09 | $663K | −2.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 98,637 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-08 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 2,202 @ $274.39 | $604K | −2.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 96,435 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-08 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 1,713 @ $272.41 | $467K | −1.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 101,065 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-08 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 1,387 @ $276.58 | $384K | −1.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 95,048 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-04 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 17,603 @ $281.93 | $5.0M | −19.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 74,579 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 7,843 @ $281.02 | $2.2M | −7.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 92,182 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 4,804 @ $282.87 | $1.4M | −6.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 69,775 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 2,753 @ $279.73 | $770K | −2.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 100,025 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-03 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 7,273 @ $277.79 | $2.0M | −7.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 88,302 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-03 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 7,203 @ $276.79 | $2.0M | −7.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 95,575 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-03 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 6,177 @ $281.07 | $1.7M | −7.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 71,985 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-03 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 5,396 @ $278.92 | $1.5M | −6.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 82,906 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-03 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 4,744 @ $279.77 | $1.3M | −5.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 78,162 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-03 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 2,210 @ $281.73 | $623K | −3.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 69,775 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 8,990 @ $275.66 | $2.5M | −8.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 91,582 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-21 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 5,642 @ $277.95 | $1.6M | −6.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 81,704 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-21 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 5,624 @ $278.78 | $1.6M | −6.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 76,080 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-21 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 5,259 @ $279.72 | $1.5M | −6.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 70,821 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-21 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 4,236 @ $276.67 | $1.2M | −4.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 87,346 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-21 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 2,206 @ $274.47 | $605K | −2.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 100,572 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-21 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 956 @ $280.42 | $268K | −1.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 69,865 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-21 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 90 @ $281.31 | $25K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 69,775 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-20 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 8,646 @ $284.05 | $2.5M | −9.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 87,125 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 8,467 @ $285.16 | $2.4M | −9.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 78,658 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 7,007 @ $283.21 | $2.0M | −6.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 95,771 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 3,109 @ $286.10 | $889K | −4.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 75,549 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 2,544 @ $288.01 | $733K | −3.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 70,670 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 2,335 @ $287.00 | $670K | −3.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 73,214 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 759 @ $291.80 | $221K | −1.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 69,775 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 136 @ $289.30 | $39K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 70,534 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 10,604 @ $295.31 | $3.1M | −11.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 80,939 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 7,566 @ $296.31 | $2.2M | −9.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 73,373 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 4,298 @ $290.86 | $1.3M | −4.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 98,480 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 3,971 @ $291.77 | $1.2M | −4.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 94,509 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 1,554 @ $297.10 | $462K | −2.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 71,819 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 1,546 @ $292.87 | $453K | −1.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 92,963 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 1,420 @ $293.42 | $417K | −1.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 91,543 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 1,217 @ $298.98 | $364K | −1.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 69,778 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 824 @ $297.99 | $246K | −1.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 70,995 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Sale | 3 @ $300.83 | $903 | −0.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 69,775 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Starzak Alissa Michelle | officer | Sale | 2,538 @ $304.68 | $773K | −2.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 112,082 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Riley Janel | officer | Sale | 1,216 @ $304.77 | $371K | −2.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 42,647 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Riley Janel | officer | Sale | 898 @ $303.81 | $273K | −2.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 43,863 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Riley Janel | officer | Sale | 600 @ $306.58 | $184K | −1.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 42,047 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Riley Janel | officer | Sale | 500 @ $308.92 | $154K | −1.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 41,547 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Riley Janel | officer | Sale | 267 @ $302.62 | $81K | −0.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 44,761 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | SEIFERT THOMAS J | director | Sale | 3,100 @ $308.23 | $956K | −2.7% of holding | +8.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 111,446 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | SEIFERT THOMAS J | director | Sale | 2,944 @ $306.24 | $902K | −2.5% of holding | +8.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 117,002 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | SEIFERT THOMAS J | director | Sale | 2,456 @ $307.29 | $755K | −2.1% of holding | +8.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 114,546 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | Starzak Alissa Michelle | officer | Sale | 965 @ $307.55 | $297K | −0.8% of holding | +8.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 116,988 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | SEIFERT THOMAS J | director | Sale | 900 @ $305.25 | $275K | −0.7% of holding | +8.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 119,946 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | Starzak Alissa Michelle | officer | Sale | 585 @ $308.66 | $181K | −0.5% of holding | +8.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 116,403 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | Starzak Alissa Michelle | officer | Sale | 460 @ $311.72 | $143K | −0.4% of holding | +8.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 115,319 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
98 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | SEIFERT THOMAS J | director | Withheld for tax | 2,944 | 107,902 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Option exercise | 33,003 | 990,090 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Option exercise | 33,003 | 33,003 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Conversion | 33,003 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Conversion | 33,003 | 102,778 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Conversion | 33,003 | 102,778 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Conversion | 33,003 | 102,778 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Conversion | 33,003 | 102,778 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-04 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Option exercise | 33,003 | 33,003 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-04 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Conversion | 33,003 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-04 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Option exercise | 33,003 | 1,023,093 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-04 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Conversion | 33,003 | 102,778 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-04 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Conversion | 33,003 | 102,778 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-04 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Conversion | 33,003 | 102,778 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-04 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Conversion | 33,003 | 102,778 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Conversion | 33,003 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Option exercise | 33,003 | 1,056,096 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Option exercise | 33,003 | 33,003 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Conversion | 33,003 | 102,778 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Conversion | 33,003 | 102,778 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Conversion | 33,003 | 102,778 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Conversion | 33,003 | 102,778 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Option exercise | 33,003 | 1,089,099 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Conversion | 33,003 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Option exercise | 33,003 | 33,003 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Conversion | 33,003 | 102,778 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Conversion | 33,003 | 102,778 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Conversion | 33,003 | 102,778 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Conversion | 33,003 | 102,778 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Conversion | 33,003 | 102,778 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Conversion | 33,003 | 102,778 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Conversion | 33,003 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Option exercise | 33,003 | 1,122,102 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Option exercise | 33,003 | 33,003 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Conversion | 33,003 | 102,778 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Conversion | 33,003 | 102,778 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Conversion | 33,003 | 102,778 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Conversion | 33,003 | 102,778 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Conversion | 33,003 | 102,778 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Zatlyn Michelle | director | Conversion | 33,003 | 102,778 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.