Issued 2026-09-16 at $31.49 · now $31.49 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, NESR has typically landed between $24.89 and $40.45 — a range of −21.0% to +28.5% from the issuance price $31.49.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,313 overlapping 1 month windows · 2017-06-05 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($31.49) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where NESR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $31.49 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $31.49 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $32.06 (+1.8%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $28.94–$35.18
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $24.89–$40.45
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2023-03-28 | −50.4% | −50.4% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-27 | −46.0% | −46.0% | +4.4% |
| 2020-02-28 | −46.0% | −48.3% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2023-12-14 | +81.4% | +0.0% | +86.7% |
| 2023-12-19 | +79.1% | +0.0% | +84.6% |
| 2023-12-13 | +78.8% | +0.0% | +88.9% |
2,313 overlapping windows · 2017-06-05 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~10 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Campo Mejia Antonio J | director | Sale | 63,324 @ $35.45 | $2.2M | −8.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 696,398 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-31 | Foda Sherif | director | Sale | 100,000 @ $35.00 | $3.5M | −3.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 3,084,643 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Angeli Stefan | officer | Sale | 13,570 @ $35.12 | $477K | −2.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 549,763 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | Al-Nowais Yousif Mohammed Ali Nasser | director | Sale | 1,919,594 @ $26.80 | $51.4M | −89.3% of holding | −1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 229,198 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-13 | Al-Nowais Yousif Mohammed Ali Nasser | director | Sale | 326,386 @ $26.89 | $8.8M | −13.2% of holding | +7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,155,263 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-13 | Al-Nowais Yousif Mohammed Ali Nasser | director | Sale | 6,471 @ $27.61 | $179K | −0.3% of holding | +7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,148,792 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | Al-Nowais Yousif Mohammed Ali Nasser | director | Sale | 950,831 @ $26.08 | $24.8M | −26.8% of holding | +7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,599,411 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | Al-Nowais Yousif Mohammed Ali Nasser | director | Sale | 117,762 @ $26.54 | $3.1M | −4.5% of holding | +7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,481,649 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-09 | Al-Nowais Yousif Mohammed Ali Nasser | director | Sale | 200 @ $25.55 | $5K | −0.0% of holding | +16.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,550,242 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-08 | Al-Nowais Yousif Mohammed Ali Nasser | director | Sale | 5,526 @ $25.53 | $141K | −0.2% of holding | +9.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,550,442 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | Al-Nowais Yousif Mohammed Ali Nasser | director | Sale | 457,391 @ $26.12 | $11.9M | −11.4% of holding | +6.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,555,968 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Al-Nowais Yousif Mohammed Ali Nasser | director | Sale | 242,497 @ $26.14 | $6.3M | −5.7% of holding | −0.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,013,359 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Al-Nowais Yousif Mohammed Ali Nasser | director | Sale | 573,544 @ $26.14 | $15.0M | −11.9% of holding | −4.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,255,856 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-19 | Al-Nowais Yousif Mohammed Ali Nasser | director | Sale | 3,500 @ $26.13 | $91K | −0.1% of holding | −5.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,829,400 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Al-Nowais Yousif Mohammed Ali Nasser | director | Sale | 220,568 @ $26.06 | $5.7M | −4.4% of holding | −7.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,832,900 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | Al-Nowais Yousif Mohammed Ali Nasser | director | Sale | 81,302 @ $26.35 | $2.1M | −1.6% of holding | −0.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,053,468 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Al-Nowais Yousif Mohammed Ali Nasser | director | Sale | 223,626 @ $26.85 | $6.0M | −4.2% of holding | −0.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,134,770 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
47 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Foda Sherif | director | Gift | 675,000 | 2,409,643 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-02 | Foda Sherif | director | Gift | 675,000 | 675,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | CHASE ANTHONY R | director | Option exercise | 15,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | POLLINA LISA A | director | Option exercise | 5,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Campo Mejia Antonio J | director | Option exercise | 10,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Angeli Stefan | officer | Option exercise | 33,333 | 66,667 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Campo Mejia Antonio J | director | Award / grant | 10,000 | 756,922 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Campo Mejia Antonio J | director | Award / grant | 2,800 | 759,722 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | CHASE ANTHONY R | director | Award / grant | 15,000 | 15,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | CHASE ANTHONY R | director | Award / grant | 2,800 | 17,800 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | POLLINA LISA A | director | Award / grant | 5,000 | 5,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | POLLINA LISA A | director | Award / grant | 2,800 | 7,800 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Razouqi Maen | director | Award / grant | 2,800 | 2,800 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | POLLINA LISA A | director | Award / grant | 5,000 | 5,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | POLLINA LISA A | director | Award / grant | 2,800 | 7,800 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Razouqi Maen | director | Award / grant | 2,800 | 2,800 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | CHASE ANTHONY R | director | Award / grant | 15,000 | 15,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Angeli Stefan | officer | Award / grant | 33,333 | 533,333 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Angeli Stefan | officer | Award / grant | 30,000 | 563,333 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | CHASE ANTHONY R | director | Award / grant | 15,000 | 15,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | CHASE ANTHONY R | director | Award / grant | 2,800 | 17,800 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Campo Mejia Antonio J | director | Award / grant | 10,000 | 756,922 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Campo Mejia Antonio J | director | Award / grant | 2,800 | 759,722 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Angeli Stefan | officer | Award / grant | 33,333 | 533,333 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Angeli Stefan | officer | Award / grant | 30,000 | 563,333 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Angeli Stefan | officer | Award / grant | 33,333 | 533,333 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Angeli Stefan | officer | Award / grant | 30,000 | 563,333 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | CHASE ANTHONY R | director | Award / grant | 15,000 | 15,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | CHASE ANTHONY R | director | Award / grant | 2,800 | 17,800 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Campo Mejia Antonio J | director | Award / grant | 10,000 | 756,922 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Campo Mejia Antonio J | director | Award / grant | 2,800 | 759,722 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Angeli Stefan | officer | Award / grant | 33,333 | 533,333 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Angeli Stefan | officer | Award / grant | 30,000 | 563,333 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Campo Mejia Antonio J | director | Award / grant | 10,000 | 756,922 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Campo Mejia Antonio J | director | Award / grant | 2,800 | 759,722 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | CHASE ANTHONY R | director | Award / grant | 2,800 | 17,800 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | POLLINA LISA A | director | Award / grant | 5,000 | 5,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | POLLINA LISA A | director | Award / grant | 2,800 | 7,800 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Razouqi Maen | director | Award / grant | 2,800 | 2,800 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | POLLINA LISA A | director | Award / grant | 5,000 | 5,000 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.