NE · TickerCove

NENoble Corporation Plcas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $44.34 · now $44.34 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, NE has typically landed between $37.03 and $53.77 — a range of −16.5% to +21.3% from the issuance price $44.34.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

1,291 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-06-09 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($44.34) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$44.34 · 66% of range

$25.74 low$53.79 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.1%

typical move · IQR 16.1%

−16.5%worst (p90)+21.3%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

4 buys · 2 sells · 3 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where NE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $44.34 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $44.34 (+0.0%)
typical $44.83 (+1.1%)
middle 50% $41.26–$48.39
90% range $37.03–$53.77

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,291 windows spanning 2021-06-09 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2022-06-03	−34.8%	−34.8%	+4.7%
2022-06-02	−33.9%	−33.9%	+2.3%
2022-06-01	−31.7%	−32.0%	+1.3%
3 best
2026-01-12	+47.2%	+0.0%	+47.2%
2022-10-10	+43.4%	+0.0%	+43.4%
2023-06-23	+43.4%	+0.0%	+43.4%

1,291 overlapping windows · 2021-06-09 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

60%

+5.5%

n=5

Feb

60%

+2.0%

n=5

Mar

60%

+10.0%

n=5

Apr

20%

−4.8%

n=5

May

60%

+4.3%

n=5

Jun

40%

−6.7%

n=5

Jul

83%

+9.5%

n=6

Aug

83%

+1.6%

n=6

Sep

17%

−0.4%

n=6

Oct

40%

−0.2%

n=5

Nov

60%

+0.9%

n=5

Dec

60%

+0.2%

n=5

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-15	Eifler Robert W.	director	Sale	32,929 @ $45.40	$1.5M	−2.6% of holding	−10.2%	not yet — horizon still open	1,210,899	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-15	Eifler Robert W.	director	Sale	17,071 @ $45.71	$780K	−1.4% of holding	−10.2%	not yet — horizon still open	1,193,828	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-15	Hirshberg Al J.	director	Sale	3,500 @ $52.63	$184K	−10.7% of holding	−18.4%	not yet — horizon still open	29,303	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-15	Hirshberg Al J.	director	Sale	1,500 @ $52.60	$79K	−5.1% of holding	−18.4%	not yet — horizon still open	27,803	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-12	SLEDGE CHARLES M	director	Sale	724 @ $51.61	$37K	−34.7% of holding	−9.0%	not yet — horizon still open	1,360	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-06	Denton Blake	officer	Sale	30,000 @ $49.31	$1.5M	−50.1% of holding	−7.0%	not yet — horizon still open	29,927	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-05	Kawaja Joey M	officer	Sale	40,000 @ $49.85	$2.0M	−50.0% of holding	−10.1%	not yet — horizon still open	40,071	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-30	Howard Jennie	officer	Sale	2,486 @ $51.08	$127K	−13.7% of holding	−13.2%	not yet — horizon still open	15,676	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-28	ALTING CAROLINE	officer	Sale	15,340 @ $52.75	$809K	−65.2% of holding	−13.4%	not yet — horizon still open	8,170	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-18	Barker Richard B.	officer	Sale	102,839 @ $46.43	$4.8M	−32.7% of holding	−7.4%	not yet — horizon still open	211,942	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-18	Eifler Robert W.	director	Sale	72,753 @ $46.43	$3.4M	−5.4% of holding	−7.4%	not yet — horizon still open	1,271,075	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-18	Barker Richard B.	officer	Sale	47,161 @ $47.07	$2.2M	−22.3% of holding	−7.4%	not yet — horizon still open	164,781	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-18	Eifler Robert W.	director	Sale	27,247 @ $47.11	$1.3M	−2.1% of holding	−7.4%	not yet — horizon still open	1,243,828	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02	Denton Blake	officer	Sale	14,334 @ $45.29	$649K	−19.3% of holding	+12.9%	not yet — horizon still open	59,927	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02	Denton Blake	officer	Sale	5,000 @ $44.82	$224K	−6.3% of holding	+12.9%	not yet — horizon still open	74,261	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-19	Barker Richard B.	officer	Sale	20,000 @ $42.96	$859K	−6.0% of holding	+9.1%	−9.1%	314,781	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-19	SLEDGE CHARLES M	director	Sale	2,083 @ $44.63	$93K	−50.0% of holding	+9.1%	−9.1%	2,084	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-17	Denton Blake	officer	Sale	23,255 @ $43.50	$1.0M	−22.7% of holding	+11.6%	−4.3%	79,261	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-17	IPSEN MIKKEL	officer	Sale	3,453 @ $43.56	$150K	−22.6% of holding	+11.6%	−4.3%	11,854	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-13	Kawaja Joey M	officer	Sale	19,725 @ $43.51	$858K	−19.8% of holding	+6.7%	−5.6%	80,074	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-13	Howard Jennie	officer	Sale	6,094 @ $42.00	$256K	−25.1% of holding	+6.7%	−5.6%	18,162	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-13	ALTING CAROLINE	officer	Sale	4,195 @ $43.60	$183K	−15.1% of holding	+6.7%	−5.6%	23,510	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-08	Denton Blake	officer	Sale	29,729 @ $29.78	$885K	−26.3% of holding	−2.4%	+51.3%	83,182	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-05	Kawaja Joey M	officer	Sale	35,000 @ $28.62	$1.0M	−30.8% of holding	+1.9%	+57.7%	78,464	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-04-01	Howard Jennie	officer	Sale	808 @ $24.16	$20K	−8.6% of holding	−7.4%	+6.3%	8,580	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-11	Hirshberg Al J.	director	Purchase	5,000 @ $23.00	$115K	ownership Δ n/a	−7.5%	+20.5%	5,000	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-11	Hirshberg Al J.	director	Purchase	5,000 @ $23.00	$115K	+20.7% of holding	−7.5%	+20.5%	29,130	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-20	Eifler Robert W.	director	Purchase	12,568 @ $27.85	$350K	+1.0% of holding	−4.2%	−3.1%	1,236,365	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-20	SLEDGE CHARLES M	director	Purchase	8,992 @ $27.83	$250K	+30.6% of holding	−4.2%	−3.1%	38,361	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-20	Barker Richard B.	officer	Purchase	8,000 @ $27.94	$224K	+2.8% of holding	−4.2%	−3.1%	298,505	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-03	Kawaja Joey M	officer	Sale	1,435 @ $31.47	$45K	−1.2% of holding	−24.3%	−14.8%	113,464	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-01-30	Barker Richard B.	officer	Sale	22,813 @ $32.40	$739K	−7.5% of holding	−24.1%	−21.3%	281,022	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-26	ALTING CAROLINE	officer	Sale	1,618 @ $33.45	$54K	−44.7% of holding	−17.0%	−14.6%	2,004	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

267 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-04	Eifler Robert W.	director	Gift	21,750	1,172,078	Form 4
2026-04-29	HOLTH KRISTIN	director	Option exercise	3,649	2,433	Form 4
2026-04-29	HOLTH KRISTIN	director	Option exercise	3,649	15,810	Form 4
2026-04-29	HOLTH KRISTIN	director	Option exercise	2,433	0	Form 4
2026-04-29	HOLTH KRISTIN	director	Option exercise	2,433	0	Form 4
2026-02-12	Eifler Robert W.	director	Withheld for tax	44,727	1,343,828	Form 4
2026-02-12	Barker Richard B.	officer	Withheld for tax	14,199	334,781	Form 4
2026-02-12	Denton Blake	officer	Withheld for tax	7,810	102,516	Form 4
2026-02-12	ALTING CAROLINE	officer	Withheld for tax	7,810	27,705	Form 4
2026-02-12	Kawaja Joey M	officer	Withheld for tax	7,810	99,799	Form 4
2026-02-12	Howard Jennie	officer	Withheld for tax	5,325	24,256	Form 4
2026-02-12	IPSEN MIKKEL	officer	Withheld for tax	4,260	15,307	Form 4
2026-02-12	Barker Richard B.	officer	Award / grant	36,083	348,980	Form 4
2026-02-12	ALTING CAROLINE	officer	Award / grant	19,846	35,515	Form 4
2026-02-12	Kawaja Joey M	officer	Award / grant	19,849	107,609	Form 4
2026-02-12	IPSEN MIKKEL	officer	Option exercise	10,824	19,567	Form 4
2026-02-12	Howard Jennie	officer	Award / grant	13,531	29,581	Form 4
2026-02-12	Eifler Robert W.	director	Option exercise	113,663	1,388,555	Form 4
2026-02-12	Kawaja Joey M	officer	Award / grant	19,849	107,609	Form 4
2026-02-12	IPSEN MIKKEL	officer	Option exercise	10,824	19,567	Form 4
2026-02-12	Denton Blake	officer	Award / grant	19,846	110,326	Form 4
2026-02-12	Barker Richard B.	officer	Award / grant	36,083	348,980	Form 4
2026-02-12	ALTING CAROLINE	officer	Award / grant	19,846	35,515	Form 4
2026-02-12	Eifler Robert W.	director	Option exercise	113,663	1,388,555	Form 4
2026-02-12	Denton Blake	officer	Award / grant	19,846	110,326	Form 4
2026-02-12	Howard Jennie	officer	Award / grant	13,531	29,581	Form 4
2026-02-03	Eifler Robert W.	director	Withheld for tax	10,241	1,274,892	Form 4
2026-02-03	Eifler Robert W.	director	Withheld for tax	8,215	1,259,110	Form 4
2026-02-03	SLEDGE CHARLES M	director	Option exercise	4,867	11,500	Form 4
2026-02-03	Barker Richard B.	officer	Withheld for tax	3,795	312,897	Form 4
2026-02-03	Jennings H. Keith	director	Option exercise	3,673	8,532	Form 4
2026-02-03	Douglas Patrice D	director	Option exercise	3,673	8,532	Form 4
2026-02-03	HOLTH KRISTIN	director	Option exercise	3,673	8,532	Form 4
2026-02-03	HEMMINGSEN CLAUS	director	Option exercise	3,673	8,532	Form 4
2026-02-03	Hirshberg Al J.	director	Option exercise	3,673	8,532	Form 4
2026-02-03	Kawaja Joey M	officer	Withheld for tax	2,972	87,760	Form 4
2026-02-03	Barker Richard B.	officer	Withheld for tax	2,608	307,048	Form 4
2026-02-03	Howard Jennie	officer	Withheld for tax	2,570	16,050	Form 4
2026-02-03	ALTING CAROLINE	officer	Withheld for tax	2,570	15,669	Form 4
2026-02-03	Denton Blake	officer	Withheld for tax	2,008	90,480	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iiDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks

Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

Member	Chamber	Type	Filed	Traded	Size
Thomas J. Rooney	House	sale	2017-01-16	2015-12-02	$1–15K
Thomas J. Rooney	House	purchase	2017-01-16	2015-11-12	$1–15K
Thomas J. Rooney	House	purchase	2017-01-16	2015-10-15	$1–15K
Michael T. McCaul	House	purchase	2015-09-25	2015-07-01	$15–50K
Michael T. McCaul	House	purchase	2015-09-25	2015-04-01	$15–50K
Ms. Lois Frankel	House	sale	2014-06-18	2014-06-12	$1–15K

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Seasonality · by month i