NC · TickerCove

NCNACCO Industries, Inc.as of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $38.61 · now $38.61 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, NC has typically landed between $32.83 and $47.15 — a range of −15.0% to +22.1% from the issuance price $38.61.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

4,673 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($38.61) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$38.61 · 7% of range

$37.2 low$58.54 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.0%

typical move · IQR 13.9%

−15.0%worst (p90)+22.1%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where NC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $38.61 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $38.61 (+0.0%)
typical $38.98 (+1.0%)
middle 50% $36.3–$41.67
90% range $32.83–$47.15

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,673 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2009-02-09	−60.5%	−62.6%	+0.0%
2009-02-06	−59.4%	−62.6%	+0.0%
2009-02-05	−59.1%	−59.1%	+9.4%
3 best
2009-03-11	+153.0%	+0.0%	+153.0%
2009-03-05	+144.3%	−5.5%	+144.3%
2017-09-13	+120.4%	+0.0%	+120.4%

4,673 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

56%

−0.7%

n=18

Feb

42%

−2.9%

n=19

Mar

47%

+3.5%

n=19

Apr

63%

+6.8%

n=19

May

47%

+0.8%

n=19

Jun

53%

−2.0%

n=19

Jul

47%

+1.5%

n=19

Aug

58%

+3.0%

n=19

Sep

58%

+2.5%

n=19

Oct

72%

+10.6%

n=18

Nov

50%

+1.2%

n=18

Dec

44%

+1.5%

n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-03-13	Loveman Elizabeth	officer	Sale	1,662 @ $51.44	$85K	−10.0% of holding	−9.1%	not yet — horizon still open	14,999	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-12	Loveman Elizabeth	officer	Sale	4,053 @ $52.04	$211K	−19.6% of holding	−9.8%	not yet — horizon still open	16,661	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-09	Maxwell Thomas A	officer	Sale	1,785 @ $48.55	$87K	−23.1% of holding	−0.6%	not yet — horizon still open	5,944	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-12	Loveman Elizabeth	officer	Sale	1,897 @ $49.94	$95K	−9.5% of holding	−1.0%	−9.7%	18,172	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-10	Loveman Elizabeth	officer	Sale	2,997 @ $45.22	$136K	−13.0% of holding	+5.9%	−1.3%	20,069	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-04	Loveman Elizabeth	officer	Sale	3,208 @ $39.18	$126K	−12.2% of holding	+1.4%	+20.0%	23,066	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-21	Maxwell Thomas A	officer	Sale	4,123 @ $36.18	$149K	−40.1% of holding	+5.5%	+17.8%	6,155	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

293 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-07-01	LABARRE DENNIS W	director	Award / grant	569	44,953	Form 4
2026-07-01	McDonald William Paul	director	Award / grant	569	7,699	Form 4
2026-07-01	Miller Michael Sidney	director	Award / grant	569	28,321	Form 4
2026-07-01	TAPLIN BRITTON T	director	Award / grant	569	67,169	Form 4
2026-07-01	TAPLIN BRITTON T	director	Award / grant	569	67,169	Form 4
2026-07-01	DALRYMPLE JOHN S III	director	Award / grant	569	26,305	Form 4
2026-07-01	Jumper John P	director	Award / grant	773	34,456	Form 4
2026-07-01	Miller Michael Sidney	director	Award / grant	569	28,321	Form 4
2026-07-01	LABARRE DENNIS W	director	Award / grant	569	44,953	Form 4
2026-07-01	McDonald William Paul	director	Award / grant	569	7,699	Form 4
2026-07-01	SACHS VALERIE GENTILE	director	Award / grant	569	11,021	Form 4
2026-07-01	SHAPARD ROBERT S	director	Award / grant	569	18,750	Form 4
2026-07-01	RANKIN ALFRED M ET AL	director	Award / grant	760	217,720	Form 4
2026-07-01	DALRYMPLE JOHN S III	director	Award / grant	569	26,305	Form 4
2026-07-01	RANKIN VICTOIRE G	other	Award / grant	760	217,720	Form 4
2026-07-01	RANKIN MATTHEW M	director	Award / grant	569	37,875	Form 4
2026-07-01	RANKIN ELIZABETH B	other	Award / grant	569	37,875	Form 4
2026-07-01	RANKIN ALFRED M ET AL	director	Award / grant	760	217,720	Form 4
2026-07-01	RANKIN ELIZABETH B	other	Award / grant	569	37,875	Form 4
2026-07-01	RANKIN MATTHEW M	director	Award / grant	569	37,875	Form 4
2026-07-01	RANKIN VICTOIRE G	other	Award / grant	760	217,720	Form 4
2026-07-01	SACHS VALERIE GENTILE	director	Award / grant	569	11,021	Form 4
2026-07-01	SHAPARD ROBERT S	director	Award / grant	569	18,750	Form 4
2026-07-01	Jumper John P	director	Award / grant	773	34,456	Form 4
2026-04-01	RANKIN VICTOIRE G	other	Award / grant	955	216,960	Form 4
2026-04-01	McDonald William Paul	director	Award / grant	563	7,130	Form 4
2026-04-01	TAPLIN BRITTON T	director	Award / grant	563	66,600	Form 4
2026-04-01	Miller Michael Sidney	director	Award / grant	563	27,752	Form 4
2026-04-01	DALRYMPLE JOHN S III	director	Award / grant	563	25,736	Form 4
2026-04-01	LABARRE DENNIS W	director	Award / grant	563	44,384	Form 4
2026-04-01	Jumper John P	director	Award / grant	563	33,683	Form 4
2026-04-01	RANKIN MATTHEW M	director	Award / grant	563	37,306	Form 4
2026-04-01	RANKIN ELIZABETH B	other	Award / grant	563	37,306	Form 4
2026-04-01	TAPLIN BRITTON T	director	Award / grant	563	66,600	Form 4
2026-04-01	Miller Michael Sidney	director	Award / grant	563	27,752	Form 4
2026-04-01	SHAPARD ROBERT S	director	Award / grant	563	18,181	Form 4
2026-04-01	SACHS VALERIE GENTILE	director	Award / grant	563	10,452	Form 4
2026-04-01	McDonald William Paul	director	Award / grant	563	7,130	Form 4
2026-04-01	SHAPARD ROBERT S	director	Award / grant	563	18,181	Form 4
2026-04-01	RANKIN VICTOIRE G	other	Award / grant	955	216,960	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i