NBBKNB Bancorp, Inc. Common StockFinancial Services · Banks - Regionalas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $22.73 · now $22.73 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, NBBK has typically landed between $20.47 and $25.83 — a range of −9.9% to +13.6% from the issuance price $22.73.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

660 overlapping 1 month windows · 2023-12-28 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($22.73) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where NBBK has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $22.73 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$20.47worst · -9.9%$25.83best · +13.6%
  • now $22.73 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $23.01 (+1.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $21.81–$24.21
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $20.47–$25.83
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 660 windows spanning 2023-12-28 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2024-12-09−16.0%−16.0%+3.9%
2024-12-10−15.6%−16.9%+2.7%
2025-03-06−15.3%−15.3%+2.4%
3 best
2024-06-26+28.0%+0.0%+28.0%
2024-06-25+27.4%+0.0%+27.4%
2024-06-28+27.1%−1.1%+27.1%

660 overlapping windows · 2023-12-28 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~3 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
100%
+6.6%
n=3
Feb
67%
−0.2%
n=3
Mar
0%
−3.4%
n=3
Apr
33%
−1.6%
n=3
May
67%
+1.4%
n=3
Jun
67%
+3.7%
n=3
Jul
67%
+10.7%
n=3
Aug
33%
+2.1%
n=3
Sep
33%
−2.2%
n=3
Oct
100%
+2.1%
n=2
Nov
100%
+7.7%
n=2
Dec
50%
−4.6%
n=2

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$23$172026-08-20: 2 insider purchases, $48K — CAMPANELLI JOSEPH P, Lapointe Jean-Pierre2026-08-14: 1 insider sale, $46K — Henkin Kevin2026-05-15: 9 insider purchases, $58K — CAMPANELLI JOSEPH P …2026-04-24: 9 insider purchases, $438K — Pascucci Hope, CAMPANELLI JOSEPH P …2026-03-19: 1 insider purchase, $50K — CAMPANELLI JOSEPH P2026-03-09: 1 insider purchase, $20K — Lapointe Jean-Pierre2026-03-06: 2 insider purchases, $104K — CAMPANELLI JOSEPH P …2025-12-19: 1 insider purchase, $42K — EVANGELISTA PAUL A2025-10-28: 1 insider purchase, $85K — Pascucci Hope2025-09-12: 1 insider purchase, $92K — Montgomery Kenneth C.2025-08: 2 open-market purchases, $86K2025-09: 1 open-market purchase, $92K2025-10: 1 open-market purchase, $85K2025-12: 1 open-market purchase, $42K2026-03: 4 open-market purchases, $175K2026-04: 9 open-market purchases, $438K2026-05: 9 open-market purchases, $58K2026-08: 2 open-market purchases, $48K2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $46K↑ buys↓ salesdirector CAMPANELLI JOSEPH P — Purchase on 2026-08-20, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Lapointe Jean-Pierre — Purchase on 2026-08-20, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Henkin Kevin — Sale on 2026-08-14, filed 4 days after the tradedirector CAMPANELLI JOSEPH P — Purchase on 2026-05-15, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CAMPANELLI JOSEPH P — Purchase on 2026-05-15, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CAMPANELLI JOSEPH P — Purchase on 2026-05-15, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CAMPANELLI JOSEPH P — Purchase on 2026-05-15, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CAMPANELLI JOSEPH P — Purchase on 2026-05-15, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CAMPANELLI JOSEPH P — Purchase on 2026-05-15, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CAMPANELLI JOSEPH P — Purchase on 2026-05-15, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CAMPANELLI JOSEPH P — Purchase on 2026-05-15, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CAMPANELLI JOSEPH P — Purchase on 2026-05-15, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Pascucci Hope — Purchase on 2026-04-24, filed same daydirector Pascucci Hope — Purchase on 2026-04-24, filed same daydirector CAMPANELLI JOSEPH P — Purchase on 2026-04-24, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CAMPANELLI JOSEPH P — Purchase on 2026-04-24, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CAMPANELLI JOSEPH P — Purchase on 2026-04-24, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CAMPANELLI JOSEPH P — Purchase on 2026-04-24, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CAMPANELLI JOSEPH P — Purchase on 2026-04-24, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CAMPANELLI JOSEPH P — Purchase on 2026-04-24, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CAMPANELLI JOSEPH P — Purchase on 2026-04-24, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CAMPANELLI JOSEPH P — Purchase on 2026-03-19, filed same dayofficer Lapointe Jean-Pierre — Purchase on 2026-03-09, filed same daydirector CAMPANELLI JOSEPH P — Purchase on 2026-03-06, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CAMPANELLI JOSEPH P — Purchase on 2026-03-06, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer EVANGELISTA PAUL A — Purchase on 2025-12-19, filed same daydirector Pascucci Hope — Purchase on 2025-10-28, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Montgomery Kenneth C. — Purchase on 2025-09-12, filed 3 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-20CAMPANELLI JOSEPH PdirectorPurchase2,000 @ $21.75$44K+0.5% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open379,790Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-20Lapointe Jean-PierreofficerPurchase200 @ $21.80$4K+0.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open110,531Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-14Henkin KevinofficerSale2,000 @ $22.93$46K−22.5% of holding+1.8%not yet — horizon still open6,874Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-15CAMPANELLI JOSEPH PdirectorPurchase767 @ $19.18$15K+0.2% of holding+4.9%not yet — horizon still open376,690Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-15CAMPANELLI JOSEPH PdirectorPurchase500 @ $19.19$10K+0.1% of holding+4.9%not yet — horizon still open377,190Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-15CAMPANELLI JOSEPH PdirectorPurchase500 @ $19.16$10K+0.1% of holding+4.9%not yet — horizon still open375,290Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-15CAMPANELLI JOSEPH PdirectorPurchase400 @ $19.18$8K+0.1% of holding+4.9%not yet — horizon still open375,823Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-15CAMPANELLI JOSEPH PdirectorPurchase253 @ $19.20$5K+0.1% of holding+4.9%not yet — horizon still open377,443Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-15CAMPANELLI JOSEPH PdirectorPurchase247 @ $19.21$5K+0.1% of holding+4.9%not yet — horizon still open377,790Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-15CAMPANELLI JOSEPH PdirectorPurchase133 @ $19.17$3K+0.0% of holding+4.9%not yet — horizon still open375,423Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-15CAMPANELLI JOSEPH PdirectorPurchase100 @ $19.20$2K+0.0% of holding+4.9%not yet — horizon still open377,543Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-15CAMPANELLI JOSEPH PdirectorPurchase100 @ $19.18$2K+0.0% of holding+4.9%not yet — horizon still open375,923Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-24Pascucci HopedirectorPurchase10,000 @ $19.49$195K+7.6% of holding−2.6%not yet — horizon still open142,402Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-24Pascucci HopedirectorPurchase10,000 @ $19.44$194K+8.2% of holding−2.6%not yet — horizon still open132,402Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-24CAMPANELLI JOSEPH PdirectorPurchase722 @ $19.45$14K+0.2% of holding−2.6%not yet — horizon still open374,012Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-24CAMPANELLI JOSEPH PdirectorPurchase500 @ $19.63$10K+0.1% of holding−2.6%not yet — horizon still open374,790Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-24CAMPANELLI JOSEPH PdirectorPurchase500 @ $19.37$10K+0.1% of holding−2.6%not yet — horizon still open373,290Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-24CAMPANELLI JOSEPH PdirectorPurchase320 @ $19.33$6K+0.1% of holding−2.6%not yet — horizon still open372,610Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-24CAMPANELLI JOSEPH PdirectorPurchase180 @ $19.34$3K+0.0% of holding−2.6%not yet — horizon still open372,790Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-24CAMPANELLI JOSEPH PdirectorPurchase178 @ $19.46$3K+0.0% of holding−2.6%not yet — horizon still open374,190Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-24CAMPANELLI JOSEPH PdirectorPurchase100 @ $19.47$2K+0.0% of holding−2.6%not yet — horizon still open374,290Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-19CAMPANELLI JOSEPH PdirectorPurchase2,500 @ $20.16$50K+0.6% of holding+0.3%not yet — horizon still open396,661Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-09Lapointe Jean-PierreofficerPurchase1,000 @ $20.42$20K+0.9% of holding+6.2%−2.8%110,331Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-06CAMPANELLI JOSEPH PdirectorPurchase3,000 @ $20.77$62Kownership Δ n/a+5.6%−4.3%3,000Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-06CAMPANELLI JOSEPH PdirectorPurchase2,000 @ $20.78$42K+4.4% of holding+5.6%−4.3%47,000Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-19EVANGELISTA PAUL AofficerPurchase2,000 @ $20.87$42K+8.1% of holding−3.5%−8.3%26,566Form 4 · filed same day
2025-10-28Pascucci HopedirectorPurchase4,688 @ $18.07$85K+4.1% of holding+11.0%+4.2%120,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-12Montgomery Kenneth C.directorPurchase5,000 @ $18.44$92K+6.6% of holding−7.9%+11.7%80,337Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-11Darcey WilliamdirectorPurchase4,861 @ $17.30$84K+6.4% of holding+4.3%+17.5%80,237Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-11Darcey WilliamdirectorPurchase139 @ $17.29$2K+0.2% of holding+4.3%+17.5%75,376Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-25EVANGELISTA PAUL AofficerPurchase500 @ $18.39$9K+2.1% of holding+0.6%+2.9%24,566Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-09CAMPANELLI JOSEPH PdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $16.29$81K+12.5% of holding+12.6%+12.1%45,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-09EVANGELISTA PAUL AofficerPurchase1,000 @ $16.29$16K+4.3% of holding+12.6%+12.1%24,066Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-09CAMPANELLI JOSEPH PdirectorPurchase1,000 @ $16.03$16K+0.3% of holding+12.6%+12.1%330,146Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-09CAMPANELLI JOSEPH PdirectorPurchase900 @ $16.35$15K+0.3% of holding+12.6%+12.1%331,146Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-09CAMPANELLI JOSEPH PdirectorPurchase100 @ $16.33$2K+0.0% of holding+12.6%+12.1%330,246Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-02Elliott Mary SusandirectorPurchase1,434 @ $21.39$31Kownership Δ n/a−8.6%−17.1%1,434Form 4 · filed 273 days after the trade
2025-04-29Orfanello FrancisdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $17.09$85K+4.0% of holding−9.4%−20.4%130,237Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-18EVANGELISTA PAUL AofficerPurchase500 @ $18.74$9K+2.2% of holding−6.8%−19.6%23,066Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-11CAMPANELLI JOSEPH PdirectorPurchase2,000 @ $17.75$36K+3.8% of holding−4.6%−12.0%55,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-01-24Pascucci HopedirectorPurchase40,000 @ $18.53$741K+53333.3% of holding+3.2%−8.9%40,075Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-01-24Elliott Mary SusandirectorPurchase10,000 @ $18.72$187K+9.5% of holding+3.2%−8.9%115,761Form 4 · filed 371 days after the trade
2025-01-24Lapointe Jean-PierreofficerPurchase900 @ $18.85$17K+27.3% of holding+3.2%−8.9%4,200Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

50 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-04-24CAMPANELLI JOSEPH PdirectorWithheld for tax24,371372,290Form 4
2026-04-24Montgomery Kenneth C.directorWithheld for tax5,01580,125Form 4
2026-04-24Darcey WilliamdirectorWithheld for tax4,91877,721Form 4
2026-04-24NOLAN JOSEPH R JRdirectorWithheld for tax4,91882,821Form 4
2026-04-24Whalen MarkdirectorWithheld for tax4,91872,721Form 4
2026-04-24Jackson AngeladirectorWithheld for tax4,91876,337Form 4
2026-04-24Lynch Christopher R.directorWithheld for tax4,15092,772Form 4
2026-04-24Roberts ChristineofficerWithheld for tax3,58971,081Form 4
2026-03-09Schulman Matthew GofficerAward / grant6,9806,980Form 4
2026-02-25Maiona StephanieofficerAward / grant6,8746,874Form 4
2026-02-25Lapointe Jean-PierreofficerAward / grant13,749109,331Form 4
2026-02-25Richardson MatthewofficerAward / grant13,74913,749Form 4
2026-02-25Roberts ChristineofficerAward / grant13,74974,670Form 4
2026-02-25CAMPANELLI JOSEPH PdirectorAward / grant63,015394,161Form 4
2026-02-25EVANGELISTA PAUL AofficerAward / grant6,87433,440Form 4
2026-02-25White James J.officerAward / grant6,87416,874Form 4
2026-02-25Daley James B.officerAward / grant6,8746,874Form 4
2026-02-25Henkin KevinofficerAward / grant6,8748,874Form 4
2026-01-02Raza MuhammaddirectorAward / grant2,40277,639Form 4
2026-01-02Reilly Joseph BdirectorAward / grant2,40214,414Form 4
2026-01-02Darcey WilliamdirectorAward / grant2,40282,639Form 4
2026-01-02Whalen MarkdirectorAward / grant2,40277,639Form 4
2026-01-02Orfanello FrancisdirectorAward / grant5,403135,640Form 4
2026-01-02Jackson AngeladirectorAward / grant2,40281,255Form 4
2026-01-02Lynch Christopher R.directorAward / grant7,68596,922Form 4
2026-01-02Elliott Mary SusandirectorAward / grant5,524105,761Form 4
2026-01-02Ayoub Paul J.directorAward / grant7,20582,512Form 4
2026-01-02Pascucci HopedirectorAward / grant2,402122,402Form 4
2026-01-02NOLAN JOSEPH R JRdirectorAward / grant2,40287,739Form 4
2026-01-02Montgomery Kenneth C.directorAward / grant4,80385,140Form 4
2025-11-10Lynch Christopher R.directorGift2,72589,237Form 4
2025-10-30Lynch Christopher R.directorGift60091,962Form 4
2025-09-16Lynch Christopher R.directorGift60092,562Form 4
2025-09-10Lynch Christopher R.directorGift60093,162Form 4
2025-09-09Lynch Christopher R.directorGift60093,762Form 4
2025-06-10Bakkala PeterofficerDiscretionary13,38931,010Form 4
2025-04-24Raza MuhammaddirectorAward / grant75,23775,237Form 4
2025-04-24Ayoub Paul J.directorAward / grant75,23775,307Form 4
2025-04-24Montgomery Kenneth C.directorAward / grant75,23775,337Form 4
2025-04-24CAMPANELLI JOSEPH PdirectorAward / grant274,146329,146Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.