Issued 2026-09-16 at $30.77 · now $30.77 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, MYE has typically landed between $26.40 and $36.50 — a range of −14.2% to +18.6% from the issuance price $30.77.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($30.77) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where MYE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $30.77 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $30.77 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $31.22 (+1.5%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $29.24–$33.2
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $26.4–$36.5
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2009-02-03 | −55.0% | −55.0% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-18 | −53.8% | −53.8% | +0.0% |
| 2008-11-04 | −51.9% | −51.9% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-03-12 | +147.3% | +0.0% | +147.3% |
| 2009-03-05 | +144.8% | +0.0% | +144.8% |
| 2009-03-17 | +133.8% | +0.0% | +138.6% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | Rutty Samantha | officer | Purchase | 3,000 @ $17.50 | $53K | ownership Δ n/a | +10.2% | +14.2% | 3,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-03 | Ludwig Helmuth | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $17.21 | $86K | +59.3% of holding | +1.9% | +8.2% | 13,436 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-03 | Bright Yvette Dapremont | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $17.45 | $17K | +3.6% of holding | +1.9% | +8.2% | 28,711 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-06 | Bright Yvette Dapremont | director | Purchase | 500 @ $11.44 | $6K | +1.8% of holding | +10.5% | +33.0% | 27,711 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-05 | Kramer Jeffrey | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $11.63 | $12K | +4.5% of holding | +10.4% | +36.7% | 23,328 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-13 | Schapper Aaron M | director | Purchase | 1,972 @ $12.67 | $25K | ownership Δ n/a | −18.8% | +8.7% | 1,972 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-12-09 | Basque Dave | officer | Purchase | 5,000 @ $12.41 | $62K | +14.6% of holding | −8.6% | +20.7% | 39,152 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-05 | Basque Dave | officer | Purchase | 5,000 @ $12.13 | $61K | +17.2% of holding | −5.9% | +21.7% | 34,152 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-05 | Lutey Lori A. | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $12.15 | $12K | +8.7% of holding | −5.9% | +21.7% | 12,500 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-03 | Basque Dave | officer | Purchase | 5,000 @ $11.33 | $57K | +20.7% of holding | −3.0% | +23.7% | 29,152 | Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
54 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | Warfield Patricia W | director | Award / grant | 5,135 | 5,135 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | Ludwig Helmuth | director | Award / grant | 5,135 | 18,571 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | Lutey Lori A. | director | Award / grant | 5,135 | 41,463 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | Bright Yvette Dapremont | director | Award / grant | 5,135 | 40,096 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | DEFEO RONALD M | director | Award / grant | 5,135 | 64,923 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | LIEBAU FREDERIC JACK JR | director | Award / grant | 5,135 | 68,378 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | LISMAN BRUCE M | director | Award / grant | 5,135 | 72,478 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | DEFEO RONALD M | director | Award / grant | 6,250 | 6,250 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | DEFEO RONALD M | director | Disposition | 6,250 | 59,788 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | DEFEO RONALD M | director | Disposition | 6,250 | 59,788 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | Schapper Aaron M | director | Withheld for tax | 9,979 | 18,035 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | Evans Lorelei | officer | Withheld for tax | 770 | 13,765 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | Evans Lorelei | officer | Withheld for tax | 509 | 11,936 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | Evans Lorelei | officer | Withheld for tax | 441 | 10,726 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | Schapper Aaron M | director | Option exercise | 26,042 | 28,014 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | Evans Lorelei | officer | Option exercise | 1,487 | 11,167 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | Evans Lorelei | officer | Option exercise | 1,719 | 12,445 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | Evans Lorelei | officer | Option exercise | 2,599 | 14,535 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | Evans Lorelei | officer | Option exercise | 1,487 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | Evans Lorelei | officer | Option exercise | 1,719 | 1,718 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | Evans Lorelei | officer | Option exercise | 2,599 | 5,198 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | Schapper Aaron M | director | Option exercise | 26,042 | 52,083 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-09 | Potts Karen | officer | Award / grant | 6,745 | 6,745 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-09 | Rutty Samantha | officer | Award / grant | 14,605 | 14,605 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-09 | Schapper Aaron M | director | Award / grant | 60,703 | 60,703 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-09 | Evans Lorelei | officer | Award / grant | 6,324 | 6,324 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-03 | Ludwig Helmuth | director | Award / grant | 3,436 | 8,436 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-22 | Rutty Samantha | officer | Award / grant | 19,221 | 19,221 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-05 | DEFEO RONALD M | director | Award / grant | 6,250 | 66,038 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-05 | LIEBAU FREDERIC JACK JR | director | Award / grant | 6,250 | 63,243 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-05 | FOLEY WILLIAM A | director | Award / grant | 6,250 | 53,681 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-05 | Bright Yvette Dapremont | director | Award / grant | 6,250 | 27,211 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-05 | Kramer Jeffrey | director | Award / grant | 6,250 | 29,578 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-05 | LISMAN BRUCE M | director | Award / grant | 6,250 | 67,343 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-05 | Lutey Lori A. | director | Award / grant | 6,250 | 36,328 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-16 | Baker Jeffrey Jon | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,880 | 26,054 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-16 | Grant Fitz E | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,443 | 12,702 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-16 | Baker Jeffrey Jon | officer | Withheld for tax | 806 | 29,731 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-16 | Baker Jeffrey Jon | officer | Withheld for tax | 730 | 27,802 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-16 | Baker Jeffrey Jon | officer | Withheld for tax | 697 | 22,662 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.