MXL · TickerCove

MXLMaxLinear, Inc.Technology · Semiconductorsas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $69.51 · now $69.51 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, MXL has typically landed between $49.89 and $91.62 — a range of −28.2% to +31.8% from the issuance price $69.51.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

4,124 overlapping 1 month windows · 2010-03-24 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($69.51) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$69.51 · 49% of range

$13.05 low$128.03 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−1.0%

typical move · IQR 24.8%

−28.2%worst (p90)+31.8%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where MXL has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $69.51 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $69.51 (+0.0%)
typical $68.85 (-1.0%)
middle 50% $60.22–$77.48
90% range $49.89–$91.62

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,124 windows spanning 2010-03-24 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-18	−56.5%	−56.5%	+0.2%
2024-07-16	−54.8%	−55.1%	+2.7%
2020-02-19	−51.5%	−56.6%	+0.0%
3 best
2026-04-08	+421.6%	+0.0%	+421.6%
2026-04-09	+415.5%	+0.0%	+415.5%
2026-04-02	+354.3%	+0.0%	+354.3%

4,124 overlapping windows · 2010-03-24 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~17 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

50%

+1.4%

n=16

Feb

50%

−1.0%

n=16

Mar

50%

−3.9%

n=16

Apr

47%

+16.9%

n=17

May

59%

+3.8%

n=17

Jun

65%

+6.4%

n=17

Jul

35%

−4.3%

n=17

Aug

29%

−2.0%

n=17

Sep

53%

+2.7%

n=17

Oct

38%

−3.4%

n=16

Nov

81%

+8.1%

n=16

Dec

69%

+6.1%

n=16

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-17	SEENDRIPU KISHORE	director	Sale	72,298 @ $86.49	$6.3M	−82.3% of holding	−15.6%	not yet — horizon still open	15,574	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-17	SEENDRIPU KISHORE	director	Sale	71,163 @ $86.47	$6.2M	−80.0% of holding	−15.6%	not yet — horizon still open	17,822	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-17	SEENDRIPU KISHORE	director	Sale	68,976 @ $85.43	$5.9M	−43.7% of holding	−15.6%	not yet — horizon still open	88,985	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-17	SEENDRIPU KISHORE	director	Sale	68,482 @ $85.44	$5.9M	−43.8% of holding	−15.6%	not yet — horizon still open	87,872	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-17	SEENDRIPU KISHORE	director	Sale	19,373 @ $84.65	$1.6M	−11.0% of holding	−15.6%	not yet — horizon still open	156,354	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-17	SEENDRIPU KISHORE	director	Sale	17,766 @ $84.63	$1.5M	−10.1% of holding	−15.6%	not yet — horizon still open	157,961	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-17	SEENDRIPU KISHORE	director	Sale	13,919 @ $87.12	$1.2M	−78.1% of holding	−15.6%	not yet — horizon still open	3,903	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-17	SEENDRIPU KISHORE	director	Sale	13,289 @ $87.11	$1.2M	−85.3% of holding	−15.6%	not yet — horizon still open	2,285	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-17	SEENDRIPU KISHORE	director	Sale	3,903 @ $88.16	$344K	−100.0% of holding	−15.6%	not yet — horizon still open	0	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-17	SEENDRIPU KISHORE	director	Sale	2,285 @ $88.14	$201K	−100.0% of holding	−15.6%	not yet — horizon still open	0	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-14	SEENDRIPU KISHORE	director	Sale	77,515 @ $84.84	$6.6M	−29.9% of holding	−18.4%	not yet — horizon still open	181,469	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-14	SEENDRIPU KISHORE	director	Sale	77,501 @ $84.54	$6.6M	−29.8% of holding	−18.4%	not yet — horizon still open	182,263	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-14	SEENDRIPU KISHORE	director	Sale	36,743 @ $83.31	$3.1M	−12.4% of holding	−18.4%	not yet — horizon still open	258,984	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-14	SEENDRIPU KISHORE	director	Sale	35,963 @ $83.31	$3.0M	−12.2% of holding	−18.4%	not yet — horizon still open	259,764	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-14	SEENDRIPU KISHORE	director	Sale	6,536 @ $84.87	$555K	−3.6% of holding	−18.4%	not yet — horizon still open	175,727	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-14	SEENDRIPU KISHORE	director	Sale	5,742 @ $84.86	$487K	−3.2% of holding	−18.4%	not yet — horizon still open	175,727	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-26	PARDUN THOMAS E	director	Sale	11,000 @ $105.00	$1.2M	−16.6% of holding	+0.2%	not yet — horizon still open	55,252	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-08	Kwong Connie H.	officer	Sale	28,461 @ $96.92	$2.8M	−67.1% of holding	−27.2%	not yet — horizon still open	13,947	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-08	Kwong Connie H.	officer	Sale	6,539 @ $97.15	$635K	−13.4% of holding	−27.2%	not yet — horizon still open	42,408	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-05	Tewksbury Ted L III	director	Sale	3,935 @ $80.00	$315K	−4.7% of holding	+10.7%	not yet — horizon still open	80,076	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-04	MOYER ALBERT J	director	Sale	15,741 @ $78.00	$1.2M	−17.8% of holding	+11.9%	not yet — horizon still open	72,793	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-04	ARTUSI DANIEL A	director	Sale	10,500 @ $78.64	$826K	−37.7% of holding	+11.9%	not yet — horizon still open	17,382	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-04	BEAVER CAROLYN	director	Sale	6,000 @ $76.96	$462K	−15.3% of holding	+11.9%	not yet — horizon still open	33,316	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-04	Tewksbury Ted L III	director	Sale	3,935 @ $77.36	$304K	−4.5% of holding	+11.9%	not yet — horizon still open	84,011	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-01	Tewksbury Ted L III	director	Sale	2,790 @ $78.67	$219K	−3.7% of holding	+9.6%	not yet — horizon still open	72,205	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-29	Kwong Connie H.	officer	Sale	4,118 @ $58.00	$239K	−7.8% of holding	+31.3%	not yet — horizon still open	48,947	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-27	Kwong Connie H.	officer	Sale	15,050 @ $51.29	$772K	−22.1% of holding	+90.8%	not yet — horizon still open	53,065	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-06	LITCHFIELD STEVEN G	officer	Sale	20,000 @ $15.68	$314K	−5.5% of holding	+18.8%	+308.5%	343,435	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-05	LITCHFIELD STEVEN G	officer	Sale	4,929 @ $16.81	$83K	−1.3% of holding	+15.6%	+269.2%	363,435	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-04	LITCHFIELD STEVEN G	officer	Sale	20,000 @ $17.50	$350K	−5.1% of holding	+7.2%	+227.8%	368,364	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-30	ARTUSI DANIEL A	director	Sale	20,747 @ $15.39	$319K	−63.1% of holding	+5.4%	+428.5%	12,141	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-10-29	ARTUSI DANIEL A	director	Sale	9,055 @ $15.87	$144K	−21.6% of holding	+2.9%	+408.6%	32,888	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-26	LITCHFIELD STEVEN G	officer	Sale	100,880 @ $17.28	$1.7M	−24.3% of holding	−9.6%	−3.4%	313,480	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-26	LITCHFIELD STEVEN G	officer	Sale	1,277 @ $17.32	$22K	−0.4% of holding	−9.6%	−3.4%	312,203	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-02	Tewksbury Ted L III	director	Sale	6,071 @ $10.40	$63K	−7.5% of holding	+7.5%	+20.7%	74,995	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2024-12-13	LITCHFIELD STEVEN G	officer	Sale	31,954 @ $20.35	$650K	−8.0% of holding	+11.1%	−36.1%	365,868	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2024-12-13	LITCHFIELD STEVEN G	officer	Sale	46 @ $20.49	$943	−0.0% of holding	+11.1%	−36.1%	397,822	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2024-12-11	MOYER ALBERT J	director	Sale	9,170 @ $19.00	$174K	−13.1% of holding	+15.1%	−34.8%	60,652	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-04	Kwong Connie H.	officer	Sale	5,000 @ $18.61	$93K	−9.2% of holding	+7.6%	−34.2%	49,147	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

124 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-31	Kwong Connie H.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,110	19,372	Form 4
2026-08-31	Kwong Connie H.	officer	Option exercise	1,110	0	Form 4
2026-08-31	Kwong Connie H.	officer	Option exercise	1,110	20,482	Form 4
2026-08-31	Kwong Connie H.	officer	Option exercise	1,110	20,482	Form 4
2026-08-31	Kwong Connie H.	officer	Option exercise	1,110	20,482	Form 4
2026-08-31	Kwong Connie H.	officer	Option exercise	1,110	20,482	Form 4
2026-05-25	Kwong Connie H.	officer	Withheld for tax	3,713	18,356	Form 4
2026-05-25	Kwong Connie H.	officer	Option exercise	3,713	22,069	Form 4
2026-05-25	Kwong Connie H.	officer	Option exercise	3,713	13,608	Form 4
2026-05-20	SEENDRIPU KISHORE	director	Withheld for tax	33,682	924,083	Form 4
2026-05-20	BEAVER CAROLYN	director	Award / grant	1,963	1,963	Form 4
2026-05-20	SEENDRIPU KISHORE	director	Option exercise	33,682	957,765	Form 4
2026-05-20	SEENDRIPU KISHORE	director	Option exercise	33,682	132,400	Form 4
2026-05-20	MOYER ALBERT J	director	Option exercise	6,217	0	Form 4
2026-05-20	MOYER ALBERT J	director	Option exercise	4,138	0	Form 4
2026-05-20	Dougherty Greg	director	Award / grant	1,963	1,963	Form 4
2026-05-20	MOYER ALBERT J	director	Option exercise	40,336	113,129	Form 4
2026-05-20	MOYER ALBERT J	director	Option exercise	8,748	0	Form 4
2026-05-20	MOYER ALBERT J	director	Option exercise	6,545	0	Form 4
2026-05-20	MOYER ALBERT J	director	Option exercise	7,890	0	Form 4
2026-05-20	MOYER ALBERT J	director	Option exercise	1,165	0	Form 4
2026-05-20	MOYER ALBERT J	director	Option exercise	5,633	0	Form 4
2026-05-20	ARTUSI DANIEL A	director	Award / grant	1,963	1,963	Form 4
2026-05-20	PARDUN THOMAS E	director	Award / grant	1,963	1,963	Form 4
2026-05-20	Sennesael Kris	director	Award / grant	1,963	1,963	Form 4
2026-05-20	Tewksbury Ted L III	director	Award / grant	1,963	1,963	Form 4
2026-05-01	Sennesael Kris	director	Option exercise	2,052	0	Form 4
2026-05-01	Sennesael Kris	director	Option exercise	2,052	2,052	Form 4
2026-05-01	BEAVER CAROLYN	director	Option exercise	15,741	0	Form 4
2026-05-01	BEAVER CAROLYN	director	Option exercise	15,741	39,316	Form 4
2026-05-01	Tewksbury Ted L III	director	Option exercise	15,741	0	Form 4
2026-05-01	Tewksbury Ted L III	director	Option exercise	15,741	87,946	Form 4
2026-05-01	ARTUSI DANIEL A	director	Option exercise	15,741	27,882	Form 4
2026-05-01	ARTUSI DANIEL A	director	Option exercise	15,741	0	Form 4
2026-05-01	MOYER ALBERT J	director	Option exercise	15,741	88,534	Form 4
2026-05-01	MOYER ALBERT J	director	Option exercise	15,741	0	Form 4
2026-03-02	SEENDRIPU KISHORE	director	Withheld for tax	90,426	891,565	Form 4
2026-03-02	SEENDRIPU KISHORE	director	Withheld for tax	31,048	845,603	Form 4
2026-03-02	SEENDRIPU KISHORE	director	Withheld for tax	27,421	818,182	Form 4
2026-03-02	Kwong Connie H.	officer	Withheld for tax	6,231	68,115	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i