Issued 2026-09-16 at $1.18 · now $1.18 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, MXCT has typically landed between $0.87 and $1.48 — a range of −26.5% to +25.3% from the issuance price $1.18.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,267 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-07-30 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($1.18) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where MXCT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $1.18 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $1.18 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $1.13 (-3.9%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $0.9978–$1.27
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $0.8678–$1.48
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-01-02 | −47.4% | −47.4% | +0.0% |
| 2026-01-07 | −46.5% | −46.5% | +0.0% |
| 2026-01-12 | −46.3% | −46.3% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2023-10-30 | +64.5% | +0.0% | +64.5% |
| 2023-10-27 | +61.4% | +0.0% | +61.4% |
| 2023-10-31 | +60.5% | +0.0% | +64.5% |
1,267 overlapping windows · 2021-07-30 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | Swirsky Douglas J | director | Sale | 10,142 @ $0.81 | $8K | −6.3% of holding | −3.0% | +34.5% | 151,669 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-13 | Erck Stanley C | director | Purchase | 100,000 @ $1.37 | $137K | +33.5% of holding | +3.1% | −53.1% | 398,328 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-13 | DOUGLAS RICHARD | director | Purchase | 80,000 @ $1.39 | $111K | +53.1% of holding | +3.1% | −53.1% | 230,577 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-13 | Masoud Maher | director | Purchase | 75,000 @ $1.37 | $103K | +75.0% of holding | +3.1% | −53.1% | 175,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-13 | Brooke William W | director | Purchase | 50,000 @ $1.29 | $65K | +49.6% of holding | +3.1% | −53.1% | 150,879 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-13 | Swirsky Douglas J | director | Purchase | 50,000 @ $1.29 | $65K | +44.7% of holding | +3.1% | −53.1% | 161,811 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-25 | Hemrajani Rekha | director | Sale | 10,684 @ $2.09 | $22K | −21.1% of holding | −4.0% | −44.5% | 39,893 | Form 4 · filed 63 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-18 | Swirsky Douglas J | director | Sale | 6,939 @ $3.18 | $22K | −5.8% of holding | −14.0% | −71.2% | 111,811 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-18 | Soleymannezhad Ali | officer | Sale | 1,211 @ $3.18 | $4K | −2.0% of holding | −14.0% | −71.2% | 59,439 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-18 | Sandoval David I. | officer | Sale | 353 @ $3.18 | $1K | −0.5% of holding | −14.0% | −71.2% | 64,219 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-27 | Johnston John Joseph | director | Sale | 3,000 @ $4.64 | $14K | −2.1% of holding | −20.9% | −59.7% | 141,950 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-13 | Sandoval David I. | officer | Sale | 4,466 @ $4.54 | $20K | −9.7% of holding | −18.2% | −64.8% | 41,447 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-26 | Johnston John Joseph | director | Sale | 3,000 @ $4.01 | $12K | −2.1% of holding | +13.9% | −50.0% | 141,950 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-09 | Johnston John Joseph | director | Sale | 2,495 @ $3.79 | $9K | −1.7% of holding | +9.2% | −46.0% | 141,950 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-06 | Johnston John Joseph | director | Sale | 505 @ $3.70 | $2K | −0.4% of holding | +29.6% | −35.7% | 141,950 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
55 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Al-Wakeel Yasir B. | director | Award / grant | 30,421 | 80,998 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Al-Wakeel Yasir B. | director | Award / grant | 49,579 | 49,579 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | BALTHROP PATRICK J | director | Award / grant | 30,421 | 80,998 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | BALTHROP PATRICK J | director | Award / grant | 49,579 | 49,579 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Brooke William W | director | Award / grant | 30,421 | 181,300 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Brooke William W | director | Award / grant | 49,579 | 49,579 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Collins Cynthia | director | Award / grant | 30,421 | 111,310 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Collins Cynthia | director | Award / grant | 49,579 | 49,579 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | DOUGLAS RICHARD | director | Award / grant | 30,421 | 260,998 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | DOUGLAS RICHARD | director | Award / grant | 49,579 | 49,579 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Erck Stanley C | director | Award / grant | 30,421 | 428,749 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Erck Stanley C | director | Award / grant | 49,579 | 49,579 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Hemrajani Rekha | director | Award / grant | 30,421 | 70,314 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Hemrajani Rekha | director | Award / grant | 49,579 | 49,579 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Johnston John Joseph | director | Award / grant | 30,421 | 201,581 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Johnston John Joseph | director | Award / grant | 49,579 | 49,579 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | Ahuja Parmeet | officer | Award / grant | 187,500 | 187,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-30 | Ahuja Parmeet | officer | Award / grant | 375,000 | 375,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-27 | Masoud Maher | director | Award / grant | 300,000 | 475,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-27 | Masoud Maher | director | Award / grant | 600,000 | 600,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-18 | Johnston John Joseph | director | Award / grant | 29,210 | 171,160 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-18 | Johnston John Joseph | director | Award / grant | 50,790 | 50,790 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-18 | Al-Wakeel Yasir B. | director | Award / grant | 29,210 | 50,577 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-18 | Al-Wakeel Yasir B. | director | Award / grant | 50,790 | 50,790 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-18 | BALTHROP PATRICK J | director | Award / grant | 29,210 | 50,577 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-18 | BALTHROP PATRICK J | director | Award / grant | 50,790 | 50,790 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-18 | Brooke William W | director | Award / grant | 29,210 | 100,879 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-18 | Brooke William W | director | Award / grant | 50,790 | 50,790 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-18 | Collins Cynthia | director | Award / grant | 29,210 | 80,889 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-18 | Collins Cynthia | director | Award / grant | 50,790 | 50,790 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-18 | DOUGLAS RICHARD | director | Award / grant | 29,210 | 150,577 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-18 | DOUGLAS RICHARD | director | Award / grant | 50,790 | 50,790 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-18 | Erck Stanley C | director | Award / grant | 29,210 | 298,328 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-18 | Erck Stanley C | director | Award / grant | 50,790 | 50,790 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-18 | Hemrajani Rekha | director | Award / grant | 29,210 | 50,577 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-18 | Hemrajani Rekha | director | Award / grant | 50,790 | 50,790 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-14 | Sandoval David I. | officer | Award / grant | 92,500 | 92,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-14 | Sandoval David I. | officer | Award / grant | 23,125 | 64,572 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-14 | Swirsky Douglas J | director | Award / grant | 37,500 | 118,750 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-14 | Swirsky Douglas J | director | Award / grant | 150,000 | 150,000 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.