MX · TickerCove

MXMagnaChip SemiconductorTechnology · Semiconductorsas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $2.78 · now $2.78 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, MX has typically landed between $2.12 and $3.42 — a range of −23.6% to +22.9% from the issuance price $2.78.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

3,881 overlapping 1 month windows · 2011-03-11 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($2.78) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$2.78 · 8% of range

$2.27 low$8.93 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−3.0%

typical move · IQR 16.6%

−23.6%worst (p90)+22.9%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where MX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $2.78 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $2.78 (+0.0%)
typical $2.7 (-3.0%)
middle 50% $2.47–$2.93
90% range $2.12–$3.42

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,881 windows spanning 2011-03-11 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2015-02-05	−65.8%	−65.8%	+0.0%
2015-02-12	−65.5%	−65.5%	+0.0%
2015-02-04	−65.3%	−65.3%	+0.9%
3 best
2026-04-29	+165.1%	+0.0%	+165.1%
2026-05-04	+150.8%	+0.0%	+150.8%
2026-04-30	+130.3%	+0.0%	+158.8%

3,881 overlapping windows · 2011-03-11 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~16 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

67%

+7.4%

n=15

Feb

40%

−4.1%

n=15

Mar

47%

+1.9%

n=15

Apr

50%

+0.4%

n=16

May

63%

+13.7%

n=16

Jun

56%

−1.4%

n=16

Jul

69%

+1.3%

n=16

Aug

25%

−2.2%

n=16

Sep

25%

−5.4%

n=16

Oct

20%

−4.7%

n=15

Nov

60%

+0.7%

n=15

Dec

33%

−0.4%

n=15

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-03-16	NATHAN GILBERT E	director	Purchase	21,994 @ $2.87	$63K	+16.1% of holding	+6.3%	−15.9%	158,200	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-13	NATHAN GILBERT E	director	Purchase	13,006 @ $2.79	$36K	+10.6% of holding	+4.4%	−13.4%	136,206	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-12	NATHAN GILBERT E	director	Purchase	25,000 @ $2.75	$69K	+25.5% of holding	+7.9%	−8.5%	123,200	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-25	Park Shinyoung	officer	Purchase	10,000 @ $2.87	$29K	+4.1% of holding	+12.3%	−14.1%	251,786	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-22	MARTINO CAMILLO	director	Purchase	30,000 @ $2.84	$85K	+13.1% of holding	+11.4%	−15.2%	259,127	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-14	Lee Ilbok	director	Purchase	20,000 @ $3.86	$77K	+10.0% of holding	−22.6%	−36.4%	219,181	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-13	NATHAN GILBERT E	director	Purchase	20,000 @ $3.68	$74K	+25.6% of holding	−20.4%	−34.7%	98,200	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-13	MARTINO CAMILLO	director	Purchase	20,000 @ $3.66	$73K	+100.0% of holding	−20.4%	−34.7%	40,000	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

53 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-15	MARTINO CAMILLO	director	Award / grant	6,764	410,661	Form 4
2026-08-01	Amoruso Cristiano	director	Award / grant	46,429	75,057	Form 4
2026-08-01	Chung Kyo-Hwa Liz	director	Award / grant	48,810	149,599	Form 4
2026-08-01	NATHAN GILBERT E	director	Award / grant	51,191	265,682	Form 4
2026-08-01	MARTINO CAMILLO	director	Award / grant	39,286	403,897	Form 4
2026-07-01	LEE CHAE	director	Award / grant	288,750	288,750	Form 4
2026-07-01	LEE CHAE	director	Award / grant	148,750	148,750	Form 4
2026-06-01	Lee Seunghoon	officer	Award / grant	30,000	158,201	Form 4
2026-06-01	Park Shinyoung	officer	Award / grant	112,500	327,954	Form 4
2026-02-15	Amoruso Cristiano	director	Award / grant	28,628	28,628	Form 4
2026-02-15	Chung Kyo-Hwa Liz	director	Award / grant	2,946	100,789	Form 4
2026-02-15	NATHAN GILBERT E	director	Award / grant	1,478	214,491	Form 4
2025-12-31	Park Shinyoung	officer	Withheld for tax	17,977	215,454	Form 4
2025-12-31	Park Shinyoung	officer	Withheld for tax	12,234	233,431	Form 4
2025-12-31	Lee Seunghoon	officer	Award / grant	7,000	143,953	Form 4
2025-12-31	Park Shinyoung	officer	Withheld for tax	6,121	245,665	Form 4
2025-12-31	Lee Seunghoon	officer	Withheld for tax	4,880	128,201	Form 4
2025-12-31	Lee Seunghoon	officer	Withheld for tax	4,761	133,081	Form 4
2025-12-31	Lee Seunghoon	officer	Withheld for tax	3,333	140,620	Form 4
2025-12-31	Lee Seunghoon	officer	Withheld for tax	2,778	137,842	Form 4
2025-11-15	Chung Kyo-Hwa Liz	director	Award / grant	3,160	97,843	Form 4
2025-11-15	NATHAN GILBERT E	director	Award / grant	6,320	213,013	Form 4
2025-10-01	MARTINO CAMILLO	director	Award / grant	105,484	364,611	Form 4
2025-08-15	Lee Seunghoon	officer	Award / grant	15,375	15,375	Form 4
2025-08-15	Lee Seunghoon	officer	Award / grant	30,750	136,953	Form 4
2025-07-01	Lee Ilbok	director	Award / grant	55,845	275,026	Form 4
2025-07-01	NATHAN GILBERT E	director	Award / grant	50,650	206,693	Form 4
2025-07-01	Chung Kyo-Hwa Liz	director	Award / grant	45,455	94,683	Form 4
2025-07-01	MARTINO CAMILLO	director	Award / grant	53,247	229,127	Form 4
2025-06-15	Chung Kyo-Hwa Liz	director	Disposition	15,814	49,228	Form 4
2025-06-01	Park Shinyoung	officer	Award / grant	55,104	55,104	Form 4
2025-06-01	Kim Young-Joon	director	Award / grant	164,269	590,970	Form 4
2025-06-01	Kim Young-Joon	director	Award / grant	164,269	164,269	Form 4
2025-06-01	Park Shinyoung	officer	Award / grant	110,210	241,786	Form 4
2025-03-01	Lee Seunghoon	officer	Award / grant	7,000	109,379	Form 4
2025-03-01	Yang Jinseok	officer	Award / grant	7,000	73,909	Form 4
2025-03-01	Lee Seunghoon	officer	Withheld for tax	3,176	106,203	Form 4
2025-03-01	Yang Jinseok	officer	Withheld for tax	3,167	70,742	Form 4
2024-12-31	Kim Young-Joon	director	Withheld for tax	17,632	635,274	Form 4
2024-12-31	Kim Young-Joon	director	Withheld for tax	15,517	619,757	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i