MTZMasTec, Inc.Industrials · Engineering & Constructionas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $225.62 · now $225.62 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, MTZ has typically landed between $181.79 and $276.64 — a range of −19.4% to +22.6% from the issuance price $225.62.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($225.62) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where MTZ has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $225.62 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$181.79worst · -19.4%$276.64best · +22.6%
  • now $225.62 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $230.46 (+2.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $210.81–$250.11
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $181.79–$276.64
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−61.4%−61.4%+1.7%
2020-02-21−57.8%−62.1%+0.0%
2020-02-20−56.5%−62.0%+0.1%
3 best
2008-11-28+68.3%+0.0%+68.3%
2008-12-01+68.1%+0.0%+68.1%
2008-12-02+65.3%+0.0%+65.3%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
45%
−0.3%
n=20
Feb
65%
+4.9%
n=20
Mar
55%
+2.3%
n=20
Apr
50%
+1.8%
n=20
May
60%
+7.0%
n=20
Jun
50%
+0.6%
n=20
Jul
50%
−0.5%
n=20
Aug
45%
+0.8%
n=20
Sep
50%
−1.0%
n=20
Oct
45%
+2.0%
n=20
Nov
75%
+2.5%
n=20
Dec
65%
+5.8%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$438$1732026-06-03: 1 insider sale, $2.4M — Csiszar Ernst N2026-05-04: 1 insider sale, $1.3M — Campbell C Robert2026-03-25: 1 insider sale, $309K — Palomarez Javier Alberto2026-03-03: 1 insider sale, $2.0M — Csiszar Ernst N2025-11-03: 1 insider sale, $398K — Love Timothy Michael2025-09-29: 1 insider sale, $421K — Campbell C Robert2025-09-18: 2 insider sales, $2.0M — Apple Robert E …2025-09-11: 1 insider sale, $571K — Campbell C Robert2025-08: 2 open-market sales, $1.8M2025-09: 4 open-market sales, $3.0M2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $398K2026-03: 2 open-market sales, $2.3M2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $1.3M2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $2.4M↑ buys↓ salesdirector Csiszar Ernst N — Sale on 2026-06-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Campbell C Robert — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Palomarez Javier Alberto — Sale on 2026-03-25, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Csiszar Ernst N — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Love Timothy Michael — Sale on 2025-11-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Campbell C Robert — Sale on 2025-09-29, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Apple Robert E — Sale on 2025-09-18, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Apple Robert E — Sale on 2025-09-18, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Campbell C Robert — Sale on 2025-09-11, filed 5 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-06-03Csiszar Ernst NdirectorSale6,500 @ $371.17$2.4M−37.5% of holding+3.1%not yet — horizon still open10,816Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-04Campbell C RobertdirectorSale3,000 @ $417.00$1.3M−8.9% of holding−18.1%not yet — horizon still open30,646Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-25Palomarez Javier AlbertodirectorSale950 @ $325.43$309K−8.2% of holding+7.6%not yet — horizon still open10,592Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-03Csiszar Ernst NdirectorSale6,500 @ $300.40$2.0M−27.4% of holding+14.4%−33.5%17,235Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-03Love Timothy MichaelofficerSale1,929 @ $206.15$398K−16.5% of holding+8.2%+106.9%9,757Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-29Campbell C RobertdirectorSale2,000 @ $210.39$421K−5.7% of holding−2.3%+55.0%33,277Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-18Apple Robert EofficerSale9,900 @ $200.43$2.0M−5.1% of holding+0.6%+51.9%184,349Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-18Apple Robert EofficerSale100 @ $201.06$20K−0.1% of holding+0.6%+51.9%184,249Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-11Campbell C RobertdirectorSale3,000 @ $190.39$571K−7.8% of holding+3.8%+52.0%35,277Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-08-05de Cardenas AlbertoofficerSale9,900 @ $180.69$1.8M−8.9% of holding−0.7%+22.6%101,349Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-05de Cardenas AlbertoofficerSale100 @ $180.69$18K−0.1% of holding−0.7%+22.6%111,249Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-16Apple Robert EofficerSale10,000 @ $175.00$1.8M−4.9% of holding−1.2%+18.4%194,249Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-13Campbell C RobertdirectorSale2,000 @ $155.00$310K−5.0% of holding+1.3%+9.0%37,782Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-12Campbell C RobertdirectorSale3,000 @ $153.89$462K−7.0% of holding+3.5%+14.1%39,782Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-24Csiszar Ernst NdirectorSale2,517 @ $131.63$331K−9.9% of holding−3.3%+40.4%23,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-04Palomarez Javier AlbertodirectorSale200 @ $143.00$29K−1.8% of holding+5.2%+14.1%10,633Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

116 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-14Csiszar Ernst NdirectorWithheld for tax3410,934Form 4
2026-08-14Palomarez Javier AlbertodirectorWithheld for tax3110,774Form 4
2026-08-14Dwyer Robert JdirectorWithheld for tax3120,960Form 4
2026-08-14Parker Ava LdirectorWithheld for tax205,549Form 4
2026-08-14Spiro AlexdirectorAward / grant139139Form 4
2026-08-14Parker Ava LdirectorAward / grant1775,569Form 4
2026-08-14JOHNSON JULIA LdirectorAward / grant13973,474Form 4
2026-08-14Campbell C RobertdirectorAward / grant13930,880Form 4
2026-08-14Csiszar Ernst NdirectorAward / grant15210,968Form 4
2026-08-14Dwyer Robert JdirectorAward / grant13920,991Form 4
2026-08-14Miranda Manuel BenitodirectorAward / grant152152Form 4
2026-08-14Palomarez Javier AlbertodirectorAward / grant13910,805Form 4
2026-08-11MAS JORGEdirectorOther acquisition1,099,3350Form 4
2026-08-11MAS JOSE RAMONdirectorOther acquisition340,794340,794Form 4
2026-08-11MAS JOSE RAMONdirectorOther acquisition340,7940Form 4
2026-08-11MAS JORGEdirectorOther acquisition1,099,3351,099,335Form 4
2026-08-11MAS JORGEdirectorOther acquisition1,099,3350Form 4
2026-08-11MAS JORGEdirectorOther acquisition1,099,3351,099,335Form 4
2026-08-11MAS JOSE RAMONdirectorOther acquisition340,7940Form 4
2026-08-11MAS JOSE RAMONdirectorOther acquisition340,794340,794Form 4
2026-08-11MAS JORGEdirectorOther acquisition1,099,3350Form 4
2026-08-11MAS JORGEdirectorOther acquisition1,099,3351,099,335Form 4
2026-08-11MAS JOSE RAMONdirectorOther acquisition340,7940Form 4
2026-08-11MAS JOSE RAMONdirectorOther acquisition340,794340,794Form 4
2026-08-11MAS JORGEdirectorOther acquisition1,099,3350Form 4
2026-08-11MAS JOSE RAMONdirectorOther acquisition340,794340,794Form 4
2026-08-11MAS JOSE RAMONdirectorOther acquisition340,7940Form 4
2026-08-11MAS JORGEdirectorOther acquisition1,099,3351,099,335Form 4
2026-05-15Csiszar Ernst NdirectorWithheld for tax2317,316Form 4
2026-05-15Dwyer Robert JdirectorWithheld for tax2120,852Form 4
2026-05-15Palomarez Javier AlbertodirectorWithheld for tax2110,666Form 4
2026-05-15Parker Ava LdirectorWithheld for tax145,392Form 4
2026-05-15Palomarez Javier AlbertodirectorAward / grant9510,687Form 4
2026-05-15Parker Ava LdirectorAward / grant1215,406Form 4
2026-05-15Dwyer Robert JdirectorAward / grant9520,873Form 4
2026-05-15Campbell C RobertdirectorAward / grant9530,741Form 4
2026-05-15Csiszar Ernst NdirectorAward / grant10417,339Form 4
2026-03-18MAS JOSE RAMONdirectorAward / grant26,3973,254,461Form 4
2026-03-18Apple Robert EofficerAward / grant11,548183,591Form 4
2026-03-18DiMarco PaulofficerAward / grant9,07466,627Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.