MTUSMetallus Inc.Basic Materials · Steelas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $19.28 · now $19.28 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, MTUS has typically landed between $16.04 and $23.07 — a range of −16.8% to +19.6% from the issuance price $19.28.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

3,057 overlapping 1 month windows · 2014-06-19 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($19.28) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where MTUS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $19.28 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$16.04worst · -16.8%$23.07best · +19.6%
  • now $19.28 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $19.43 (+0.8%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $17.94–$20.92
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $16.04–$23.07
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,057 windows spanning 2014-06-19 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2015-12-09−53.1%−53.1%+8.2%
2015-12-10−49.9%−54.5%+5.0%
2015-12-11−48.9%−49.4%+16.6%
3 best
2021-02-10+114.5%+0.0%+114.5%
2021-02-05+114.0%+0.0%+114.0%
2021-02-09+108.0%−0.9%+108.0%

3,057 overlapping windows · 2014-06-19 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~13 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
58%
−1.1%
n=12
Feb
58%
+11.2%
n=12
Mar
42%
−0.2%
n=12
Apr
42%
+0.6%
n=12
May
67%
+2.3%
n=12
Jun
50%
+3.1%
n=12
Jul
62%
−1.1%
n=13
Aug
38%
−6.0%
n=13
Sep
38%
−1.9%
n=13
Oct
42%
−2.5%
n=12
Nov
58%
+7.5%
n=12
Dec
50%
+1.0%
n=12

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$22$152026-02-04: 2 insider sales, $337K — Williams Michael S, WESTBROOKS KRISTOPHER R2026-02-03: 2 insider sales, $462K — Williams Michael S, WESTBROOKS KRISTOPHER R2026-01-15: 2 insider sales, $15K — Williams Michael S, WESTBROOKS KRISTOPHER R2026-01-14: 1 insider sale, $219K — WESTBROOKS KRISTOPHER R2026-01-09: 1 insider sale, $92K — Williams Michael S2026-01-08: 1 insider sale, $276K — Williams Michael S2025-12-18: 1 insider sale, $107K — Williams Michael S2025-12-17: 1 insider sale, $160K — Williams Michael S2025-12: 2 open-market sales, $267K2026-01: 5 open-market sales, $603K2026-02: 4 open-market sales, $799K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Williams Michael S — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed same dayofficer WESTBROOKS KRISTOPHER R — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed same daydirector Williams Michael S — Sale on 2026-02-03, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer WESTBROOKS KRISTOPHER R — Sale on 2026-02-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Williams Michael S — Sale on 2026-01-15, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer WESTBROOKS KRISTOPHER R — Sale on 2026-01-15, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer WESTBROOKS KRISTOPHER R — Sale on 2026-01-14, filed same daydirector Williams Michael S — Sale on 2026-01-09, filed same daydirector Williams Michael S — Sale on 2026-01-08, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Williams Michael S — Sale on 2025-12-18, filed same daydirector Williams Michael S — Sale on 2025-12-17, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-02-04Williams Michael SdirectorSale13,713 @ $21.28$292K−2.0% of holding−19.0%−12.3%664,040Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-04WESTBROOKS KRISTOPHER RofficerSale2,128 @ $21.28$45K−1.1% of holding−19.0%−12.3%189,076Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-03Williams Michael SdirectorSale19,017 @ $21.03$400K−2.7% of holding−14.2%−9.5%677,753Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-03WESTBROOKS KRISTOPHER RofficerSale2,951 @ $21.03$62K−1.5% of holding−14.2%−9.5%189,076Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-15Williams Michael SdirectorSale603 @ $21.00$13K−0.1% of holding+2.4%−15.8%696,770Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-15WESTBROOKS KRISTOPHER RofficerSale93 @ $21.00$2K−0.0% of holding+2.4%−15.8%189,076Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-14WESTBROOKS KRISTOPHER RofficerSale10,932 @ $20.06$219K−5.5% of holding+3.6%−12.4%189,076Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-09Williams Michael SdirectorSale4,835 @ $19.11$92K−0.7% of holding+8.6%−8.9%697,373Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-08Williams Michael SdirectorSale14,462 @ $19.10$276K−2.0% of holding+11.2%−6.8%702,208Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-18Williams Michael SdirectorSale5,609 @ $19.07$107K−0.8% of holding+7.0%−6.3%716,670Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-17Williams Michael SdirectorSale8,428 @ $19.04$160K−1.2% of holding+1.9%−8.2%722,279Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-23Yacobozzi Nicholas AofficerSale21,974 @ $18.00$396K−31.0% of holding−10.4%+5.4%48,889Form 4 · filed same day
2025-07-23SYRVALIN KRISTINE CofficerSale7,500 @ $18.00$135K−7.7% of holding−10.4%+5.4%89,910Form 4 · filed same day
2025-07-23WESTBROOKS KRISTOPHER RofficerSale4,000 @ $18.00$72K−2.0% of holding−10.4%+5.4%193,076Form 4 · filed same day
2025-07-02SYRVALIN KRISTINE CofficerSale7,500 @ $16.00$120K−7.1% of holding−9.4%−7.0%97,410Form 4 · filed same day
2025-07-02WESTBROOKS KRISTOPHER RofficerSale4,000 @ $16.00$64K−2.0% of holding−9.4%−7.0%197,076Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

83 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-30Garcia Ken VdirectorAward / grant1,47127,776Form 4
2026-06-16Zaranec John MofficerWithheld for tax5,19845,862Form 4
2026-04-30Chirekos Nicholas J.directorAward / grant7,09036,170Form 4
2026-04-30Baker Mary EllendirectorAward / grant7,09036,170Form 4
2026-04-30Jones Ellis AllendirectorAward / grant7,09042,955Form 4
2026-04-30Miller Melissa MdirectorAward / grant7,09022,165Form 4
2026-04-30WOTRING RANDALL AdirectorAward / grant7,090128,235Form 4
2026-04-30Misheff Donald TdirectorAward / grant7,090123,957Form 4
2026-04-30Rankin Jamy P.directorAward / grant7,09027,365Form 4
2026-04-30Garcia Ken VdirectorAward / grant7,09095,955Form 4
2026-04-30Edwards Randall HdirectorAward / grant7,090120,555Form 4
2026-04-30RICE RONALD AdirectorAward / grant7,090151,818Form 4
2026-03-31Garcia Ken VdirectorAward / grant1,68326,305Form 4
2026-03-02WESTBROOKS KRISTOPHER RofficerAward / grant29,100214,077Form 4
2026-03-02Yacobozzi Nicholas AofficerAward / grant6,50054,043Form 4
2026-03-02SYRVALIN KRISTINE CofficerAward / grant20,100106,078Form 4
2026-03-02Raketich Kevin AofficerAward / grant20,100133,160Form 4
2026-03-02Zaranec John MofficerAward / grant16,10051,060Form 4
2026-03-02Williams Michael SdirectorAward / grant78,100734,858Form 4
2026-03-01Williams Michael SdirectorWithheld for tax29,124656,758Form 4
2026-03-01WESTBROOKS KRISTOPHER RofficerWithheld for tax8,207184,977Form 4
2026-03-01SYRVALIN KRISTINE CofficerWithheld for tax7,27085,978Form 4
2026-03-01Raketich Kevin AofficerWithheld for tax5,121113,060Form 4
2026-03-01Yacobozzi Nicholas AofficerWithheld for tax2,84247,543Form 4
2026-02-11Williams Michael SdirectorWithheld for tax18,436685,882Form 4
2026-02-11WESTBROOKS KRISTOPHER RofficerWithheld for tax3,455193,184Form 4
2026-02-11SYRVALIN KRISTINE CofficerWithheld for tax3,36293,248Form 4
2026-02-11Raketich Kevin AofficerWithheld for tax2,285118,181Form 4
2026-02-11Yacobozzi Nicholas AofficerWithheld for tax1,53650,385Form 4
2026-02-11Yacobozzi Nicholas AofficerAward / grant3,03251,921Form 4
2026-02-11WESTBROOKS KRISTOPHER RofficerAward / grant7,563196,639Form 4
2026-02-11Raketich Kevin AofficerAward / grant7,111120,466Form 4
2026-02-11SYRVALIN KRISTINE CofficerAward / grant6,70096,610Form 4
2026-02-11Williams Michael SdirectorAward / grant40,278704,318Form 4
2026-02-04WESTBROOKS KRISTOPHER RofficerOption exercise2,128191,204Form 4
2026-02-04WESTBROOKS KRISTOPHER RofficerOption exercise2,1280Form 4
2026-02-03WESTBROOKS KRISTOPHER RofficerOption exercise2,951192,027Form 4
2026-02-03WESTBROOKS KRISTOPHER RofficerOption exercise2,9512,128Form 4
2026-01-15WESTBROOKS KRISTOPHER RofficerOption exercise93189,169Form 4
2026-01-15WESTBROOKS KRISTOPHER RofficerOption exercise935,079Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.