MSIF · TickerCove

MSIFMSC Income Fund, Inc.Financial Services · Asset Managementas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $12.35 · now $12.35 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, MSIF has typically landed between $11.02 and $13.82 — a range of −10.8% to +11.9% from the issuance price $12.35.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

389 overlapping 1 month windows · 2025-01-29 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($12.35) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$12.35 · 63% of range

$10.8 low$13.26 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−1.5%

typical move · IQR 7.1%

−10.8%worst (p90)+11.9%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where MSIF has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $12.35 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $12.35 (+0.0%)
typical $12.17 (-1.5%)
middle 50% $11.73–$12.6
90% range $11.02–$13.82

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 389 windows spanning 2025-01-29 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2025-07-22	−15.1%	−15.1%	+0.0%
2025-07-21	−14.9%	−14.9%	+0.2%
2025-07-25	−14.9%	−14.9%	+0.0%
3 best
2025-11-07	+19.9%	−0.5%	+19.9%
2025-11-10	+19.7%	+0.0%	+20.5%
2026-07-24	+18.5%	+0.0%	+18.5%

389 overlapping windows · 2025-01-29 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~2 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

100%

+0.7%

n=1

Feb

50%

−0.9%

n=2

Mar

50%

+0.1%

n=2

Apr

50%

−1.1%

n=2

May

50%

−0.7%

n=2

Jun

50%

+0.8%

n=2

Jul

−4.6%

n=2

Aug

50%

+4.4%

n=2

Sep

−4.5%

n=2

Oct

−2.8%

n=1

Nov

100%

+11.4%

n=1

Dec

−4.9%

n=1

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-26	Marks Nataly Michelle	director	Purchase	950 @ $12.70	$12K	+95.0% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	1,950	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-30	Hyzak Dwayne L.	director	Purchase	5,969 @ $11.68	$70K	+9.2% of holding	−1.4%	not yet — horizon still open	70,712	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-23	Meserve Nicholas	officer	Purchase	2,500 @ $11.43	$29K	+25.0% of holding	−3.8%	not yet — horizon still open	12,500	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-11	Gilbert Cory	officer	Purchase	1,000 @ $11.78	$12K	+18.1% of holding	−3.7%	not yet — horizon still open	6,514	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-09	Hyzak Dwayne L.	director	Purchase	4,157 @ $11.69	$49K	+6.9% of holding	−2.1%	not yet — horizon still open	64,626	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-09	Hyzak Dwayne L.	director	Purchase	117 @ $11.67	$1K	+0.2% of holding	−2.1%	not yet — horizon still open	64,743	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-05	Walker Jeffrey B.	director	Purchase	3,933 @ $12.02	$47K	+17.6% of holding	−3.6%	not yet — horizon still open	26,311	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-04	Walker Jeffrey B.	director	Purchase	229 @ $12.03	$3K	+1.0% of holding	−2.3%	not yet — horizon still open	22,378	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-15	Niemann John O. Jr.	director	Purchase	4,922 @ $12.10	$60K	+12.7% of holding	−3.9%	not yet — horizon still open	43,648	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-31	Gilbert Cory	officer	Purchase	825 @ $12.20	$10K	+18.1% of holding	−4.5%	not yet — horizon still open	5,393	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-27	Marks Nataly Michelle	director	Purchase	1,000 @ $12.61	$13K	ownership Δ n/a	−6.5%	not yet — horizon still open	1,000	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-09	Niemann John O. Jr.	director	Purchase	1,887 @ $12.42	$23K	+5.1% of holding	+2.3%	−8.2%	38,726	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-30	Hyzak Dwayne L.	director	Purchase	3,712 @ $13.43	$50K	+6.6% of holding	+1.5%	−16.5%	59,781	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-30	Magdol David L.	officer	Purchase	3,500 @ $13.25	$46K	+8.3% of holding	−6.7%	−0.4%	45,625	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-30	Gilbert Cory	officer	Purchase	500 @ $13.15	$7K	+13.0% of holding	−6.7%	−0.4%	4,346	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-29	Hyzak Dwayne L.	director	Purchase	3,695 @ $13.49	$50K	+7.1% of holding	−3.7%	+0.1%	55,727	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-26	Walker Jeffrey B.	director	Purchase	2,245 @ $13.55	$30K	+12.2% of holding	−0.5%	−0.5%	20,585	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-26	Niemann John O. Jr.	director	Purchase	1,713 @ $13.50	$23K	+5.0% of holding	−0.5%	−0.5%	36,080	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-25	Walker Jeffrey B.	director	Purchase	1,455 @ $13.55	$20K	+8.6% of holding	−1.9%	−2.4%	18,340	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-23	Niemann John O. Jr.	director	Purchase	2,000 @ $13.75	$28K	+6.2% of holding	−0.5%	+1.5%	34,367	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-09	Niemann John O. Jr.	director	Purchase	4,240 @ $13.92	$59K	+15.1% of holding	−7.8%	−8.0%	32,367	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-29	Gilbert Cory	officer	Purchase	750 @ $14.09	$11K	+24.2% of holding	−8.4%	−11.0%	3,846	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-28	Gilbert Cory	officer	Purchase	1,050 @ $13.98	$15K	+51.3% of holding	−6.5%	−11.1%	3,096	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

33 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-05-01	Walker Jeffrey B.	director	Other acquisition	600	22,149	Form 4
2026-05-01	Hyzak Dwayne L.	director	Other acquisition	344	60,469	Form 4
2026-05-01	Magdol David L.	officer	Other acquisition	275	46,450	Form 4
2026-05-01	Beauvais Jason B	officer	Other acquisition	141	30,228	Form 4
2026-05-01	Gilbert Cory	officer	Other acquisition	121	5,514	Form 4
2026-01-30	Walker Jeffrey B.	director	Other acquisition	483	21,549	Form 4
2026-01-30	Hyzak Dwayne L.	director	Other acquisition	344	60,125	Form 4
2026-01-30	Magdol David L.	officer	Other acquisition	275	46,175	Form 4
2026-01-30	Beauvais Jason B	officer	Other acquisition	138	30,087	Form 4
2026-01-30	Gilbert Cory	officer	Other acquisition	110	4,562	Form 4
2025-10-31	Niemann John O. Jr.	director	Other acquisition	759	36,839	Form 4
2025-10-31	Walker Jeffrey B.	director	Other acquisition	481	21,066	Form 4
2025-10-31	Hyzak Dwayne L.	director	Other acquisition	343	56,069	Form 4
2025-10-31	Magdol David L.	officer	Other acquisition	274	45,900	Form 4
2025-10-31	Beauvais Jason B	officer	Other acquisition	137	29,950	Form 4
2025-10-31	Gilbert Cory	officer	Other acquisition	100	4,447	Form 4
2025-10-31	Gilbert Cory	officer	Other acquisition	5	4,452	Form 4
2025-08-01	Niemann John O. Jr.	director	Other acquisition	611	28,127	Form 4
2025-08-01	Walker Jeffrey B.	director	Other acquisition	388	16,885	Form 4
2025-08-01	Hyzak Dwayne L.	director	Other acquisition	276	52,032	Form 4
2025-08-01	Magdol David L.	officer	Other acquisition	221	42,125	Form 4
2025-08-01	Beauvais Jason B	officer	Other acquisition	110	29,813	Form 4
2025-08-01	Gilbert Cory	officer	Other acquisition	46	2,046	Form 4
2025-05-01	Niemann John O. Jr.	director	Other acquisition	605	27,516	Form 4
2025-05-01	Walker Jeffrey B.	director	Other acquisition	383	16,498	Form 4
2025-05-01	Hyzak Dwayne L.	director	Other acquisition	273	51,755	Form 4
2025-05-01	Magdol David L.	officer	Other acquisition	219	41,904	Form 4
2025-05-01	Beauvais Jason B	officer	Other acquisition	109	29,702	Form 4
2025-01-31	Niemann John O. Jr.	director	Other acquisition	565	26,911	Form 4
2025-01-31	Walker Jeffrey B.	director	Other acquisition	359	16,114	Form 4
2025-01-31	Hyzak Dwayne L.	director	Other acquisition	255	51,482	Form 4
2025-01-31	Magdol David L.	officer	Other acquisition	204	41,686	Form 4
2025-01-31	Beauvais Jason B	officer	Other acquisition	102	29,593	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i