Issued 2026-09-16 at $14.37 · now $14.37 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, MRAM has typically landed between $11.13 and $19.72 — a range of −22.6% to +37.2% from the issuance price $14.37.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,476 overlapping 1 month windows · 2016-10-07 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($14.37) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where MRAM has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $14.37 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $14.37 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $14.18 (-1.3%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $12.75–$15.62
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $11.13–$19.72
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-06 | −49.0% | −49.0% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-07 | −47.9% | −47.9% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-21 | −47.3% | −47.3% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-04-13 | +296.1% | +0.0% | +296.1% |
| 2026-04-10 | +288.5% | +0.0% | +288.5% |
| 2026-04-14 | +257.4% | +0.0% | +279.4% |
2,476 overlapping windows · 2016-10-07 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~10 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Aggarwal Sanjeev | director | Sale | 30,885 @ $22.34 | $690K | −3.5% of holding | −35.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 839,561 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Cooper William Earl | officer | Sale | 1,549 @ $22.34 | $35K | −1.0% of holding | −35.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 149,481 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Dougherty Sean Michael | officer | Sale | 358 @ $22.34 | $8K | −0.4% of holding | −35.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 99,173 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-29 | FINCH LAWRENCE G | director | Sale | 267,730 @ $26.40 | $7.1M | −60.8% of holding | −7.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 172,795 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-29 | FINCH LAWRENCE G | director | Sale | 400 @ $27.03 | $11K | −0.2% of holding | −7.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 172,395 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | RIBAR GEOFFREY G | director | Sale | 27,488 @ $28.87 | $794K | −22.6% of holding | −12.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 94,063 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Cooper William Earl | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $29.13 | $291K | −6.2% of holding | −12.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 151,030 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Aggarwal Sanjeev | director | Sale | 83,048 @ $32.48 | $2.7M | −9.0% of holding | −23.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 838,566 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Aggarwal Sanjeev | director | Sale | 19,144 @ $33.21 | $636K | −2.3% of holding | −23.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 819,422 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | HAWK GLEN | director | Sale | 21,369 @ $38.09 | $814K | −30.2% of holding | −31.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 49,369 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-15 | HAWK GLEN | director | Sale | 17,376 @ $37.10 | $645K | −19.7% of holding | −31.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 70,738 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-15 | HAWK GLEN | director | Sale | 9,418 @ $39.13 | $369K | −19.1% of holding | −31.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 39,951 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-15 | Aggarwal Sanjeev | director | Sale | 8,784 @ $40.00 | $351K | −1.1% of holding | −31.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 819,422 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | HAWK GLEN | director | Sale | 400 @ $39.97 | $16K | −1.0% of holding | −31.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 39,551 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-11 | FINCH LAWRENCE G | director | Sale | 41,961 @ $34.29 | $1.4M | −100.0% of holding | −40.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 22 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Billerbeck Darin G | director | Sale | 30,000 @ $37.16 | $1.1M | −19.5% of holding | −40.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 124,073 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-06 | Cooper William Earl | officer | Sale | 11,000 @ $21.75 | $239K | −6.4% of holding | +9.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 161,030 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-04 | Aggarwal Sanjeev | director | Sale | 28,459 @ $19.58 | $557K | −3.4% of holding | +47.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 819,422 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | Aggarwal Sanjeev | director | Sale | 19,440 @ $9.20 | $179K | −2.2% of holding | +123.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 847,881 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | Cooper William Earl | officer | Sale | 1,549 @ $9.20 | $14K | −0.9% of holding | +123.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 172,030 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-07 | Cooper William Earl | officer | Sale | 6,807 @ $12.06 | $82K | −6.8% of holding | −9.0% | +43.7% | 93,193 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-05 | Aggarwal Sanjeev | director | Sale | 25,345 @ $10.22 | $259K | −4.4% of holding | −1.1% | +54.3% | 549,412 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-25 | Long Tara | director | Sale | 7,500 @ $7.70 | $58K | −8.5% of holding | +18.2% | +226.8% | 80,614 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-10 | Billerbeck Darin G | director | Sale | 12,000 @ $9.42 | $113K | −8.8% of holding | −1.3% | +332.5% | 124,073 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-02 | Aggarwal Sanjeev | director | Sale | 17,147 @ $10.15 | $174K | −2.9% of holding | −0.1% | −7.8% | 574,757 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-08 | Aggarwal Sanjeev | director | Sale | 1,768 @ $6.02 | $11K | −0.3% of holding | +10.8% | +79.8% | 591,904 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-07 | Aggarwal Sanjeev | director | Sale | 1,357 @ $6.10 | $8K | −0.2% of holding | +8.8% | +71.2% | 593,672 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-07-03 | Aggarwal Sanjeev | director | Sale | 12,677 @ $6.82 | $86K | −2.1% of holding | −11.2% | +37.2% | 595,029 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-02 | Aggarwal Sanjeev | director | Sale | 17,327 @ $6.47 | $112K | −2.8% of holding | −14.2% | +22.2% | 607,706 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-28 | Schrenk David | officer | Sale | 3,789 @ $5.77 | $22K | −3.3% of holding | +8.1% | +25.2% | 110,330 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-05 | Schrenk David | officer | Sale | 20,000 @ $5.70 | $114K | −14.9% of holding | −5.2% | +60.6% | 114,119 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-03 | Aggarwal Sanjeev | director | Sale | 12,950 @ $4.77 | $62K | −2.0% of holding | +15.4% | +113.9% | 625,033 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-04-02 | Aggarwal Sanjeev | director | Sale | 16,845 @ $5.00 | $84K | −2.6% of holding | +13.6% | +86.1% | 637,983 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-18 | Schrenk David | officer | Sale | 2,435 @ $5.13 | $12K | −1.8% of holding | +1.6% | +32.7% | 134,119 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-17 | Schrenk David | officer | Sale | 2,041 @ $5.30 | $11K | −1.5% of holding | −2.4% | +29.0% | 136,554 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-11 | Schrenk David | officer | Sale | 377 @ $5.24 | $2K | −0.3% of holding | −4.0% | +12.0% | 138,595 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-07 | Aggarwal Sanjeev | director | Sale | 35,142 @ $5.37 | $189K | −5.1% of holding | −2.6% | +12.0% | 654,828 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-03 | Schrenk David | officer | Sale | 2,675 @ $5.60 | $15K | −1.9% of holding | −3.0% | +6.1% | 138,972 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-03 | Aggarwal Sanjeev | director | Sale | 28,058 @ $6.29 | $176K | −6.4% of holding | −12.4% | +0.4% | 412,157 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-03 | Tenorio Matthew | officer | Sale | 1,695 @ $6.29 | $11K | −10.6% of holding | −12.4% | +0.4% | 14,228 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-18 | Schrenk David | officer | Sale | 2,381 @ $6.23 | $15K | −2.5% of holding | +3.3% | −7.1% | 91,647 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
50 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Choudhary Vikas | director | Award / grant | 15,693 | 15,693 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | Cooper William Earl | officer | Award / grant | 8,610 | 157,741 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | Dougherty Sean Michael | officer | Award / grant | 8,610 | 107,719 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | FINCH LAWRENCE G | director | Award / grant | 1,089 | 173,484 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | FINCH LAWRENCE G | director | Award / grant | 3,852 | 440,525 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | RIBAR GEOFFREY G | director | Award / grant | 3,852 | 97,915 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | MITCHELL DOUGLAS M | director | Award / grant | 3,852 | 32,100 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Long Tara | director | Award / grant | 3,852 | 84,466 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | HAWK GLEN | director | Award / grant | 3,852 | 43,403 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Billerbeck Darin G | director | Award / grant | 3,852 | 127,925 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Aggarwal Sanjeev | director | Option exercise | 39,446 | 870,446 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Aggarwal Sanjeev | director | Option exercise | 11,578 | 831,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Aggarwal Sanjeev | director | Option exercise | 11,578 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Aggarwal Sanjeev | director | Option exercise | 39,446 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | Aggarwal Sanjeev | director | Option exercise | 100,422 | 921,614 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | Aggarwal Sanjeev | director | Option exercise | 1,770 | 821,192 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | Aggarwal Sanjeev | director | Option exercise | 1,770 | 39,446 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | Aggarwal Sanjeev | director | Option exercise | 100,422 | 11,578 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Aggarwal Sanjeev | director | Option exercise | 8,784 | 828,206 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Aggarwal Sanjeev | director | Option exercise | 8,784 | 41,216 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Billerbeck Darin G | director | Option exercise | 30,000 | 154,073 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Billerbeck Darin G | director | Option exercise | 30,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | FINCH LAWRENCE G | director | Award / grant | 637 | 436,673 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Aggarwal Sanjeev | director | Award / grant | 310,825 | 867,321 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Dougherty Sean Michael | officer | Award / grant | 18,006 | 98,006 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Cooper William Earl | officer | Award / grant | 80,386 | 173,579 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | FINCH LAWRENCE G | director | Award / grant | 1,502 | 436,036 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-04 | Aggarwal Sanjeev | director | Option exercise | 6,250 | 556,496 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-04 | Aggarwal Sanjeev | director | Option exercise | 834 | 550,246 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-04 | Aggarwal Sanjeev | director | Option exercise | 834 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-04 | Aggarwal Sanjeev | director | Option exercise | 6,250 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-12 | FINCH LAWRENCE G | director | Award / grant | 1,529 | 434,534 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-10 | Billerbeck Darin G | director | Option exercise | 12,000 | 136,073 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-10 | Billerbeck Darin G | director | Option exercise | 12,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-13 | FINCH LAWRENCE G | director | Award / grant | 2,165 | 433,005 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-05 | Dougherty Sean Michael | officer | Award / grant | 80,000 | 80,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-22 | Long Tara | director | Award / grant | 20,325 | 88,114 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-22 | Billerbeck Darin G | director | Award / grant | 20,325 | 124,073 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-22 | HAWK GLEN | director | Award / grant | 20,325 | 88,114 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-22 | RIBAR GEOFFREY G | director | Award / grant | 20,325 | 121,551 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.