MPTIM-tron Industries, Inc.Technology · Hardware, Equipment & Partsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $76.10 · now $74.92 (2026-09-17, −1.6% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, MPTI has typically landed between $59.81 and $102.98 — a range of −21.4% to +35.3% from the issuance price $76.10.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

971 overlapping 1 month windows · 2022-10-03 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($76.10) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where MPTI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $76.1 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$59.81worst · -21.4%$102.98best · +35.3%
  • now $74.92 (-1.6%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $78.7 (+3.4%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $69.54–$87.86
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $59.81–$102.98
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 972 windows spanning 2022-10-03 to 2026-09-17. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2024-03-20−41.3%−41.5%+1.3%
2025-01-23−40.5%−40.5%+0.2%
2024-03-19−39.8%−39.8%+4.4%
3 best
2023-08-04+82.5%+0.0%+82.5%
2023-08-10+81.3%+0.0%+81.3%
2023-08-08+80.4%+0.0%+82.1%

972 overlapping windows · 2022-10-03 – 2026-09-17 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~4 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
75%
+11.2%
n=4
Feb
50%
−1.2%
n=4
Mar
75%
−0.3%
n=4
Apr
50%
+6.5%
n=4
May
75%
+15.3%
n=4
Jun
25%
−4.4%
n=4
Jul
50%
−2.4%
n=4
Aug
75%
+16.9%
n=4
Sep
50%
+6.5%
n=4
Oct
67%
+18.8%
n=3
Nov
50%
+15.6%
n=4
Dec
50%
−7.7%
n=4

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$101$412026-08-11: 1 insider sale, $104K — Biles Linda M2026-05-04: 3 insider sales, $101K — Pforr Cameron, Drafts William Arnold, Biles Linda M2026-04-14: 3 insider sales, $0 — Biles Linda M, Drafts William Arnold …2026-04-13: 1 insider sale, $0 — Drafts William Arnold2026-04-07: 1 insider sale, $0 — Pforr Cameron2026-04-06: 1 insider sale, $0 — Drafts William Arnold2025-12-19: 1 insider sale, $0 — Drafts William Arnold2025-12-05: 1 insider sale, $0 — Mega John S2026-05: 3 open-market sales, $101K2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $104K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Biles Linda M — Sale on 2026-08-11, filed 8 days after the tradeofficer Pforr Cameron — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Drafts William Arnold — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Biles Linda M — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Biles Linda M — Sale on 2026-04-14, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Biles Linda M — Sale on 2026-04-14, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Drafts William Arnold — Sale on 2026-04-14, filed 14 days after the tradeofficer Drafts William Arnold — Sale on 2026-04-13, filed 15 days after the tradeofficer Pforr Cameron — Sale on 2026-04-07, filed 17 days after the tradeofficer Drafts William Arnold — Sale on 2026-04-06, filed 22 days after the tradeofficer Drafts William Arnold — Sale on 2025-12-19, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Mega John S — Sale on 2025-12-05, filed 14 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-11Biles Linda MofficerSale1,218 @ $85.05$104K+4.4% of holding−8.4%not yet — horizon still open28,723Form 4 · filed 8 days after the trade
2026-05-04Pforr CameronofficerSale840 @ $66.78$56K−3.0% of holding+22.9%not yet — horizon still open26,806Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-04Drafts William ArnoldofficerSale361 @ $66.78$24K−2.5% of holding+22.9%not yet — horizon still open13,816Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-04Biles Linda MofficerSale306 @ $66.78$20K−1.1% of holding+22.9%not yet — horizon still open28,376Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-14Biles Linda MofficerSale2,700 @ $0.00$0−9.9% of holding+2.9%not yet — horizon still open24,643Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-14Biles Linda MofficerSale720 @ $0.00$0−2.4% of holding+2.9%not yet — horizon still open28,682Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-14Drafts William ArnoldofficerSale540 @ $0.00$0−100.0% of holding+2.9%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 14 days after the trade
2026-04-13Drafts William ArnoldofficerSale7,609 @ $0.00$0−93.4% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open540Form 4 · filed 15 days after the trade
2026-04-07Pforr CameronofficerSale21,500 @ $0.00$0ownership Δ n/a−0.9%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 17 days after the trade
2026-04-06Drafts William ArnoldofficerSale3,600 @ $0.00$0−30.6% of holding−5.2%not yet — horizon still open8,149Form 4 · filed 22 days after the trade
2025-12-19Drafts William ArnoldofficerSale3 @ $0.00$0−0.1% of holding+21.1%+62.8%2,700Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-05Mega John SdirectorSale4,942 @ $0.00$0−100.0% of holding+12.0%+72.5%0Form 4 · filed 14 days after the trade
2025-06-27Drafts William ArnoldofficerPurchase1,000 @ $40.50$41K+10.0% of holding+3.3%+10.2%11,008Form 4 · filed same day
2024-11-14GABELLI MARIO JdirectorSale7,500 @ $60.11$451K−5.6% of holding−2.0%−22.1%126,471Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-11-13GABELLI MARIO JdirectorSale1,500 @ $52.58$79K−1.1% of holding+11.3%−10.1%133,971Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

62 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-04-29Pforr CameronofficerOption exercise22028,186Form 4
2026-04-29Pforr CameronofficerOption exercise22024,560Form 4
2026-04-28Pforr CameronofficerOption exercise22027,966Form 4
2026-04-28Pforr CameronofficerOption exercise22024,780Form 4
2026-04-27Arteaga IvandirectorExercise241,313Form 4
2026-04-20GABELLI MARCdirectorExercise3,27645,840Form 4
2026-04-20Susanto HendidirectorExercise1,0719,154Form 4
2026-04-20Susanto HendidirectorExercise5,3550Form 4
2026-04-20GABELLI MARCdirectorExercise16,3800Form 4
2026-04-14Susanto HendidirectorExercise4548,083Form 4
2026-04-14Susanto HendidirectorExercise2,2745,355Form 4
2026-04-13Arteaga IvandirectorExercise870245Form 4
2026-04-10Arteaga IvandirectorExercise1741,289Form 4
2026-04-07Pforr CameronofficerExercise10027,746Form 4
2026-04-07Pforr CameronofficerExercise50021,500Form 4
2026-04-02Pforr CameronofficerAward / grant5,64627,646Form 4
2026-04-02Biles Linda MofficerAward / grant2,05929,402Form 4
2026-04-02Drafts William ArnoldofficerAward / grant2,42814,177Form 4
2026-03-19Mega John SdirectorAward / grant2425,586Form 4
2026-03-19Biles Linda MofficerAward / grant1,56529,941Form 4
2026-03-19Drafts William ArnoldofficerAward / grant2,84016,656Form 4
2026-03-19Pforr CameronofficerAward / grant3,80530,611Form 4
2026-03-19GABELLI MARCdirectorAward / grant24242,564Form 4
2026-03-19Goldman David MdirectorAward / grant2422,599Form 4
2026-03-19LAZAR BELdirectorAward / grant2426,845Form 4
2026-03-19LaPenta Robert V JrdirectorAward / grant2424,509Form 4
2026-03-19Arteaga IvandirectorAward / grant2421,115Form 4
2026-03-19Susanto HendidirectorAward / grant2427,629Form 4
2026-01-06Arteaga IvandirectorExercise35873Form 4
2026-01-06Arteaga IvandirectorExercise3604Form 4
2025-12-23Susanto HendidirectorExercise8927,387Form 4
2025-12-23Goldman David MdirectorExercise3252,357Form 4
2025-12-23Goldman David MdirectorExercise1,6255Form 4
2025-12-23Susanto HendidirectorExercise4,4601,633Form 4
2025-12-22Pforr CameronofficerExercise2,00022,000Form 4
2025-12-22Pforr CameronofficerExercise10,00010,000Form 4
2025-12-19Drafts William ArnoldofficerExercise20111,209Form 4
2025-12-19Arteaga IvandirectorExercise72838Form 4
2025-12-19Drafts William ArnoldofficerExercise1,0052,703Form 4
2025-12-19Arteaga IvandirectorExercise3604Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.