Issued 2026-09-17 at $11.32 · now $11.32 (2026-09-17, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-17 close, MPLT has typically landed between $4.71 and $17.50 — a range of −58.4% to +54.6% from the issuance price $11.32.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
202 overlapping 1 month windows · 2025-10-27 – 2026-08-18 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-17 issuance close ($11.32) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-16, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where MPLT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-17 close of $11.32 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $11.32 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $11.84 (+4.6%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $10.16–$13.52
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $4.71–$17.5
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 202 windows spanning 2025-10-27 to 2026-09-17. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-07-21 | −70.0% | −70.0% | +0.0% |
| 2026-07-16 | −69.8% | −69.8% | +1.7% |
| 2026-07-10 | −69.5% | −69.5% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-03-23 | +88.1% | −0.6% | +88.1% |
| 2026-03-18 | +76.6% | −0.2% | +76.6% |
| 2026-03-24 | +71.4% | +0.0% | +89.2% |
202 overlapping windows · 2025-10-27 – 2026-09-17 · not cherry-picked
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | Lillie James Woodruff | officer | Sale | 22,082 @ $12.54 | $277K | −9.8% of holding | +5.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 202,380 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-28 | Cox Troy | director | Purchase | 15,620 @ $9.52 | $149K | ownership Δ n/a | +1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 15,620 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-17 | GILLIS JONATHAN | officer | Sale | 16,969 @ $37.61 | $638K | −10.5% of holding | −72.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 145,140 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-17 | Kroeger Christopher A. | director | Sale | 16,779 @ $37.90 | $636K | −1.3% of holding | −72.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,246,455 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-17 | Kreitzer Anatol | officer | Sale | 14,140 @ $37.70 | $533K | −7.5% of holding | −72.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 175,106 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-17 | Foff Erin Pennock | officer | Sale | 3,656 @ $37.90 | $139K | −1.2% of holding | −72.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 298,901 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-17 | Kreitzer Anatol | officer | Sale | 2,833 @ $37.05 | $105K | −1.5% of holding | −72.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 189,246 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-17 | Lillie James Woodruff | officer | Sale | 2,077 @ $37.90 | $79K | −0.9% of holding | −72.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 224,462 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-17 | Hanson Kristopher | officer | Sale | 1,130 @ $37.90 | $43K | −0.8% of holding | −72.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 145,823 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-17 | GILLIS JONATHAN | officer | Sale | 900 @ $38.17 | $34K | −0.6% of holding | −72.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 144,240 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-17 | GILLIS JONATHAN | officer | Sale | 600 @ $36.51 | $22K | −0.4% of holding | −72.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 162,109 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-17 | Kreitzer Anatol | officer | Sale | 200 @ $38.39 | $8K | −0.1% of holding | −72.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 174,906 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-16 | Kroeger Christopher A. | director | Sale | 40,899 @ $36.46 | $1.5M | −3.1% of holding | −72.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,291,417 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-16 | Kroeger Christopher A. | director | Sale | 28,091 @ $37.26 | $1.0M | −2.2% of holding | −72.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,263,326 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-16 | Foff Erin Pennock | officer | Sale | 9,163 @ $36.46 | $334K | −2.9% of holding | −72.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 308,441 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-16 | Kreitzer Anatol | officer | Sale | 7,464 @ $36.66 | $274K | −3.7% of holding | −72.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 193,671 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-16 | GILLIS JONATHAN | officer | Sale | 6,979 @ $36.66 | $256K | −4.1% of holding | −72.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 164,185 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-16 | Foff Erin Pennock | officer | Sale | 5,865 @ $37.26 | $219K | −1.9% of holding | −72.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 302,576 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-16 | Lillie James Woodruff | officer | Sale | 5,009 @ $36.45 | $183K | −2.1% of holding | −72.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 230,077 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-16 | Hanson Kristopher | officer | Sale | 4,776 @ $36.45 | $174K | −3.1% of holding | −72.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 150,295 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-16 | Lillie James Woodruff | officer | Sale | 3,526 @ $37.26 | $131K | −1.5% of holding | −72.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 226,551 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-16 | Hanson Kristopher | officer | Sale | 3,331 @ $37.26 | $124K | −2.2% of holding | −72.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 146,964 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-16 | Kreitzer Anatol | officer | Sale | 1,592 @ $37.44 | $60K | −0.8% of holding | −72.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 192,079 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-16 | GILLIS JONATHAN | officer | Sale | 1,476 @ $37.44 | $55K | −0.9% of holding | −72.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 162,709 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-16 | Kroeger Christopher A. | director | Sale | 92 @ $37.96 | $3K | −0.0% of holding | −72.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,263,234 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-16 | Foff Erin Pennock | officer | Sale | 19 @ $37.96 | $721 | −0.0% of holding | −72.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 302,557 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-16 | Lillie James Woodruff | officer | Sale | 12 @ $37.96 | $456 | −0.0% of holding | −72.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 226,539 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-16 | Hanson Kristopher | officer | Sale | 11 @ $37.96 | $418 | −0.0% of holding | −72.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 146,953 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | Kroeger Christopher A. | director | Sale | 42,738 @ $36.99 | $1.6M | −3.1% of holding | −71.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,332,406 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | Kroeger Christopher A. | director | Sale | 18,950 @ $36.00 | $682K | −1.4% of holding | −71.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,375,144 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | Foff Erin Pennock | officer | Sale | 8,972 @ $36.99 | $332K | −2.7% of holding | −71.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 317,622 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | Foff Erin Pennock | officer | Sale | 7,845 @ $37.04 | $291K | −2.3% of holding | −71.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 331,059 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | Foff Erin Pennock | officer | Sale | 7,155 @ $36.16 | $259K | −2.1% of holding | −71.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 338,904 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | Kreitzer Anatol | officer | Sale | 5,545 @ $36.13 | $200K | −2.6% of holding | −71.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 205,645 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | Lillie James Woodruff | officer | Sale | 5,393 @ $36.99 | $199K | −2.2% of holding | −71.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 235,098 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | GILLIS JONATHAN | officer | Sale | 5,356 @ $36.13 | $194K | −3.0% of holding | −71.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 175,863 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | Hanson Kristopher | officer | Sale | 5,103 @ $36.99 | $189K | −3.2% of holding | −71.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 155,081 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | GILLIS JONATHAN | officer | Sale | 4,699 @ $36.94 | $174K | −2.7% of holding | −71.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 171,164 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | Kreitzer Anatol | officer | Sale | 4,510 @ $36.94 | $167K | −2.2% of holding | −71.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 201,135 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | Foff Erin Pennock | officer | Sale | 4,465 @ $36.00 | $161K | −1.3% of holding | −71.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 326,594 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | Lillie James Woodruff | officer | Sale | 2,238 @ $36.00 | $81K | −0.9% of holding | −71.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 240,491 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | Hanson Kristopher | officer | Sale | 2,147 @ $36.00 | $77K | −1.3% of holding | −71.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 160,184 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | Kroeger Christopher A. | director | Sale | 90 @ $37.54 | $3K | −0.0% of holding | −71.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,332,316 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | Foff Erin Pennock | officer | Sale | 18 @ $37.54 | $676 | −0.0% of holding | −71.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 317,604 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | Lillie James Woodruff | officer | Sale | 12 @ $37.54 | $450 | −0.0% of holding | −71.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 235,086 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | Hanson Kristopher | officer | Sale | 10 @ $37.54 | $375 | −0.0% of holding | −71.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 155,071 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Kroeger Christopher A. | director | Sale | 118,037 @ $27.19 | $3.2M | −7.8% of holding | +9.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,394,292 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-18 | Kroeger Christopher A. | director | Sale | 198 @ $28.15 | $6K | −0.0% of holding | +9.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,394,094 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-11 | Hanson Kristopher | officer | Sale | 6,979 @ $30.04 | $210K | −4.0% of holding | −5.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 168,139 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-11 | Kroeger Christopher A. | director | Sale | 6,871 @ $30.04 | $206K | −0.5% of holding | −5.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,518,219 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-11 | Kroeger Christopher A. | director | Sale | 5,890 @ $30.56 | $180K | −0.4% of holding | −5.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,512,329 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-11 | Hanson Kristopher | officer | Sale | 5,808 @ $30.56 | $177K | −3.5% of holding | −5.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 162,331 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-11 | Kroeger Christopher A. | director | Sale | 877 @ $28.70 | $25K | −0.1% of holding | −5.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,525,090 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-11 | Hanson Kristopher | officer | Sale | 846 @ $28.70 | $24K | −0.5% of holding | −5.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 175,118 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-11 | Kroeger Christopher A. | director | Sale | 342 @ $27.57 | $9K | −0.0% of holding | −5.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,525,967 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-11 | Hanson Kristopher | officer | Sale | 284 @ $27.61 | $8K | −0.2% of holding | −5.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 175,964 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-08 | Kroeger Christopher A. | director | Sale | 29,624 @ $27.48 | $814K | −1.9% of holding | +6.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,531,096 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-08 | Kroeger Christopher A. | director | Sale | 3,205 @ $29.20 | $94K | −0.2% of holding | +6.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,526,309 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-08 | Kroeger Christopher A. | director | Sale | 1,582 @ $28.56 | $45K | −0.1% of holding | +6.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,529,514 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-07 | Kroeger Christopher A. | director | Sale | 14,880 @ $28.47 | $424K | −0.9% of holding | −0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,565,940 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
77 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Foff Erin Pennock | officer | Award / grant | 54,240 | 54,240 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Foff Erin Pennock | officer | Award / grant | 13,360 | 312,261 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | GILLIS JONATHAN | officer | Award / grant | 6,020 | 150,260 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | GILLIS JONATHAN | officer | Award / grant | 2,222 | 152,482 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | GILLIS JONATHAN | officer | Award / grant | 24,455 | 24,455 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | GILLIS JONATHAN | officer | Award / grant | 2,813 | 2,813 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Hanson Kristopher | officer | Award / grant | 7,730 | 153,553 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Hanson Kristopher | officer | Award / grant | 31,395 | 31,395 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Kreitzer Anatol | officer | Award / grant | 6,020 | 180,926 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Kreitzer Anatol | officer | Award / grant | 24,455 | 24,455 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Kroeger Christopher A. | director | Award / grant | 23,145 | 1,269,600 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Kroeger Christopher A. | director | Award / grant | 93,955 | 93,955 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Lillie James Woodruff | officer | Award / grant | 7,730 | 210,110 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Lillie James Woodruff | officer | Award / grant | 31,395 | 31,395 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Babler Martin | director | Award / grant | 29,804 | 29,804 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Babler Martin | director | Award / grant | 7,864 | 7,864 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Cox Troy | director | Award / grant | 7,864 | 7,864 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Cox Troy | director | Award / grant | 29,804 | 29,804 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Garnett Timothy John | director | Award / grant | 3,932 | 53,457 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Garnett Timothy John | director | Award / grant | 14,902 | 14,902 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Luneborg Nanna Liebach | director | Award / grant | 3,932 | 3,932 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Luneborg Nanna Liebach | director | Award / grant | 14,902 | 14,902 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Pavlov George | director | Award / grant | 3,932 | 28,932 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Pavlov George | director | Award / grant | 14,902 | 14,902 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Walker Maria C | director | Award / grant | 3,932 | 62,703 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Walker Maria C | director | Award / grant | 14,902 | 14,902 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-05 | Kreitzer Anatol | officer | Award / grant | 24,455 | 24,455 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-05 | Foff Erin Pennock | officer | Award / grant | 13,360 | 403,835 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-05 | Foff Erin Pennock | officer | Award / grant | 54,240 | 54,240 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-05 | GILLIS JONATHAN | officer | Award / grant | 6,020 | 254,523 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-05 | GILLIS JONATHAN | officer | Award / grant | 24,455 | 24,455 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-05 | Lillie James Woodruff | officer | Award / grant | 7,730 | 298,862 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-05 | Lillie James Woodruff | officer | Award / grant | 31,395 | 31,395 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-05 | Kroeger Christopher A. | director | Award / grant | 23,145 | 1,649,751 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-05 | Kroeger Christopher A. | director | Award / grant | 93,955 | 93,955 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-05 | Kreitzer Anatol | officer | Award / grant | 6,020 | 259,928 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-05 | Setia Vishwas | officer | Award / grant | 31,395 | 31,395 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-05 | Hanson Kristopher | officer | Award / grant | 7,730 | 191,582 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-05 | Hanson Kristopher | officer | Award / grant | 31,395 | 31,395 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-05 | Setia Vishwas | officer | Award / grant | 7,730 | 395,549 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.