MOHMolina Healthcare, Inc.as of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $202.22 · now $202.22 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, MOH has typically landed between $169.77 and $235.95 — a range of −16.0% to +16.7% from the issuance price $202.22.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,673 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($202.22) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where MOH has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $202.22 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$169.77worst · -16.0%$235.95best · +16.7%
  • now $202.22 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $203.91 (+0.8%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $190.57–$217.24
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $169.77–$235.95
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,673 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2025-07-01−48.5%−48.5%+0.0%
2025-06-30−46.3%−46.9%+2.8%
2025-06-24−46.3%−46.3%+4.0%
3 best
2012-06-07+52.6%+0.0%+52.6%
2020-03-23+51.6%+0.0%+58.6%
2026-03-30+49.5%+0.0%+49.5%

4,673 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
56%
+3.5%
n=18
Feb
58%
+1.5%
n=19
Mar
63%
+2.9%
n=19
Apr
58%
+2.8%
n=19
May
47%
+4.1%
n=19
Jun
47%
+1.5%
n=19
Jul
58%
+0.6%
n=19
Aug
42%
+0.1%
n=19
Sep
58%
−0.2%
n=19
Oct
39%
−1.8%
n=18
Nov
61%
+4.2%
n=18
Dec
56%
+0.7%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$243$1232026-05-14: 1 insider sale, $115K — HEBERT MAURICE2026-05-11: 1 insider sale, $3.3M — Barlow Jeff D.2026-03-12: 1 insider sale, $74K — ROMNEY RONNA2026-02-11: 1 insider purchase, $100K — ZORETIC RICHARD C2025-11-24: 1 insider sale, $51K — Schapiro Richard M2025-08: 2 open-market purchases, $1.6M2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $108K2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $51K2026-02: 1 open-market purchase, $100K2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $74K2026-05: 2 open-market sales, $3.4M↑ buys↓ salesofficer HEBERT MAURICE — Sale on 2026-05-14, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Barlow Jeff D. — Sale on 2026-05-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector ROMNEY RONNA — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector ZORETIC RICHARD C — Purchase on 2026-02-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Schapiro Richard M — Sale on 2025-11-24, filed same day
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-05-14HEBERT MAURICEofficerSale600 @ $191.55$115K−4.5% of holding+7.2%not yet — horizon still open12,815Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-11Barlow Jeff D.officerSale17,811 @ $186.12$3.3M−21.0% of holding+8.7%not yet — horizon still open67,175Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-12ROMNEY RONNAdirectorSale506 @ $146.92$74K−2.9% of holding−2.8%not yet — horizon still open17,227Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-11ZORETIC RICHARD CdirectorPurchase800 @ $125.16$100K+10.1% of holding+25.9%+50.6%8,747Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-24Schapiro Richard MdirectorSale357 @ $143.02$51K−3.0% of holding+9.0%+9.0%11,352Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-06ROMNEY RONNAdirectorSale700 @ $153.74$108K−3.9% of holding+12.4%+8.4%17,131Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-04WOYS JAMESofficerPurchase5,500 @ $155.59$856K+8.5% of holding+10.0%+4.8%69,831Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-04WOYS JAMESofficerPurchase4,500 @ $156.36$704K+6.4% of holding+10.0%+4.8%74,331Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-21WOLF DALE BdirectorSale900 @ $323.27$291K−5.9% of holding−12.2%−71.1%14,309Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-21WOLF DALE BdirectorSale400 @ $322.23$129K−2.6% of holding−12.2%−71.1%15,209Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-21WOLF DALE BdirectorSale100 @ $324.42$32K−0.7% of holding−12.2%−71.1%14,209Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-21WOLF DALE BdirectorSale100 @ $320.51$32K−0.6% of holding−12.2%−71.1%15,609Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-05ORLANDO STEVEN JdirectorSale1,000 @ $318.58$319K−5.7% of holding−14.2%−76.0%16,543Form 4 · filed same day
2025-04-30Zubretsky Joseph MdirectorSale86,400 @ $320.00$27.6M−25.0% of holding−13.0%−75.7%258,815Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-04-30Zubretsky Joseph MdirectorSale1,100 @ $324.70$357K−0.4% of holding−13.0%−75.7%257,715Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-04-29Schapiro Richard MdirectorSale669 @ $320.50$214K−5.6% of holding−11.4%−73.7%11,244Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-03ORLANDO STEVEN JdirectorSale1,000 @ $301.33$301K−5.4% of holding+11.8%−49.8%17,375Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

107 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-01BRASIER BARBARA LdirectorAward / grant2375,818Form 4
2026-07-01GROHOWSKI LEO PdirectorAward / grant2371,542Form 4
2026-07-01Lockhart Stephen HdirectorAward / grant2374,384Form 4
2026-07-01ROMNEY RONNAdirectorAward / grant23717,869Form 4
2026-07-01ORLANDO STEVEN JdirectorAward / grant23717,967Form 4
2026-07-01WOLF DALE BdirectorAward / grant23715,633Form 4
2026-07-01SOISTMAN FRANCIS S JRdirectorAward / grant237907Form 4
2026-07-01ZORETIC RICHARD CdirectorAward / grant2379,389Form 4
2026-07-01Schapiro Richard MdirectorAward / grant23712,311Form 4
2026-07-01Bacon DebraofficerWithheld for tax18321,636Form 4
2026-06-30WOYS JAMESofficerAward / grant14490,178Form 4
2026-06-30Barlow Jeff D.officerAward / grant13867,313Form 4
2026-06-30Bacon DebraofficerAward / grant2321,819Form 4
2026-05-06SOISTMAN FRANCIS S JRdirectorAward / grant170670Form 4
2026-04-01WOLF DALE BdirectorAward / grant40515,396Form 4
2026-04-01Lockhart Stephen HdirectorAward / grant4054,147Form 4
2026-04-01GROHOWSKI LEO PdirectorAward / grant4051,305Form 4
2026-04-01ZORETIC RICHARD CdirectorAward / grant4059,152Form 4
2026-04-01Schapiro Richard MdirectorAward / grant40512,074Form 4
2026-04-01BRASIER BARBARA LdirectorAward / grant4055,581Form 4
2026-04-01ROMNEY RONNAdirectorAward / grant40517,632Form 4
2026-04-01ORLANDO STEVEN JdirectorAward / grant40517,730Form 4
2026-03-01Zubretsky Joseph MdirectorAward / grant66,41799,015Form 4
2026-03-01Keim Mark LowellofficerAward / grant26,07383,251Form 4
2026-03-01WOYS JAMESofficerAward / grant17,01690,034Form 4
2026-03-01Barlow Jeff D.officerAward / grant13,72284,986Form 4
2026-03-01Bacon DebraofficerAward / grant9,60621,796Form 4
2026-03-01Zubretsky Joseph MdirectorWithheld for tax8,59732,598Form 4
2026-03-01Keim Mark LowellofficerWithheld for tax2,30857,178Form 4
2026-03-01HEBERT MAURICEofficerAward / grant2,05813,415Form 4
2026-03-01Barlow Jeff D.officerWithheld for tax1,63871,264Form 4
2026-03-01WOYS JAMESofficerWithheld for tax1,31373,018Form 4
2026-03-01Bacon DebraofficerWithheld for tax71612,190Form 4
2026-03-01HEBERT MAURICEofficerAward / grant65011,858Form 4
2026-03-01HEBERT MAURICEofficerWithheld for tax27211,357Form 4
2026-03-01HEBERT MAURICEofficerWithheld for tax22911,629Form 4
2026-01-01ORLANDO STEVEN JdirectorAward / grant31717,325Form 4
2026-01-01BRASIER BARBARA LdirectorAward / grant3175,176Form 4
2026-01-01GROHOWSKI LEO PdirectorAward / grant317900Form 4
2026-01-01ROMNEY RONNAdirectorAward / grant31717,733Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-04-072026-03-30$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-03-092026-02-17$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-03-092026-02-24$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-03-092026-02-05$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-29$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2025-12-152025-11-12$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-12-082025-11-10$1–15K
Byron DonaldsHousesale2025-10-072025-09-04$1–15K
Byron DonaldsHousesale2025-10-072025-09-04$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-10-032025-09-29$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2025-09-122025-08-05$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-09-092025-08-04$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-09-092025-08-04$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-08-072025-07-25$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.