Issued 2026-09-16 at $10.71 · now $10.71 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, MOBI has typically landed between $8.40 and $12.57 — a range of −21.5% to +17.3% from the issuance price $10.71.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
71 overlapping 1 month windows · 2026-05-06 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($10.71) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where MOBI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $10.71 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $10.71 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $10.34 (-3.5%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $9.66–$11.01
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $8.4–$12.57
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-06-29 | −27.5% | −27.5% | +0.0% |
| 2026-06-26 | −26.7% | −26.7% | +0.0% |
| 2026-06-22 | −20.3% | −20.3% | +5.5% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-05-18 | +17.5% | −11.0% | +17.5% |
| 2026-05-19 | +14.4% | −11.6% | +16.6% |
| 2026-05-27 | +12.7% | −15.2% | +12.7% |
71 overlapping windows · 2026-05-06 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Leavitt Chase C. | officer | Purchase | 2,000 @ $10.30 | $21K | +66.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Tansey Casey M | director | Purchase | 16,441 @ $12.07 | $199K | +5.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 318,332 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | Tansey Casey M | director | Purchase | 17,166 @ $11.85 | $203K | +6.0% of holding | −6.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 301,891 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-14 | Tansey Casey M | director | Purchase | 15,721 @ $11.65 | $183K | +5.8% of holding | −6.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 284,625 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | Tansey Casey M | director | Purchase | 100 @ $12.53 | $1K | +0.0% of holding | −6.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 284,725 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | Tansey Casey M | director | Purchase | 35,572 @ $11.51 | $409K | +15.2% of holding | −11.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 268,904 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-09 | Curnes Nelson Bunker | officer | Purchase | 5,000 @ $12.79 | $64K | +1.4% of holding | −6.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 366,997 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Osage University GP III, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 266,667 @ $15.00 | $4.0M | +23.4% of holding | +7.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,404,183 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | HARRINGTON WILLIAM T | director | Purchase | 266,667 @ $15.00 | $4.0M | +23.4% of holding | +7.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,404,183 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-11 | HARRINGTON WILLIAM T | director | Purchase | 266,666 @ $15.00 | $4.0M | +15.3% of holding | +7.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,006,716 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-11 | Osage University GP III, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 266,666 @ $15.00 | $4.0M | +15.3% of holding | +7.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,006,716 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Lucchese Cynthia L | director | Purchase | 125,000 @ $15.00 | $1.9M | ownership Δ n/a | +7.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 125,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-11 | Green Park & Golf Ventures II, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 81,000 @ $15.00 | $1.2M | ownership Δ n/a | +7.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 81,000 | Form 4 · filed 49 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Tansey Casey M | director | Purchase | 66,666 @ $15.00 | $1000K | +40.0% of holding | +7.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 233,332 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-11 | Green Park & Golf Ventures - Houston, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 60,537 @ $15.00 | $908K | ownership Δ n/a | +7.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 60,537 | Form 4 · filed 49 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Green Park & Golf Ventures II, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 33,333 @ $15.00 | $500K | +71.2% of holding | +7.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 80,157 | Form 4 · filed 49 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Mead Dana G Jr. | director | Purchase | 7,000 @ $15.00 | $105K | ownership Δ n/a | +7.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-11 | Leavitt Chase C. | officer | Purchase | 3,000 @ $15.00 | $45K | ownership Δ n/a | +7.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-11 | Green Park & Golf Ventures II, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 6,731 | — | −13.3% of holding | +7.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 43,799 | Form 4 · filed 49 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Green Park & Golf Ventures II, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 6,731 | — | −13.3% of holding | +7.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 43,799 | Form 4 · filed 49 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Green Park & Golf Ventures II, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 6,731 | — | −13.3% of holding | +7.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 43,799 | Form 4 · filed 49 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Green Park & Golf Ventures II, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 6,731 | — | −13.3% of holding | +7.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 43,799 | Form 4 · filed 49 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
278 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Rawat Prashant B. | officer | Option exercise | 15,000 | 30,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-02 | Rawat Prashant B. | officer | Option exercise | 15,000 | 167,243 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-30 | Curet Myriam | director | Award / grant | 19,740 | 19,740 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-30 | Curet Myriam | director | Award / grant | 15,960 | 15,960 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-14 | Zadno Reza | director | Award / grant | 16,260 | 16,260 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-14 | Zadno Reza | director | Award / grant | 19,150 | 19,150 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Rawat Prashant B. | officer | Option exercise | 15,000 | 15,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Rawat Prashant B. | officer | Option exercise | 15,000 | 182,243 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Curnes Nelson Bunker | officer | Withheld for tax | 13,368 | 303,638 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Curnes Nelson Bunker | officer | Exercise | 13,684 | 317,006 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Green Park & Golf Ventures II, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 491,294 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Green Park & Golf Ventures II, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 102,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Green Park & Golf Ventures II, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 10,909 | 33,187 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Green Park & Golf Ventures II, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 37,998 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Green Park & Golf Ventures II, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 77,596 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Green Park & Golf Ventures II, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 77,596 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Green Park & Golf Ventures II, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 22,278 | 22,278 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Green Park & Golf Ventures II, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 120,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Green Park & Golf Ventures II, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 38,798 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Green Park & Golf Ventures II, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 75,996 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Green Park & Golf Ventures II, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 103,461 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Green Park & Golf Ventures II, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 108,005 | 317,388 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Green Park & Golf Ventures II, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 38,798 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Green Park & Golf Ventures II, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 10,000 | 61,523 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Green Park & Golf Ventures II, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 21,819 | 51,523 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Green Park & Golf Ventures II, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 112,843 | 209,383 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Green Park & Golf Ventures II, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 96,540 | 96,540 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Green Park & Golf Ventures II, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 200,202 | 268,246 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Green Park & Golf Ventures II, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 21,819 | 51,523 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Green Park & Golf Ventures II, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 33,333 | 350,721 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Green Park & Golf Ventures II, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 68,044 | 68,044 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Green Park & Golf Ventures II, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 200,202 | 268,246 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Green Park & Golf Ventures II, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 108,005 | 317,388 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Green Park & Golf Ventures II, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 103,461 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Green Park & Golf Ventures II, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 75,996 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Green Park & Golf Ventures II, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 120,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Green Park & Golf Ventures II, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 77,596 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Green Park & Golf Ventures II, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 37,998 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Green Park & Golf Ventures II, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 102,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Green Park & Golf Ventures II, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 491,294 | 0 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.